Is Hanwei Electronics Group (SZSE:300007) Using Too Much Debt?
Is Hanwei Electronics Group (SZSE:300007) Using Too Much Debt?
The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. We can see that Hanwei Electronics Group Corporation (SZSE:300007) does use debt in its business. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?
由伯克希爾·哈撒韋公司的查理·芒格支持的外部基金經理李露對此毫不掩飾,他說:「最大的投資風險不是價格的波動,而是你是否會遭受永久的資本損失。」當我們考慮一家公司的風險時,我們總是喜歡考慮其債務的用途,因爲債務過載可能導致破產。我們可以看到,漢威電子集團公司(深圳證券交易所代碼:300007)確實在其業務中使用了債務。但是,股東是否應該擔心其債務的使用?
When Is Debt Dangerous?
債務何時危險?
Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.
債務可以幫助企業,直到企業難以償還債務,無論是新資本還是自由現金流。在最壞的情況下,如果公司無法向債權人付款,它可能會破產。但是,更常見(但仍然昂貴)的情況是,公司爲了控制債務,必須以低廉的股價稀釋股東。但是,通過取代稀釋,對於需要資本以高回報率投資增長的企業來說,債務可以成爲一個非常好的工具。考慮公司的債務水平的第一步是同時考慮其現金和債務。
How Much Debt Does Hanwei Electronics Group Carry?
漢威電子集團揹負了多少債務?
The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at September 2024 Hanwei Electronics Group had debt of CN¥1.07b, up from CN¥729.3m in one year. On the flip side, it has CN¥955.0m in cash leading to net debt of about CN¥110.2m.
您可以點擊下圖查看更多詳情,該圖片顯示,截至2024年9月,漢威電子集團的債務爲10.7元人民幣,高於一年內的72930萬加元。另一方面,它擁有95500萬元人民幣的現金,淨負債約爲11020萬元人民幣。
How Strong Is Hanwei Electronics Group's Balance Sheet?
漢威電子集團的資產負債表有多強?
We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Hanwei Electronics Group had liabilities of CN¥1.56b falling due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥1.34b due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of CN¥955.0m as well as receivables valued at CN¥1.67b due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by CN¥271.5m.
我們可以從最新的資產負債表中看出,漢威電子集團的負債爲15.6元人民幣,一年後到期的負債爲13.4元人民幣。除了這些債務外,它還有95500萬元人民幣的現金以及價值16.7元人民幣的應收賬款將在12個月內到期。因此,其負債超過其現金和(短期)應收賬款總額27150萬元人民幣。
Given Hanwei Electronics Group has a market capitalization of CN¥6.46b, it's hard to believe these liabilities pose much threat. However, we do think it is worth keeping an eye on its balance sheet strength, as it may change over time.
鑑於漢威電子集團的市值爲64.6元人民幣,很難相信這些負債會構成很大的威脅。但是,我們確實認爲值得關注其資產負債表的實力,因爲它可能會隨着時間的推移而發生變化。
We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).
我們通過以下方法來衡量公司的債務負擔與其盈利能力:將其淨負債除以利息、稅項、折舊和攤銷前的收益(EBITDA),並計算其利息和稅前收益(EBIT)支付利息支出(利息保障)的難易程度。這種方法的優勢在於,我們既考慮了債務的絕對數量(包括淨負債與息稅折舊攤銷前利潤),也考慮了與該債務相關的實際利息支出(及其利息覆蓋率)。
Hanwei Electronics Group has a very low debt to EBITDA ratio of 0.66 so it is strange to see weak interest coverage, with last year's EBIT being only 0.56 times the interest expense. So one way or the other, it's clear the debt levels are not trivial. Shareholders should be aware that Hanwei Electronics Group's EBIT was down 87% last year. If that earnings trend continues then paying off its debt will be about as easy as herding cats on to a roller coaster. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Hanwei Electronics Group can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.
漢威電子集團的債務與息稅折舊攤銷前利潤的比率非常低,爲0.66,因此奇怪的是,利息覆蓋面薄弱,去年的息稅前利潤僅爲利息支出的0.56倍。因此,不管怎樣,很明顯,債務水平並非微不足道。股東應該意識到,漢威電子集團的息稅前利潤去年下降了87%。如果這種盈利趨勢繼續下去,那麼償還債務就像放貓坐過山車一樣容易。毫無疑問,我們從資產負債表中學到的關於債務的知識最多。但最終,該業務的未來盈利能力將決定漢威電子集團能否隨着時間的推移加強其資產負債表。因此,如果您專注於未來,可以查看這份顯示分析師利潤預測的免費報告。
But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. So it's worth checking how much of that EBIT is backed by free cash flow. During the last three years, Hanwei Electronics Group burned a lot of cash. While that may be a result of expenditure for growth, it does make the debt far more risky.
但是我們最終的考慮因素也很重要,因爲公司無法用紙面利潤來償還債務;它需要冷硬現金。因此,值得檢查一下該息稅前利潤中有多少是由自由現金流支持的。在過去的三年中,漢威電子集團燒燬了大量現金。儘管這可能是增長支出的結果,但它確實使債務風險大大增加。
Our View
我們的觀點
On the face of it, Hanwei Electronics Group's conversion of EBIT to free cash flow left us tentative about the stock, and its EBIT growth rate was no more enticing than the one empty restaurant on the busiest night of the year. But at least it's pretty decent at managing its debt, based on its EBITDA,; that's encouraging. Looking at the bigger picture, it seems clear to us that Hanwei Electronics Group's use of debt is creating risks for the company. If all goes well, that should boost returns, but on the flip side, the risk of permanent capital loss is elevated by the debt. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For instance, we've identified 2 warning signs for Hanwei Electronics Group that you should be aware of.
從表面上看,漢威電子集團將息稅前利潤轉換爲自由現金流使我們對該股持初步看法,其息稅前利潤增長率並不比一年中最繁忙的夜晚那家空蕩蕩的餐廳更具吸引力。但至少根據其息稅折舊攤銷前利潤,它在債務管理方面相當不錯;這令人鼓舞。從大局來看,我們似乎很清楚漢威電子集團使用債務給公司帶來了風險。如果一切順利,這應該會提高回報,但另一方面,債務會增加永久資本損失的風險。毫無疑問,我們從資產負債表中學到的關於債務的知識最多。但是,並非所有的投資風險都存在於資產負債表中,遠非如此。例如,我們已經確定了漢威電子集團的兩個警告信號,你應該注意這些信號。
If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.
畢竟,如果你對一家資產負債表堅如磐石的快速成長型公司更感興趣,那麼請立即查看我們的淨現金增長股票清單。
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