Is Fuan Pharmaceutical (Group) (SZSE:300194) A Risky Investment?
Is Fuan Pharmaceutical (Group) (SZSE:300194) A Risky Investment?
Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. As with many other companies Fuan Pharmaceutical (Group) Co., Ltd. (SZSE:300194) makes use of debt. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?
有人認爲,作爲投資者,最好的風險思考方式是波動性,而不是債務,但禾倫·巴菲特曾經說過:「波動性與風險遠非同義詞。」 當我們考慮一家公司的風險性時,我們總是喜歡看看它對債務的使用情況,因爲債務過多可能導致災難。 與許多其他公司一樣,福安藥業(集團)有限公司(SZSE:300194)使用債務。 但更重要的問題是:這筆債務產生了多少風險?
What Risk Does Debt Bring?
What Risk Does Debt Bring?
Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.
債務是幫助企業增長的工具,但如果企業無法償還債權人,那麼它存在於債權人的掌控之中。資本主義的部分內容是「創造性毀滅」的過程,在這個過程中,破產的企業會被銀行家無情地清算。儘管這種情況不太常見,但我們經常看到負債累累的公司因債權人強迫它們以低於正常價格的價格籌集資金而永久性地稀釋股東權益。話雖如此,最常見的情況是,在合理地管理債務的情況下,公司利用債務爲自己帶來利益。考慮企業使用多少債務時,首先要做的是看其現金和債務的總和。
What Is Fuan Pharmaceutical (Group)'s Net Debt?
福安藥業(集團)的淨債務是多少?
As you can see below, Fuan Pharmaceutical (Group) had CN¥709.9m of debt at September 2024, down from CN¥967.8m a year prior. However, its balance sheet shows it holds CN¥969.1m in cash, so it actually has CN¥259.1m net cash.
正如下文所示,截至2024年9月,福安藥業(集團)的債務爲70990萬元人民幣,比前一年的96780萬元人民幣下降。 然而,它的資產負債表顯示它持有96910萬元人民幣的現金,因此實際上有25910萬元人民幣的淨現金。
A Look At Fuan Pharmaceutical (Group)'s Liabilities
福安藥業(集團)負債情況一覽
The latest balance sheet data shows that Fuan Pharmaceutical (Group) had liabilities of CN¥1.31b due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥326.9m falling due after that. Offsetting this, it had CN¥969.1m in cash and CN¥371.4m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities total CN¥295.9m more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.
最新資產負債表數據顯示,福安藥業(集團)的短期負債爲13.1億人民幣,長期負債爲32690萬人民幣。與此相抵,其12個月內到期的現金爲96910萬人民幣,應收賬款爲37140萬人民幣。因此,其負債總額比現金和短期應收賬款的總和多出29590萬人民幣。
Given Fuan Pharmaceutical (Group) has a market capitalization of CN¥6.16b, it's hard to believe these liabilities pose much threat. But there are sufficient liabilities that we would certainly recommend shareholders continue to monitor the balance sheet, going forward. While it does have liabilities worth noting, Fuan Pharmaceutical (Group) also has more cash than debt, so we're pretty confident it can manage its debt safely.
考慮到福安藥業(集團)的市值爲61.6億人民幣,很難相信這些負債構成了多大威脅。但是存在足夠的負債,我們一定建議股東繼續監視資產負債表。雖然存在值得注意的負債,福安藥業(集團)的現金多於債務,因此我們相當有信心它能安全管理其債務。
Another good sign is that Fuan Pharmaceutical (Group) has been able to increase its EBIT by 26% in twelve months, making it easier to pay down debt. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is Fuan Pharmaceutical (Group)'s earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.
另一個好跡象是,福安藥業(集團)在12個月內將其EBIt增加了26%,這樣更容易償還債務。毫無疑問,我們從資產負債表上最能了解債務情況。但是,影響資產負債表未來情況的將是福安藥業(集團)的盈利情況。因此,如果您渴望了解更多關於盈利方面的信息,查看其長期盈利趨勢圖可能會很值得。
Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. While Fuan Pharmaceutical (Group) has net cash on its balance sheet, it's still worth taking a look at its ability to convert earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, to help us understand how quickly it is building (or eroding) that cash balance. Over the most recent three years, Fuan Pharmaceutical (Group) recorded free cash flow worth 50% of its EBIT, which is around normal, given free cash flow excludes interest and tax. This free cash flow puts the company in a good position to pay down debt, when appropriate.
最後,一家公司只能用現金還清債務,而不能用會計利潤。儘管福安藥業(集團)資產負債表上有淨現金,但值得留意的是其將EBIT轉爲自由現金流的能力,以幫助我們了解它是如何快速積累(或消耗)現金的。在最近的三年中,福安藥業(集團)錄得的自由現金流相當於其EBIt的50%,這在正常範圍內,因爲自由現金流不包括利息和稅金。這種自由現金流使公司處於一個可以在適當時支付債務的良好位置。
Summing Up
總之
While it is always sensible to look at a company's total liabilities, it is very reassuring that Fuan Pharmaceutical (Group) has CN¥259.1m in net cash. And we liked the look of last year's 26% year-on-year EBIT growth. So we don't think Fuan Pharmaceutical (Group)'s use of debt is risky. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. Be aware that Fuan Pharmaceutical (Group) is showing 1 warning sign in our investment analysis , you should know about...
儘管查看公司的總負債是明智之舉,但非常令人放心的是,福安藥業(集團)淨現金達到人民幣25910萬。去年的26%年同比EBIt增長也令我們印象深刻。因此,我們認爲福安藥業(集團)的債務使用並不冒險。在分析債務水平時,資產負債表是明顯的起點。但是,投資風險並非全部存在於資產負債表中-遠非如此。請注意,在我們的投資分析中,福安藥業(集團)顯示了一個警示信號,您應該知道...
If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.
如果您有興趣投資能夠在不負債的情況下增長利潤的企業,請查看這份免費列表,其中列出了在資產負債表上擁有淨現金的成長型企業。
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