Investors More Bullish on Fresh Del Monte Produce (NYSE:FDP) This Week as Stock Advances 4.0%, Despite Earnings Trending Downwards Over Past Year
Investors More Bullish on Fresh Del Monte Produce (NYSE:FDP) This Week as Stock Advances 4.0%, Despite Earnings Trending Downwards Over Past Year
Passive investing in index funds can generate returns that roughly match the overall market. But one can do better than that by picking better than average stocks (as part of a diversified portfolio). To wit, the Fresh Del Monte Produce Inc. (NYSE:FDP) share price is 47% higher than it was a year ago, much better than the market return of around 32% (not including dividends) in the same period. That's a solid performance by our standards! And shareholders have also done well over the long term, with an increase of 34% in the last three years.
對指數基金的被動投資可以產生與整個市場大致相匹配的回報。但是,通過選擇比普通股更好的股票(作爲多元化投資組合的一部分),可以做得比這更好。換句話說,Fresh Del Monte Produce Inc.(紐約證券交易所代碼:FDP)的股價比去年同期上漲了47%,遠高於同期約32%(不包括股息)的市場回報率。按照我們的標準,這是一款不錯的表現!從長遠來看,股東也表現良好,在過去三年中增長了34%。
On the back of a solid 7-day performance, let's check what role the company's fundamentals have played in driving long term shareholder returns.
在連續7天表現穩健的背景下,讓我們來看看公司的基本面在推動長期股東回報方面發揮了什麼作用。
There is no denying that markets are sometimes efficient, but prices do not always reflect underlying business performance. By comparing earnings per share (EPS) and share price changes over time, we can get a feel for how investor attitudes to a company have morphed over time.
不可否認,市場有時是有效的,但價格並不總是能反映潛在的業務表現。通過比較每股收益(EPS)和一段時間內的股價變化,我們可以了解投資者對公司的態度是如何隨着時間的推移而變化的。
Fresh Del Monte Produce went from making a loss to reporting a profit, in the last year.
去年,Fresh Del Monte Produce 從虧損轉爲盈利。
When a company is just on the edge of profitability it can be well worth considering other metrics in order to more precisely gauge growth (and therefore understand share price movements).
當一家公司剛剛處於盈利邊緣時,爲了更準確地衡量增長(從而了解股價走勢),可能值得考慮其他指標。
Revenue was pretty flat year on year, but maybe a closer look at the data can explain the market optimism.
收入同比持平,但仔細研究數據也許可以解釋市場的樂觀情緒。
The graphic below depicts how earnings and revenue have changed over time (unveil the exact values by clicking on the image).
下圖描繪了收入和收入隨着時間的推移而發生的變化(點擊圖片顯示確切的數值)。
We like that insiders have been buying shares in the last twelve months. Even so, future earnings will be far more important to whether current shareholders make money. You can see what analysts are predicting for Fresh Del Monte Produce in this interactive graph of future profit estimates.
像我們一樣,內部人士在過去的十二個月中一直在購買股票。即便如此,未來的收益對於當前股東是否賺錢將更爲重要。在這張未來利潤估計的交互式圖表中,你可以看到分析師對新鮮德爾蒙特農產品的預測。
What About Dividends?
那股息呢?
As well as measuring the share price return, investors should also consider the total shareholder return (TSR). Whereas the share price return only reflects the change in the share price, the TSR includes the value of dividends (assuming they were reinvested) and the benefit of any discounted capital raising or spin-off. Arguably, the TSR gives a more comprehensive picture of the return generated by a stock. As it happens, Fresh Del Monte Produce's TSR for the last 1 year was 52%, which exceeds the share price return mentioned earlier. And there's no prize for guessing that the dividend payments largely explain the divergence!
除了衡量股價回報率外,投資者還應考慮股東總回報率(TSR)。儘管股價回報率僅反映股價的變化,但股東總回報率包括股息的價值(假設已進行再投資)以及任何折扣融資或分拆的收益。可以說,股東總回報率更全面地描述了股票產生的回報。碰巧的是,Fresh Del Monte Produce在過去一年的股東總回報率爲52%,超過了前面提到的股價回報率。而且,猜測股息支付在很大程度上解釋了這種分歧是沒有好處的!
A Different Perspective
不同的視角
It's nice to see that Fresh Del Monte Produce shareholders have received a total shareholder return of 52% over the last year. Of course, that includes the dividend. That's better than the annualised return of 3% over half a decade, implying that the company is doing better recently. Someone with an optimistic perspective could view the recent improvement in TSR as indicating that the business itself is getting better with time. It's always interesting to track share price performance over the longer term. But to understand Fresh Del Monte Produce better, we need to consider many other factors. Consider for instance, the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 3 warning signs with Fresh Del Monte Produce , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.
很高興看到Fresh Del Monte Produce的股東在去年獲得了52%的總股東回報率。當然,這包括股息。這比五年來3%的年化回報率要好,這意味着該公司最近的表現更好。持樂觀態度的人可能會將最近股東總回報率的改善視爲業務本身隨着時間的推移而變得更好。長期跟蹤股價表現總是很有意思的。但是,要更好地了解德爾蒙特的新鮮農產品,我們需要考慮許多其他因素。例如,投資風險的幽靈無處不在。我們已經確定了Fresh Del Monte農產品的3個警告信號,了解它們應該是您投資過程的一部分。
There are plenty of other companies that have insiders buying up shares. You probably do not want to miss this free list of undervalued small cap companies that insiders are buying.
還有許多其他公司有內部人士購買股票。你可能不想錯過這份內部人士正在收購的被低估的小盤股公司的免費清單。
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on American exchanges.
請注意,本文引用的市場回報反映了目前在美國交易所交易的股票的市場加權平均回報率。
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
對這篇文章有反饋嗎?擔心內容嗎?直接聯繫我們。或者,發送電子郵件給編輯組(網址爲)simplywallst.com。
Simply Wall St 的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法提供基於歷史數據和分析師預測的評論,我們的文章並非旨在提供財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不會考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。華爾街只是沒有持有上述任何股票的頭寸。