EXCLUSIVE: Why Bitcoin Cannot Crack $100,000 Just Yet
EXCLUSIVE: Why Bitcoin Cannot Crack $100,000 Just Yet
He highlighted the robust demand in derivatives markets, with traders paying a 17% annualized premium for leveraged BTC positions. Bitcoin's (CRYPTO: BTC) struggle to cross the $100,000 mark is due to profit-taking, derivatives data and historical trends, analysts tell Benzinga.
分析師對Benzinga表示，比特幣（加密貨幣：BTC）未能突破100,000美元關口的原因在於套戥、衍生品數據和歷史趨勢。
Bitcoin is currently trading at $94,870, down 0.4% for the day, according to data from CoinGecko.
根據CoinGecko的數據，比特幣目前交易價格爲94,870美元，今日下跌0.4%。
Avinash Shekhar, co-founder and CEO of Pi42, told Benzinga that Bitcoin's pullback reflects a consolidation phase rather than weakness.
Pi42的聯合創始人兼首席執行官Avinash Shekhar告訴Benzinga，比特幣的回調反映的是整合階段，而不是弱勢。
He highlighted the robust demand in derivatives markets, with traders paying a 17% annualized premium for leveraged BTC positions.
他強調了衍生品市場強勁的需求，交易者爲槓桿比特幣頭寸支付了17%的年化溢價。
"The Bitcoin options markets also show confidence, as options are trading at an 8% discount, indicating reduced hedging demand," Shekhar said.
Shekhar表示：「比特幣期權市場也表現出信心，因爲期權交易價格折讓8%，這表明對沖需求減少。」
He added that funding rates for perpetual contracts remain neutral at 1.4%, supporting a balanced leverage environment.
他補充說，永久合約的融資利率保持在1.4%的中立狀態，支持一個平衡的槓桿環境。
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James Toledano, COO of Unity Wallet, attributes Bitcoin's dip to profit-taking following its $25,000 surge in the past month.
Unity Wallet的首席運營官James Toledano將比特幣的下跌歸因於在過去一個月中其上漲25,000美元后的套戥。
He noted that the presence of put options between $98,000 and $99,000 has created resistance levels.
他指出，$98,000到$99,000之間的看跌期權的存在創造了壓力位。
"Profit-taking has likely exerted downward pressure on the price," Toledano told Benzinga, cautioning that Bitcoin's historical patterns show significant corrections after rapid ascents.
託萊達諾告訴Benzinga，「獲利回吐可能對價格施加了下行壓力」，並警告比特幣的歷史模式顯示，在快速上升後會出現顯著的修正。
He cited previous cycles, such as 2017 and 2021, where Bitcoin's steep gains were followed by sharp declines of up to 70%.
他引用了之前的週期，例如2017年和2021年，比特幣的劇烈上漲後隨之而來的是高達70%的急劇下跌。
Arthur Azizov, CEO of B2BINPAY, observed that Bitcoin has been trading within a tight range of $91,000 to $99,000, with the $100,000 mark acting as a psychological barrier.
B2BINPAY的首席執行官阿圖爾·阿齊佐夫觀察到，比特幣一直在$91,000到$99,000的狹窄區間內交易，$100,000的關口則被視爲心理障礙。
Speaking with Benzinga, Azizov predicted a potential pullback to $82,000 but noted that interest in the market remains strong, driven by altcoin season and substantial inflows from institutional and retail investors.
阿齊佐夫在與Benzinga交談時預測，可能會回調至$82,000，但他指出，市場的興趣仍然強烈，由於山寨幣季節和機構及零售投資者的重大資金流入。
According to CoinMarketCap's Alt season Index, the market is in alt season territory, with a score of 83.
根據CoinMarketCap的山寨季節指數，市場處於山寨季節區域，得分爲83。
Technical analysts at Fairlead Strategies maintain a neutral short-term outlook for Bitcoin, citing indicators such as the daily MACD and DeMARK signals that point to consolidation.
Fairlead Strategies的技術分析師對比特幣保持中立的短期展望，引用了每日MACD和DeMARk信號等因子，表明正在整合。
They identified $80,400 as the initial support level and $100,000 as key resistance. Long-term momentum, however, remains strong, supporting a bullish outlook beyond the current consolidation phase.
他們將$80,400作爲初始的壓力位，將$100,000視爲關鍵阻力位。然而，長期動能依然強勁，支持在當前整合階段之後的看好展望。
"All signs hint at Bitcoin being in its consolidation phase rather than a weakness phase," Shekhar further said.
"所有跡象表明比特幣正處於整理階段，而不是弱勢階段，" Shekhar進一步說道。
Toledano echoed this sentiment, cautioning that while corrections are common after rapid gains, they don't necessarily signal the end of Bitcoin's bull run.
Toledano對此表示贊同，提醒道盡管快速上漲後常常會出現調整，但這並不一定預示着比特幣牛市的結束。
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Image: Pixabay
圖片：Pixabay
