Despite an already strong run, Daodaoquan Grain and Oil Co.,Ltd. (SZSE:002852) shares have been powering on, with a gain of 29% in the last thirty days. But the gains over the last month weren't enough to make shareholders whole, as the share price is still down 9.2% in the last twelve months.
In spite of the firm bounce in price, Daodaoquan Grain and OilLtd's price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.6x might still make it look like a buy right now compared to the Food industry in China, where around half of the companies have P/S ratios above 2x and even P/S above 4x are quite common. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's limited.
What Does Daodaoquan Grain and OilLtd's P/S Mean For Shareholders?
For example, consider that Daodaoquan Grain and OilLtd's financial performance has been poor lately as its revenue has been in decline. Perhaps the market believes the recent revenue performance isn't good enough to keep up the industry, causing the P/S ratio to suffer. However, if this doesn't eventuate then existing shareholders may be feeling optimistic about the future direction of the share price.
Although there are no analyst estimates available for Daodaoquan Grain and OilLtd, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.
Do Revenue Forecasts Match The Low P/S Ratio?
There's an inherent assumption that a company should underperform the industry for P/S ratios like Daodaoquan Grain and OilLtd's to be considered reasonable.
In reviewing the last year of financials, we were disheartened to see the company's revenues fell to the tune of 20%. Regardless, revenue has managed to lift by a handy 18% in aggregate from three years ago, thanks to the earlier period of growth. Accordingly, while they would have preferred to keep the run going, shareholders would be roughly satisfied with the medium-term rates of revenue growth.
Comparing the recent medium-term revenue trends against the industry's one-year growth forecast of 16% shows it's noticeably less attractive.
With this information, we can see why Daodaoquan Grain and OilLtd is trading at a P/S lower than the industry. It seems most investors are expecting to see the recent limited growth rates continue into the future and are only willing to pay a reduced amount for the stock.
The Key Takeaway
The latest share price surge wasn't enough to lift Daodaoquan Grain and OilLtd's P/S close to the industry median. Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-sales ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.
Our examination of Daodaoquan Grain and OilLtd confirms that the company's revenue trends over the past three-year years are a key factor in its low price-to-sales ratio, as we suspected, given they fall short of current industry expectations. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/S as they concede future revenue probably won't provide any pleasant surprises. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve, they will continue to form a barrier for the share price around these levels.
You need to take note of risks, for example - Daodaoquan Grain and OilLtd has 4 warning signs (and 1 which shouldn't be ignored) we think you should know about.
If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Daodaoquan Grain and OilLtd, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.
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