share_log

Changshu Tianyin Electromechanical Co.,Ltd's (SZSE:300342) Has Been On A Rise But Financial Prospects Look Weak: Is The Stock Overpriced?

Changshu Tianyin Electromechanical Co.,Ltd's (SZSE:300342) Has Been On A Rise But Financial Prospects Look Weak: Is The Stock Overpriced?

天銀機電股份有限公司(深交所代碼:300342)的股價一直在上漲,但財務前景仍顯疲弱:這隻股票是否被高估?
Simply Wall St ·  2024/12/04 08:03

Changshu Tianyin ElectromechanicalLtd (SZSE:300342) has had a great run on the share market with its stock up by a significant 49% over the last three months. However, in this article, we decided to focus on its weak fundamentals, as long-term financial performance of a business is what ultimately dictates market outcomes. Specifically, we decided to study Changshu Tianyin ElectromechanicalLtd's ROE in this article.

常熟天音機電有限公司(SZSE:300342)在股市上表現良好,股票在過去三個月漲幅達49%。然而,在這篇文章中,我們決定關注其疲弱的基本面,因爲一家企業的長期財務表現最終決定了市場結果。具體而言,我們決定在這篇文章中研究常熟天音機電有限公司的roe。

ROE or return on equity is a useful tool to assess how effectively a company can generate returns on the investment it received from its shareholders. In short, ROE shows the profit each dollar generates with respect to its shareholder investments.

roe或權益回報率是評估公司有效利用股東投資產生回報效率的有用工具。簡而言之,roe顯示每個股東投資所產生的利潤。

How Is ROE Calculated?

淨資產收益率怎麼計算?

The formula for ROE is:

roe的公式是:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

淨資產收益率 = 淨利潤(來自持續經營) ÷ 股東權益

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Changshu Tianyin ElectromechanicalLtd is:

因此,根據上述公式,常熟天音機電有限公司的roe爲:

3.1% = CN¥48m ÷ CN¥1.5b (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2024).

3.1% = CN¥4800萬 ÷ CN¥15億(基於截至2024年9月的過去十二個月)。

The 'return' is the yearly profit. One way to conceptualize this is that for each CN¥1 of shareholders' capital it has, the company made CN¥0.03 in profit.

「回報」是每年的利潤。從一個角度來看,它的意思是針對每1元股東資本,公司創造了0.03元的利潤。

What Is The Relationship Between ROE And Earnings Growth?

What Is The Relationship Between ROE And Earnings Growth?

We have already established that ROE serves as an efficient profit-generating gauge for a company's future earnings. We now need to evaluate how much profit the company reinvests or "retains" for future growth which then gives us an idea about the growth potential of the company. Assuming everything else remains unchanged, the higher the ROE and profit retention, the higher the growth rate of a company compared to companies that don't necessarily bear these characteristics.

我們已經確定,roe可以作爲一種有效的衡量公司未來盈利能力的指標。現在我們需要評估公司再投資或「保留」的利潤有多少,這就給我們提供了有關公司增長潛力的想法。假設其他一切不變,roe和利潤保留率越高,公司的增長率就越高,而不一定具備這些特徵的公司相比。

Changshu Tianyin ElectromechanicalLtd's Earnings Growth And 3.1% ROE

常熟天音機電有限公司的盈利增長和3.1%的roe

It is hard to argue that Changshu Tianyin ElectromechanicalLtd's ROE is much good in and of itself. Even compared to the average industry ROE of 6.4%, the company's ROE is quite dismal. Given the circumstances, the significant decline in net income by 35% seen by Changshu Tianyin ElectromechanicalLtd over the last five years is not surprising. We believe that there also might be other aspects that are negatively influencing the company's earnings prospects. For instance, the company has a very high payout ratio, or is faced with competitive pressures.

很難說常熟天音機電有限公司的roe本身就很優秀。即使與行業平均roe 6.4%相比,該公司的roe也相當慘淡。在這種情況下,常熟天音機電有限公司在過去五年中淨利潤下降35%也就不足爲奇了。我們認爲,可能還有其他因素在負面影響公司的盈利前景。例如,該公司的分紅派息比率非常高,或者面臨着競爭壓力。

That being said, we compared Changshu Tianyin ElectromechanicalLtd's performance with the industry and were concerned when we found that while the company has shrunk its earnings, the industry has grown its earnings at a rate of 10% in the same 5-year period.

話雖如此,我們將常熟天音機電有限公司的表現與行業進行了比較,當我們發現公司雖然縮減了盈利,但行業在同樣的五年期間內以10%的速度增長盈利時,我們感到擔憂。

big
SZSE:300342 Past Earnings Growth December 4th 2024
SZSE:300342 過去的盈利增長 2024年12月4日

Earnings growth is a huge factor in stock valuation. It's important for an investor to know whether the market has priced in the company's expected earnings growth (or decline). By doing so, they will have an idea if the stock is headed into clear blue waters or if swampy waters await. Is Changshu Tianyin ElectromechanicalLtd fairly valued compared to other companies? These 3 valuation measures might help you decide.

盈利增長是股票估值的一個重要因素。投資者需了解市場是否已考慮到公司的預期盈利增長(或下降)。通過這樣做,他們可以判斷股票是否將進入明朗的沃特世,或者是否會面臨沼澤般的困難。與其他公司相比,常熟天音電氣有限公司的估值公平嗎?這三項估值指標可能會幫助你做出決定。

Is Changshu Tianyin ElectromechanicalLtd Using Its Retained Earnings Effectively?

常熟天音電氣有限公司是否有效利用其留存收益?

Changshu Tianyin ElectromechanicalLtd's declining earnings is not surprising given how the company is spending most of its profits in paying dividends, judging by its three-year median payout ratio of 70% (or a retention ratio of 30%). With only very little left to reinvest into the business, growth in earnings is far from likely. Our risks dashboard should have the 3 risks we have identified for Changshu Tianyin ElectromechanicalLtd.

考慮到該公司將大部分利潤用於支付分紅,其三年中位數派息率爲70%(或留存率爲30%),常熟天音電氣有限公司的盈利下降並不令人意外。由於幾乎沒有資金再投資於業務,盈利增長的可能性極小。我們的特斯拉-儀表應包含我們爲常熟天音電氣有限公司識別出的三項風險。

In addition, Changshu Tianyin ElectromechanicalLtd has been paying dividends over a period of at least ten years suggesting that keeping up dividend payments is way more important to the management even if it comes at the cost of business growth.

此外,常熟天音電氣有限公司在至少十年的時間裏一直在支付分紅,這表明維持分紅支付對管理層來說更爲重要,即使這會犧牲業務增長。

Summary

總結

On the whole, Changshu Tianyin ElectromechanicalLtd's performance is quite a big let-down. As a result of its low ROE and lack of much reinvestment into the business, the company has seen a disappointing earnings growth rate. So far, we've only made a quick discussion around the company's earnings growth. So it may be worth checking this free detailed graph of Changshu Tianyin ElectromechanicalLtd's past earnings, as well as revenue and cash flows to get a deeper insight into the company's performance.

總的來說,常熟天音機電有限公司的表現令人失望。由於其低roe和對業務的再投資不足,該公司的盈利增長率相當令人失望。到目前爲止,我們只對公司的盈利增長進行了簡單討論。因此,查看常熟天音機電有限公司過去的盈餘、營業收入和現金流的免費詳細圖表,可能會幫助您更深入地了解公司的表現。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對這篇文章有反饋嗎?對內容感到擔憂嗎?請直接與我們聯繫。或者,發送電子郵件至editorial-team @ simplywallst.com。
Simply Wall St的這篇文章是一般性質的。我們僅基於歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,使用公正的方法,我們的文章並非意在提供財務建議。這並不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,並且不考慮您的目標或財務狀況。我們旨在爲您帶來基於基礎數據驅動的長期聚焦分析。請注意,我們的分析可能未考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St對提及的任何股票都沒有持倉。

声明:本內容僅用作提供資訊及教育之目的,不構成對任何特定投資或投資策略的推薦或認可。 更多信息
    搶先評論