Investors Ignore Increasing Losses at Changzhou Nrb (SZSE:002708) as Stock Jumps 17% This Past Week
Investors Ignore Increasing Losses at Changzhou Nrb (SZSE:002708) as Stock Jumps 17% This Past Week
Generally speaking the aim of active stock picking is to find companies that provide returns that are superior to the market average. And while active stock picking involves risks (and requires diversification) it can also provide excess returns. To wit, the Changzhou Nrb share price has climbed 40% in five years, easily topping the market return of 20% (ignoring dividends). On the other hand, the more recent gains haven't been so impressive, with shareholders gaining just 20%.
一般來說,積極選股的目標是找到提供高於市場平均收益的公司。而雖然積極選股涉及風險(並需要分散投資),但也可以提供額外的回報。換句話說,常州Nrb的股價在五年內上漲了40%,輕鬆超過了市場回報的20%(不計分紅)。另一方面,最近的收益並不那麼令人印象深刻,股東僅獲得了20%。
Since the stock has added CN¥866m to its market cap in the past week alone, let's see if underlying performance has been driving long-term returns.
由於該股票僅在過去一週內爲其市值增加了CN¥86600萬,讓我們看看潛在業績是否推動了長期收益。
Because Changzhou Nrb made a loss in the last twelve months, we think the market is probably more focussed on revenue and revenue growth, at least for now. When a company doesn't make profits, we'd generally hope to see good revenue growth. Some companies are willing to postpone profitability to grow revenue faster, but in that case one would hope for good top-line growth to make up for the lack of earnings.
因爲常州Nrb在過去十二個月中虧損,我們認爲市場現在可能更關注營收和營收增長。當一家公司沒有盈利時,我們通常希望看到良好的營收增長。有些公司願意推遲盈利以更快增長營收,但在這種情況下,人們希望看到良好的收入增長來彌補缺乏利潤的情況。
In the last 5 years Changzhou Nrb saw its revenue grow at 9.3% per year. That's a fairly respectable growth rate. Revenue has been growing at a reasonable clip, so it's debatable whether the share price growth of 7% full reflects the underlying business growth. If revenue growth can maintain for long enough, it's likely profits will flow. Lack of earnings means you have to project further into the future justify the valuation on the basis of future free cash flow.
在過去的5年裏,常州Nrb的營業收入年均增長了9.3%。這是一個相當可觀的增長率。收入一直以一個合理的速度增長,因此可以討論股價增長的7%是否充分反映了業務增長。如果營收增長能夠保持足夠長的時間,利潤很可能會持續。缺乏盈利意味着您必須進一步推斷未來自由現金流的基礎上來驗證估值。
You can see how earnings and revenue have changed over time in the image below (click on the chart to see the exact values).
您可以在下方圖片中看到盈利和營業收入隨時間的變化(單擊圖表查看準確數值)。
If you are thinking of buying or selling Changzhou Nrb stock, you should check out this FREE detailed report on its balance sheet.
如果您正在考慮買入或賣出常州Nrb股票,您應該查看一份關於其資產負債表的免費詳細報告。
A Different Perspective
另一種看法
It's nice to see that Changzhou Nrb shareholders have received a total shareholder return of 20% over the last year. Since the one-year TSR is better than the five-year TSR (the latter coming in at 7% per year), it would seem that the stock's performance has improved in recent times. Someone with an optimistic perspective could view the recent improvement in TSR as indicating that the business itself is getting better with time. It's always interesting to track share price performance over the longer term. But to understand Changzhou Nrb better, we need to consider many other factors. Case in point: We've spotted 1 warning sign for Changzhou Nrb you should be aware of.
看到常州Nrb的股東在過去一年中總體股東回報率達到20%是件好事。由於一年的TSR優於五年的TSR(後者每年爲7%),似乎股票的表現近期有所改善。持樂觀態度的人可能會認爲TSR的最近改善表明業務本身隨着時間的推移變得更好。跟蹤股價長期表現總是令人感興趣。但要更好地了解常州Nrb,我們需要考慮許多其他因素。例如:我們發現常州Nrb存在1個警示信號,您應該注意。
If you would prefer to check out another company -- one with potentially superior financials -- then do not miss this free list of companies that have proven they can grow earnings.
如果您願意查看另一家公司(具有潛在的更好財務狀況),請不要錯過這個免費的公司列表,證明它們可以增長收益。
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Chinese exchanges.
請注意,本文中引用的市場回報反映了目前在中國交易所上市的股票的市場加權平均回報。
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
對這篇文章有反饋嗎?對內容感到擔憂嗎?請直接與我們聯繫。或者,發送電子郵件至editorial-team @ simplywallst.com。
Simply Wall St的這篇文章是一般性質的。我們僅基於歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,使用公正的方法,我們的文章並非意在提供財務建議。這並不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,並且不考慮您的目標或財務狀況。我們旨在爲您帶來基於基礎數據驅動的長期聚焦分析。請注意,我們的分析可能未考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St對提及的任何股票都沒有持倉。