Health Check: How Prudently Does Jiangsu ZongyiLTD (SHSE:600770) Use Debt?
Health Check: How Prudently Does Jiangsu ZongyiLTD (SHSE:600770) Use Debt?
Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. We note that Jiangsu Zongyi Co.,LTD (SHSE:600770) does have debt on its balance sheet. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?
有些人認爲波動性而不是債務是投資者思考風險的最佳方式,但禾倫·巴菲特曾 famously 說過「波動性遠非風險的同義詞。」當我們考慮一家公司有多冒險時,我們總是喜歡查看其債務使用情況,因爲債務過載可能導致毀滅。我們注意到綜藝股份有限公司(SHSE:600770)確實在其資產負債表上有債務。但這些債務對股東來說是個問題嗎?
When Is Debt A Problem?
什麼時候負債才是一個問題?
Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.
債務是幫助企業增長的工具,但如果一家企業無法償還其貸款人,那麼它存在於貸款人的憐憫之下。如果情況真的很糟糕,貸款人可以接管企業。然而,更頻繁(但仍然昂貴)的發生情況是公司必須以低於市場價格發行股份,永久稀釋股東,只是爲了鞏固其資產負債表。當然,債務的好處是通常代表廉價資本,特別是當它取代了公司具有高回報能力的再投資時。當我們考慮一家公司使用債務時,我們首先要看現金和債務的總額。
How Much Debt Does Jiangsu ZongyiLTD Carry?
綜藝股份有限公司的債務有多少?
The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Jiangsu ZongyiLTD had debt of CN¥234.1m at the end of September 2024, a reduction from CN¥318.5m over a year. But on the other hand it also has CN¥1.65b in cash, leading to a CN¥1.42b net cash position.
下圖可以點擊以獲取更詳細的信息,顯示到2024年9月底,綜藝股份有限公司的債務爲23410萬人民幣,較一年前的31850萬人民幣有所減少。但另一方面,它也有16.5億人民幣的現金,導致14.2億人民幣的淨現金頭寸。
How Healthy Is Jiangsu ZongyiLTD's Balance Sheet?
江蘇綜藝有限公司的資產負債表健康嗎?
Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Jiangsu ZongyiLTD had liabilities of CN¥414.3m due within 12 months and liabilities of CN¥327.3m due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of CN¥1.65b as well as receivables valued at CN¥175.1m due within 12 months. So it actually has CN¥1.09b more liquid assets than total liabilities.
仔細查看最新的資產負債表數據,我們可以看到江蘇綜藝有限公司有41430萬人民幣的短期負債和32730萬人民幣的長期負債。抵消這些義務,公司有16.5億人民幣的現金,以及17510萬人民幣的短期應收賬款。因此,它實際上擁有比總負債多出10.9億人民幣的流動資產。
This excess liquidity suggests that Jiangsu ZongyiLTD is taking a careful approach to debt. Because it has plenty of assets, it is unlikely to have trouble with its lenders. Succinctly put, Jiangsu ZongyiLTD boasts net cash, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load! When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is Jiangsu ZongyiLTD's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.
這種流動性超額表明江蘇綜藝有限公司在債務方面採取了謹慎的方法。由於擁有大量資產,因此不太可能與債權人出現問題。簡單來說,江蘇綜藝有限公司擁有淨現金,因此可以公正地說它沒有沉重的債務負擔!在分析債務水平時,資產負債表顯然是一個好的起點。但影響資產負債表未來表現的將是江蘇綜藝有限公司的盈利。因此,在考慮債務時,查看盈利趨勢絕對值得。點擊這裏查看互動快照。
Over 12 months, Jiangsu ZongyiLTD made a loss at the EBIT level, and saw its revenue drop to CN¥300m, which is a fall of 13%. We would much prefer see growth.
在過去12個月中,江蘇綜藝有限公司在EBIT層面上虧損,營業收入下降至30000萬人民幣,下降幅度爲13%。我們更希望看到增長。
So How Risky Is Jiangsu ZongyiLTD?
那麼江蘇綜藝有限公司有多大風險?
While Jiangsu ZongyiLTD lost money on an earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) level, it actually booked a paper profit of CN¥7.9m. So taking that on face value, and considering the cash, we don't think its very risky in the near term. With mediocre revenue growth in the last year, we're don't find the investment opportunity particularly compelling. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For example - Jiangsu ZongyiLTD has 2 warning signs we think you should be aware of.
雖然江蘇綜藝有限公司在息稅前收益(EBIT)層面上虧損,但實際上記錄了790萬人民幣的紙面利潤。因此,從表面價值來看,考慮到現金,我們認爲它在短期內風險不大。由於去年營業收入增長平平,我們認爲這個投資機會並不是特別有吸引力。在分析債務水平時,資產負債表顯然是一個好的起點。然而,並非所有投資風險都在資產負債表內,遠非如此。例如,江蘇綜藝有限公司有 2 個警告信號,我們認爲您應該注意。
At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.
每天結束時,通常更好地關注那些沒有淨債務的公司。您可以查看我們特別名單上的這些公司(所有這些公司都有盈利增長記錄)。這是免費的。
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