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Is Dazhong Transportation (Group) Co., Ltd.'s (SHSE:600611) Stock Price Struggling As A Result Of Its Mixed Financials?

Is Dazhong Transportation (Group) Co., Ltd.'s (SHSE:600611) Stock Price Struggling As A Result Of Its Mixed Financials?

大中運輸(集團)有限公司(SHSE:600611)的股價是否因其混合財務狀況而面臨困境?
Simply Wall St ·  12/03 19:30

It is hard to get excited after looking at Dazhong Transportation (Group)'s (SHSE:600611) recent performance, when its stock has declined 12% over the past three months. It seems that the market might have completely ignored the positive aspects of the company's fundamentals and decided to weigh-in more on the negative aspects. Long-term fundamentals are usually what drive market outcomes, so it's worth paying close attention. Specifically, we decided to study Dazhong Transportation (Group)'s ROE in this article.

在看到大莊運輸(集團)(SHSE:600611)最近的表現後,很難感到興奮,因爲其股票在過去三個月中下跌了12%。市場似乎完全忽視了公司基本面中的積極因素,並決定更加關注負面因素。長期基本面通常是推動市場結果的因素,因此值得密切關注。具體來說,我們決定在本文中研究大莊運輸(集團)的roe。

Return on equity or ROE is an important factor to be considered by a shareholder because it tells them how effectively their capital is being reinvested. Put another way, it reveals the company's success at turning shareholder investments into profits.

ROE(淨資產收益率)是股東需考慮的一個重要因素,因爲它告訴他們資本被有效地再投資的效果如何。換句話說,它揭示了公司將股東的投資轉化爲利潤的成功程度。

How Is ROE Calculated?

淨資產收益率怎麼計算?

The formula for return on equity is:

權益回報率的計算公式是:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

淨資產收益率 = 淨利潤(來自持續經營) ÷ 股東權益

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Dazhong Transportation (Group) is:

因此,根據上述公式,大莊運輸(集團)的roe爲:

3.1% = CN¥319m ÷ CN¥10b (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2024).

3.1% = CN¥31900萬 ÷ CN¥100億(基於截至2024年9月的過去十二個月)。

The 'return' refers to a company's earnings over the last year. That means that for every CN¥1 worth of shareholders' equity, the company generated CN¥0.03 in profit.

『回報』指的是公司過去一年的盈利。這意味着,對於每1元股東權益,公司創造了0.03元的利潤。

What Is The Relationship Between ROE And Earnings Growth?

What Is The Relationship Between ROE And Earnings Growth?

So far, we've learned that ROE is a measure of a company's profitability. We now need to evaluate how much profit the company reinvests or "retains" for future growth which then gives us an idea about the growth potential of the company. Assuming everything else remains unchanged, the higher the ROE and profit retention, the higher the growth rate of a company compared to companies that don't necessarily bear these characteristics.

到目前爲止,我們已經了解了ROE是衡量公司盈利能力的一個指標。我們現在需要評估公司再投資或「保留」未來增長的利潤量,以此給我們提供公司增長潛力的想法。假設其他所有因素保持不變,ROE和利潤保留率越高,相比不具備這些特徵的公司,這些公司的增長率就越高。

Dazhong Transportation (Group)'s Earnings Growth And 3.1% ROE

大中運輸(集團)的盈利增長和3.1%的roe

It is hard to argue that Dazhong Transportation (Group)'s ROE is much good in and of itself. Even when compared to the industry average of 4.4%, the ROE figure is pretty disappointing. Given the circumstances, the significant decline in net income by 36% seen by Dazhong Transportation (Group) over the last five years is not surprising. We reckon that there could also be other factors at play here. Such as - low earnings retention or poor allocation of capital.

很難說大中運輸(集團)的roe在自身來看就有什麼好。即使與行業平均4.4%相比,roe的數字也相當讓人失望。在這種情況下,大中運輸(集團)在過去五年中淨利潤下降36%也就不足爲奇了。我們認爲這裏可能還有其他因素在起作用,比如:盈利留存低或資本配置不當。

As a next step, we compared Dazhong Transportation (Group)'s performance with the industry and found thatDazhong Transportation (Group)'s performance is depressing even when compared with the industry, which has shrunk its earnings at a rate of 0.6% in the same period, which is a slower than the company.

作爲下一步,我們將大中運輸(集團)的表現與行業進行了比較,發現大中運輸(集團)的表現甚至在與行業比較時也令人沮喪,而該行業在同一期間的盈利以0.6%的速度縮減,這一速度比該公司慢。

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SHSE:600611 Past Earnings Growth December 4th 2024
SHSE:600611 過去的盈利增長 2024年12月4日

Earnings growth is an important metric to consider when valuing a stock. It's important for an investor to know whether the market has priced in the company's expected earnings growth (or decline). By doing so, they will have an idea if the stock is headed into clear blue waters or if swampy waters await. If you're wondering about Dazhong Transportation (Group)'s's valuation, check out this gauge of its price-to-earnings ratio, as compared to its industry.

盈利增長是估值股票時需要考慮的重要指標。投資者了解市場是否已經考慮了公司預期的盈利增長(或下降)非常重要。這樣做,他們將對股票是否進入了平靜的沃特世有所了解,還是有泥濘的水域在等待着。如果你在詢問大中華運輸(集團)的估值,可以查看該公司的市盈率相較於行業的評估。

Is Dazhong Transportation (Group) Making Efficient Use Of Its Profits?

大中華運輸(集團)是否有效利用了其利潤?

Looking at its three-year median payout ratio of 40% (or a retention ratio of 60%) which is pretty normal, Dazhong Transportation (Group)'s declining earnings is rather baffling as one would expect to see a fair bit of growth when a company is retaining a good portion of its profits. So there might be other factors at play here which could potentially be hampering growth. For example, the business has faced some headwinds.

考慮到其三年中位數派息率爲40%(或保留率爲60%)這相當正常,大中華運輸(集團)盈利下滑相當讓人困惑,因爲人們通常期望在公司保留了一定比例的利潤時能看到相當的增長。因此,這裏可能存在其他因素在影響增長。例如,該業務面臨了一些逆風。

In addition, Dazhong Transportation (Group) has been paying dividends over a period of at least ten years suggesting that keeping up dividend payments is way more important to the management even if it comes at the cost of business growth.

此外,大中華運輸(集團)在至少十年的時間裏支付了分紅,表明維持分紅支付對管理層來說比業務增長更爲重要,即便這代價是犧牲業務增長。

Conclusion

結論

On the whole, we feel that the performance shown by Dazhong Transportation (Group) can be open to many interpretations. Even though it appears to be retaining most of its profits, given the low ROE, investors may not be benefitting from all that reinvestment after all. The low earnings growth suggests our theory correct. Wrapping up, we would proceed with caution with this company and one way of doing that would be to look at the risk profile of the business. You can see the 4 risks we have identified for Dazhong Transportation (Group) by visiting our risks dashboard for free on our platform here.

總體來說,我們覺得大中運輸(集團)表現的情況可以有多種解讀。 儘管看起來它保留了大部分的利潤,但由於低roe,投資者可能並沒有從所有的再投資中受益。低盈利增長表明我們的理論是正確的。 總結一下,我們將謹慎對待這家公司,進行謹慎的方式之一是查看其業務的風險特徵。 您可以通過訪問我們的風險儀表板,免費查看我們爲大中運輸(集團)識別的四個風險。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的這篇文章是一般性質的。我們僅基於歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,使用公正的方法,我們的文章並非意在提供財務建議。這並不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,並且不考慮您的目標或財務狀況。我們旨在爲您帶來基於基礎數據驅動的長期聚焦分析。請注意,我們的分析可能未考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St對提及的任何股票都沒有持倉。

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