KVH Industries, Inc. (NASDAQ:KVHI) shareholders have had their patience rewarded with a 27% share price jump in the last month. Looking further back, the 23% rise over the last twelve months isn't too bad notwithstanding the strength over the last 30 days.
In spite of the firm bounce in price, there still wouldn't be many who think KVH Industries' price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 1x is worth a mention when the median P/S in the United States' Communications industry is similar at about 1.2x. While this might not raise any eyebrows, if the P/S ratio is not justified investors could be missing out on a potential opportunity or ignoring looming disappointment.
What Does KVH Industries' P/S Mean For Shareholders?
KVH Industries hasn't been tracking well recently as its declining revenue compares poorly to other companies, which have seen some growth in their revenues on average. It might be that many expect the dour revenue performance to strengthen positively, which has kept the P/S from falling. If not, then existing shareholders may be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.
If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on KVH Industries.
How Is KVH Industries' Revenue Growth Trending?
In order to justify its P/S ratio, KVH Industries would need to produce growth that's similar to the industry.
In reviewing the last year of financials, we were disheartened to see the company's revenues fell to the tune of 13%. This means it has also seen a slide in revenue over the longer-term as revenue is down 17% in total over the last three years. So unfortunately, we have to acknowledge that the company has not done a great job of growing revenue over that time.
Shifting to the future, estimates from the lone analyst covering the company suggest revenue growth is heading into negative territory, declining 6.2% over the next year. Meanwhile, the broader industry is forecast to expand by 11%, which paints a poor picture.
In light of this, it's somewhat alarming that KVH Industries' P/S sits in line with the majority of other companies. Apparently many investors in the company reject the analyst cohort's pessimism and aren't willing to let go of their stock right now. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as these declining revenues are likely to weigh on the share price eventually.
The Final Word
KVH Industries' stock has a lot of momentum behind it lately, which has brought its P/S level with the rest of the industry. Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-sales ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.
Our check of KVH Industries' analyst forecasts revealed that its outlook for shrinking revenue isn't bringing down its P/S as much as we would have predicted. With this in mind, we don't feel the current P/S is justified as declining revenues are unlikely to support a more positive sentiment for long. If the declining revenues were to materialize in the form of a declining share price, shareholders will be feeling the pinch.
Don't forget that there may be other risks. For instance, we've identified 1 warning sign for KVH Industries that you should be aware of.
It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So if growing profitability aligns with your idea of a great company, take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).
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