Shandong Fiberglass Group (SHSE:605006) Is Making Moderate Use Of Debt
Shandong Fiberglass Group (SHSE:605006) Is Making Moderate Use Of Debt
The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. We can see that Shandong Fiberglass Group Co., Ltd (SHSE:605006) does use debt in its business. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.
由伯克希爾哈撒韋的查理·芒格支持的外部基金經理李露毫不掩飾地表示:「最大的投資風險不是價格的波動,而是你是否會遭受永久性資本損失。」在檢查一家公司的風險時,考慮公司的資產負債表是理所當然的,因爲在企業倒閉時往往涉及債務。我們可以看到,山東玻纖集團有限公司(SHSE:605006)在其業務中確實使用了債務。但真正的問題是,這筆債務是否使公司面臨風險。
What Risk Does Debt Bring?
債務帶來了什麼風險?
Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.
債務可以幫助企業,直到企業由於新資本或自由現金流而難以償還它。在最壞的情況下,如果一家公司無法償還債權人,它可能會破產。然而,更常見(但仍然昂貴)的情況是,一家公司必須以低廉的股票價格稀釋股東,以便控制債務。當然,債務可以成爲企業中重要的工具,特別是在資本密集型的企業中。考慮公司債務水平的第一步是同時考慮其現金和債務。
What Is Shandong Fiberglass Group's Net Debt?
山東玻纖集團的淨債務是多少?
The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at September 2024 Shandong Fiberglass Group had debt of CN¥2.54b, up from CN¥1.89b in one year. However, because it has a cash reserve of CN¥774.4m, its net debt is less, at about CN¥1.76b.
下圖(點擊可查看詳細信息)顯示,截至2024年9月,山東玻纖集團的債務爲25.4億人民幣,較一年前的18.9億人民幣有所增加。然而,由於其現金儲備爲77440萬人民幣,淨債務降至約17.6億人民幣。
A Look At Shandong Fiberglass Group's Liabilities
山東玻纖集團的負債情況概述
Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Shandong Fiberglass Group had liabilities of CN¥1.95b due within 12 months and liabilities of CN¥2.11b due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of CN¥774.4m and CN¥665.7m worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities total CN¥2.62b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.
細看最新的資產負債表數據,我們可以看到山東玻纖集團在12個月內的負債爲19.5億人民幣,12個月後到期的負債爲21.1億人民幣。另一方面,公司的現金爲77440萬人民幣,短期應收賬款爲66570萬人民幣。因此,其負債總額爲26.2億人民幣,超過了其現金和短期應收賬款的總和。
This deficit is considerable relative to its market capitalization of CN¥3.75b, so it does suggest shareholders should keep an eye on Shandong Fiberglass Group's use of debt. Should its lenders demand that it shore up the balance sheet, shareholders would likely face severe dilution. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Shandong Fiberglass Group's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.
相對於其37.5億人民幣的市場資本化,這一赤字相當可觀,因此確實建議股東關注山東玻纖集團的債務使用情況。如果貸款方要求其加強資產負債表,股東可能會面臨嚴重的稀釋。在分析債務水平時,資產負債表無疑是最明顯的起點。但未來的盈利能力將更能判斷山東玻纖集團維持健康資產負債表的能力。因此,如果你想了解專業人士的看法,你可能會覺得這個關於分析師盈利預測的免費報告很有趣。
Over 12 months, Shandong Fiberglass Group made a loss at the EBIT level, and saw its revenue drop to CN¥2.0b, which is a fall of 11%. We would much prefer see growth.
在過去的12個月裏,山東玻纖集團在EBIT層面出現了虧損,營業收入降至20億人民幣,下降了11%。我們更希望看到增長。
Caveat Emptor
警惕陷阱
While Shandong Fiberglass Group's falling revenue is about as heartwarming as a wet blanket, arguably its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss is even less appealing. Indeed, it lost CN¥161m at the EBIT level. Considering that alongside the liabilities mentioned above does not give us much confidence that company should be using so much debt. So we think its balance sheet is a little strained, though not beyond repair. However, it doesn't help that it burned through CN¥723m of cash over the last year. So in short it's a really risky stock. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. These risks can be hard to spot. Every company has them, and we've spotted 2 warning signs for Shandong Fiberglass Group you should know about.
雖然山東玻纖集團的營業收入下降得似乎令人心情沉重,但可以說其息稅前利潤(EBIT)虧損甚至更爲糟糕。實際上,它在EBIT層面虧損了16100萬人民幣。考慮到上述負債,與此相輔相成,並沒有給我們太多信心,認爲公司應該使用如此多的債務。因此,我們認爲其資產負債表有些緊張,但並非無法修復。然而,過去一年它耗損了72300萬人民幣的現金,這並沒有幫助。因此,簡單來說,這是一隻非常高風險的股票。在分析債務水平時,資產負債表無疑是最明顯的起點。但最終,每家公司都可能存在資產負債表之外的風險。這些風險可能難以發現。每家公司都有這些風險,而我們發現山東玻纖集團有兩個你應該知道的警告信號。
If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.
如果在這些之後,你對一家快速成長且資產負債表穩健的公司更感興趣,那麼請毫不猶豫地查看我們淨現金增長股票的列表。
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