Guoanda Co., Ltd.'s (SZSE:300902) Stock Going Strong But Fundamentals Look Weak: What Implications Could This Have On The Stock?
Guoanda Co., Ltd.'s (SZSE:300902) Stock Going Strong But Fundamentals Look Weak: What Implications Could This Have On The Stock?
Guoanda (SZSE:300902) has had a great run on the share market with its stock up by a significant 23% over the last three months. However, in this article, we decided to focus on its weak fundamentals, as long-term financial performance of a business is what ultimately dictates market outcomes. In this article, we decided to focus on Guoanda's ROE.
國安達(深證:300902)在股市上表現出色,過去三個月股票上漲了23%。然而,在本文中,我們決定關注其基礎面較弱,因爲一個公司的長期財務表現最終決定市場結果。在本文中,我們決定關注國安達的roe。
Return on equity or ROE is a key measure used to assess how efficiently a company's management is utilizing the company's capital. In other words, it is a profitability ratio which measures the rate of return on the capital provided by the company's shareholders.
淨資產收益率(roe)是衡量公司經營管理層如何有效利用公司資本的關鍵指標。換言之,它是一種利潤率,衡量由公司股東提供的資本的回報率。
How Do You Calculate Return On Equity?
如何計算淨資產收益率?
Return on equity can be calculated by using the formula:
股東權益報酬率可以使用以下公式計算:
Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity
淨資產收益率 = 淨利潤(來自持續經營) ÷ 股東權益
So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Guoanda is:
因此,根據上述公式,國安達的roe爲:
1.9% = CN¥16m ÷ CN¥847m (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2024).
1.9% = CN¥1600萬 ÷ CN¥84700萬(基於截至2024年9月的過去十二個月)。
The 'return' is the amount earned after tax over the last twelve months. One way to conceptualize this is that for each CN¥1 of shareholders' capital it has, the company made CN¥0.02 in profit.
「回報」是稅後收益的總額過去十二個月。 可以這樣概括,即對於每個股東的每個人民幣1元,該公司獲得了0.02元的利潤。
Why Is ROE Important For Earnings Growth?
ROE爲什麼對淨利潤增長很重要?
Thus far, we have learned that ROE measures how efficiently a company is generating its profits. Based on how much of its profits the company chooses to reinvest or "retain", we are then able to evaluate a company's future ability to generate profits. Assuming everything else remains unchanged, the higher the ROE and profit retention, the higher the growth rate of a company compared to companies that don't necessarily bear these characteristics.
到目前爲止,我們已經知道ROE測量公司如何高效地生成利潤。基於公司選擇重新投資或「保留」其利潤的比例,我們能夠評估公司未來生成利潤的能力。假設其他所有因素保持不變,則ROE和利潤保留率越高,公司的增長率也越高,與不一定具備這些特徵的公司相比。
A Side By Side comparison of Guoanda's Earnings Growth And 1.9% ROE
關於國安的盈利增長與1.9% roe的並列比較
As you can see, Guoanda's ROE looks pretty weak. Not just that, even compared to the industry average of 6.3%, the company's ROE is entirely unremarkable. Given the circumstances, the significant decline in net income by 26% seen by Guoanda over the last five years is not surprising. However, there could also be other factors causing the earnings to decline. For example, the business has allocated capital poorly, or that the company has a very high payout ratio.
如您所見,國安的roe看起來相當弱。 不僅如此,甚至與行業平均水平6.3%相比,該公司的roe都顯得非常平庸。 在這種情況下,國安在過去五年中淨利潤下降26%並不令人感到意外。 然而,也可能有其他因素導致盈利下降。 例如,業務資本配置不當,或者公司的分紅派息比例非常高。
However, when we compared Guoanda's growth with the industry we found that while the company's earnings have been shrinking, the industry has seen an earnings growth of 3.9% in the same period. This is quite worrisome.
然而,當我們將國安的增長與行業進行比較時,我們發現雖然公司的盈利在縮水,但行業在同一時期的盈利增長達3.9%。 這讓人感到相當擔憂。
Earnings growth is a huge factor in stock valuation. It's important for an investor to know whether the market has priced in the company's expected earnings growth (or decline). This then helps them determine if the stock is placed for a bright or bleak future. If you're wondering about Guoanda's's valuation, check out this gauge of its price-to-earnings ratio, as compared to its industry.
盈利增長是股票估值的一個重要因素。對於投資者來說,了解市場是否已考慮到公司的預期盈利增長(或下降)非常重要。這樣有助於他們判斷股票的未來是光明還是黯淡。如果您想了解廣安的估值情況,請查看其市盈率與行業的對比。
Is Guoanda Using Its Retained Earnings Effectively?
廣安是否有效利用其留存收益?
With a high three-year median payout ratio of 85% (implying that 15% of the profits are retained), most of Guoanda's profits are being paid to shareholders, which explains the company's shrinking earnings. With only a little being reinvested into the business, earnings growth would obviously be low or non-existent. To know the 3 risks we have identified for Guoanda visit our risks dashboard for free.
廣安的三年中位數派息比率高達85%(意味着15%的利潤被留存),因此大部分的利潤都支付給了股東,這也解釋了公司盈利的縮水。由於只有少量資金被 reinvested into 業務,盈利增長顯然會很低或根本不存在。要了解我們爲廣安識別的三個風險,請免費訪問我們的風險特斯拉-儀表。
Additionally, Guoanda has paid dividends over a period of four years, which means that the company's management is rather focused on keeping up its dividend payments, regardless of the shrinking earnings.
此外,廣安在過去的四年中已經支付了分紅派息,這意味着公司的管理層相當注重保持其分紅派息支付,儘管盈利在不斷縮水。
Summary
總結
Overall, we would be extremely cautious before making any decision on Guoanda. Because the company is not reinvesting much into the business, and given the low ROE, it's not surprising to see the lack or absence of growth in its earnings. Up till now, we've only made a short study of the company's growth data. To gain further insights into Guoanda's past profit growth, check out this visualization of past earnings, revenue and cash flows.
總體而言,在對國安的任何決策之前,我們將會非常謹慎。因爲公司在業務上的再投資不多,再加上低的roe,看到其收益缺乏或沒有增長並不令人驚訝。到目前爲止,我們只對公司的增長數據進行了簡單的研究。要進一步了解國安過去的利潤增長,請查看過去收益、營業收入和現金流的可視化圖。
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Simply Wall St的這篇文章是一般性質的。我們僅基於歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,使用公正的方法,我們的文章並非意在提供財務建議。這並不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,並且不考慮您的目標或財務狀況。我們旨在爲您帶來基於基礎數據驅動的長期聚焦分析。請注意,我們的分析可能未考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St對提及的任何股票都沒有持倉。