Sunward Intelligent Equipment (SZSE:002097) Takes On Some Risk With Its Use Of Debt
Sunward Intelligent Equipment (SZSE:002097) Takes On Some Risk With Its Use Of Debt
The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. Importantly, Sunward Intelligent Equipment Co., Ltd. (SZSE:002097) does carry debt. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?
由巴菲特的查理·芒格支持的外部基金經理李錄直言不諱地表示:「最大的投資風險不是價格的波動,而是你是否會遭受永久的資本損失。」 因此,聰明的資金知道,債務 - 通常與破產有關 - 是評估公司風險時一個非常重要的因素。 重要的是,山河智能裝備有限公司(SZSE:002097)確實帶有債務。 但股東們應該擔心其債務的使用嗎?
What Risk Does Debt Bring?
What Risk Does Debt Bring?
Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.
一般來說,債務只有在公司無法輕鬆償還時才成爲真正的問題,無論是通過融資還是自身的現金流。如果情況變得非常糟糕,貸款人可以接管企業。雖然這種情況並不常見,但我們經常看到,負債的公司因爲貸款人迫使其以賤價融資而永久稀釋股東。當然,債務的好處在於,它通常代表着廉價的資本,尤其是當它替代了公司能夠以高回報率再投資的稀釋時。在考慮一個公司的債務水平時,第一步是將其現金和債務放在一起考慮。
What Is Sunward Intelligent Equipment's Net Debt?
山河智能裝備的淨債務是多少?
The chart below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Sunward Intelligent Equipment had CN¥10.2b in debt in September 2024; about the same as the year before. On the flip side, it has CN¥1.76b in cash leading to net debt of about CN¥8.43b.
下面的圖表可以點擊查看更詳細的信息,顯示山河智能裝備在2024年9月的債務爲102億人民幣;與去年基本持平。另一方面,它有17.6億人民幣的現金,導致淨債務約爲84.3億人民幣。
A Look At Sunward Intelligent Equipment's Liabilities
看看山河智能的負債情況
Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Sunward Intelligent Equipment had liabilities of CN¥9.61b due within 12 months and liabilities of CN¥6.99b due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of CN¥1.76b as well as receivables valued at CN¥8.08b due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by CN¥6.76b.
深入分析最新的資產負債表數據,我們可以看到山河智能的負債爲96.1億人民幣,12個月內到期的負債爲69.9億人民幣。抵消這些義務,它有17.6億人民幣的現金以及12個月內到期的應收賬款價值爲80.8億人民幣。因此,它的負債超過了現金和(短期)應收賬款的總和67.6億人民幣。
This is a mountain of leverage relative to its market capitalization of CN¥8.46b. This suggests shareholders would be heavily diluted if the company needed to shore up its balance sheet in a hurry.
相比其84.6億人民幣的市值,這是一筆巨額的槓桿。這表明,如果公司需要迅速增強其資產負債表,股東將面臨嚴重的稀釋風險。
We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.
Service Corporation International的債務是其EBITDA的3.5倍,而其EBIT可覆蓋其利息開支的3.7倍。綜合考慮,雖然我們不希望看到債務水平上升,但我們認爲它可以應對當前的槓桿。好消息是,Service Corporation International在過去12個月中將其EBIT提高了2.9%,從而逐漸降低了其相對於收益的債務水平。毫無疑問,我們從資產負債表中獲得了有關債務的大部分內容。但是,相對於資產負債表,更重要的是未來收益,這將決定Service Corporation International維持健康資產負債表的能力。如果您關注未來,您可以查看此免費報告,其中有分析師的利潤預測。
Sunward Intelligent Equipment shareholders face the double whammy of a high net debt to EBITDA ratio (13.7), and fairly weak interest coverage, since EBIT is just 0.46 times the interest expense. This means we'd consider it to have a heavy debt load. One redeeming factor for Sunward Intelligent Equipment is that it turned last year's EBIT loss into a gain of CN¥149m, over the last twelve months. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Sunward Intelligent Equipment will need earnings to service that debt. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.
山河智能的股東面臨着高淨債務與EBITDA比率(13.7)以及相當薄弱的利息覆蓋率,因爲EBIT僅爲利息費用的0.46倍。這意味着我們會認爲它負擔沉重的債務。山河智能的一個補救因素是,它把去年的EBIT虧損轉變爲14900萬人民幣的收益,過去12個月裏。在分析債務水平時,資產負債表顯然是出發點。但是你不能完全孤立地看待債務;因爲山河智能需要收益來償還這些債務。因此,在考慮債務時,查看收益趨勢絕對是值得的。點擊這裏查看互動快照。
Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. So it's worth checking how much of the earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) is backed by free cash flow. Over the last year, Sunward Intelligent Equipment actually produced more free cash flow than EBIT. There's nothing better than incoming cash when it comes to staying in your lenders' good graces.
最後,一項業務需要自由現金流來償還債務;會計利潤無法滿足需求。因此值得檢查在息稅前利潤(EBIT)中有多少是由自由現金流支持的。在過去的一年中,山河智能實際上產生的自由現金流超過了EBIT。在保持貸方良好印象方面,沒有什麼比流入現金更有效了。
Our View
我們的觀點
Neither Sunward Intelligent Equipment's ability to cover its interest expense with its EBIT nor its net debt to EBITDA gave us confidence in its ability to take on more debt. But the good news is it seems to be able to convert EBIT to free cash flow with ease. Taking the abovementioned factors together we do think Sunward Intelligent Equipment's debt poses some risks to the business. So while that leverage does boost returns on equity, we wouldn't really want to see it increase from here. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. To that end, you should learn about the 4 warning signs we've spotted with Sunward Intelligent Equipment (including 2 which are concerning) .
無論是山河智能的EBIT覆蓋利息支出的能力,還是淨負債與EBITDA的比率,都未能讓我們信懇智能其增加債務的能力。但好消息是,它似乎能夠輕鬆將EBIT轉化爲自由現金流。綜合考慮上述因素,我們認爲山河智能的債務對其業務確實存在一些風險。因此,雖然這種槓桿會提升股本回報率,但我們並不希望其在這裏繼續增加。資產負債表顯然是分析債務時需要關注的領域。但最終,每個公司都可能包含資產負債表之外存在的風險。爲此,您應該了解我們發現的山河智能的4個警告信號(其中2個令我們擔憂)。
If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.
如果在所有這些之後,您更感興趣的是具有堅實資產負債表的快速增長公司,那麼不要拖延,查看我們的淨現金增長股票列表。
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Simply Wall St的這篇文章是一般性質的。我們僅基於歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,使用公正的方法,我們的文章並非意在提供財務建議。這並不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,並且不考慮您的目標或財務狀況。我們旨在爲您帶來基於基礎數據驅動的長期聚焦分析。請注意,我們的分析可能未考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St對提及的任何股票都沒有持倉。