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Is RAISECOM TECHNOLOGYLtd (SHSE:603803) A Risky Investment?

Is RAISECOM TECHNOLOGYLtd (SHSE:603803) A Risky Investment?

RAISECOm科技有限公司(上交所代碼:603803)是一項風險投資嗎?
Simply Wall St ·  2024/12/05 14:25

Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. As with many other companies RAISECOM TECHNOLOGY CO.,Ltd. (SHSE:603803) makes use of debt. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

傳奇基金經理李錄(查理·芒格支持的人)曾說過,'最大的投資風險不是價格的波動,而是你是否會遭受資本的永久性損失。' 因此,當你考慮任何特定股票的風險時,考慮債務可能是顯而易見的,因爲過多的債務會讓公司陷入困境。 許多其他公司一樣,瑞斯康達科技有限公司(SHSE:603803)也使用債務。 但股東應擔心它的債務使用嗎?

When Is Debt A Problem?

什麼時候負債才是一個問題?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

債務是幫助企業成長的工具,但如果企業無法償還借款人,那麼它就處於借款人的掌控之中。 如果情況變得非常糟糕,借款人可以控制企業。 然而,更常見(但仍然昂貴)的情況是,企業必須以便宜的股票價格稀釋股東,以便控制債務。 不過,通過替代稀釋,債務對於需要資本以高回報率進行投資的企業來說,可以是一個非常好的工具。 考慮一家公司的債務水平的第一步是將其現金和債務一起考慮。

What Is RAISECOM TECHNOLOGYLtd's Debt?

瑞斯康達科技有限公司的債務是多少?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that RAISECOM TECHNOLOGYLtd had CN¥282.2m of debt in September 2024, down from CN¥360.0m, one year before. But it also has CN¥660.9m in cash to offset that, meaning it has CN¥378.6m net cash.

您可以點擊下面的圖形查看歷史數據,但它顯示瑞斯康達科技有限公司在2024年9月的債務爲28220萬人民幣,低於一年前的36000萬人民幣。 但它還有66090萬人民幣的現金來抵消這些債務,這意味着它淨現金爲37860萬人民幣。

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SHSE:603803 Debt to Equity History December 5th 2024
SHSE:603803 債務與權益歷史 2024年12月5日

How Strong Is RAISECOM TECHNOLOGYLtd's Balance Sheet?

瑞斯康達的資產負債表有多強?

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that RAISECOM TECHNOLOGYLtd had liabilities of CN¥1.00b falling due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥57.8m due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of CN¥660.9m and CN¥747.9m worth of receivables due within a year. So it actually has CN¥349.8m more liquid assets than total liabilities.

從最近的資產負債表可以看到,瑞斯康達的負債爲10億人民幣,且在一年內到期的負債爲5780萬人民幣。另一方面,它擁有66090萬人民幣的現金和74790萬人民幣的應收款(在一年內到期)。所以它實際上擁有的流動資產比總負債多34980萬人民幣。

This surplus suggests that RAISECOM TECHNOLOGYLtd has a conservative balance sheet, and could probably eliminate its debt without much difficulty. Simply put, the fact that RAISECOM TECHNOLOGYLtd has more cash than debt is arguably a good indication that it can manage its debt safely. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is RAISECOM TECHNOLOGYLtd's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.

這一盈餘表明,瑞斯康達的資產負債表較爲保守,可能在沒有太大困難的情況下消除債務。簡而言之,瑞斯康達的現金超過債務,這無疑是一個良好的跡象,表明它能夠安全管理其債務。在分析債務水平時,資產負債表顯然是一個開始的地方。但瑞斯康達的盈利將影響其資產負債表在未來的表現。因此,在考慮債務時,查看盈利趨勢絕對值得關注。點擊這裏查看互動快照。

In the last year RAISECOM TECHNOLOGYLtd had a loss before interest and tax, and actually shrunk its revenue by 17%, to CN¥1.5b. We would much prefer see growth.

在過去的一年裏,瑞斯康達在利息和稅收之前的損失,實際上其營業收入減少了17%,降至15億人民幣。我們更希望看到增長。

So How Risky Is RAISECOM TECHNOLOGYLtd?

那麼瑞斯康達有多危險呢?

While RAISECOM TECHNOLOGYLtd lost money on an earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) level, it actually generated positive free cash flow CN¥116m. So taking that on face value, and considering the net cash situation, we don't think that the stock is too risky in the near term. We'll feel more comfortable with the stock once EBIT is positive, given the lacklustre revenue growth. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. To that end, you should be aware of the 1 warning sign we've spotted with RAISECOM TECHNOLOGYLtd .

雖然瑞斯康達在息稅前利潤(EBIT)層面上虧損,但它實際上產生了11600萬人民幣的正自由現金流。因此,考慮到這個表面價值和淨現金狀況,我們並不認爲這隻股票在短期內風險過大。鑑於乏善可陳的營業收入增長,我們會在EBIT爲正時對股票感到更舒適。在分析債務時,資產負債表顯然是一個關注的重點。然而,並非所有投資風險都存在於資產負債表之中,遠非如此。爲此,您應該注意到我們發現的瑞斯康達的一個警告信號。

If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.

如果您有興趣投資能夠在不負債的情況下增長利潤的企業,請查看這份免費列表,其中列出了在資產負債表上擁有淨現金的成長型企業。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的這篇文章是一般性質的。我們僅基於歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,使用公正的方法,我們的文章並非意在提供財務建議。這並不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,並且不考慮您的目標或財務狀況。我們旨在爲您帶來基於基礎數據驅動的長期聚焦分析。請注意,我們的分析可能未考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St對提及的任何股票都沒有持倉。

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