We Think EST Tools (SZSE:300488) Can Manage Its Debt With Ease
We Think EST Tools (SZSE:300488) Can Manage Its Debt With Ease
Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. We note that EST Tools Co., Ltd (SZSE:300488) does have debt on its balance sheet. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?
霍華德·馬克斯說得很好,他表示,與其擔心股價波動,不如說「永久性損失的可能性是我所擔心的風險……而我認識的每個實用投資者也都擔心這個」。當我們考慮一家公司的風險時,我們總是喜歡查看其債務的使用情況,因爲債務過重可能導致毀滅。我們注意到ESt Tools有限公司(深證:300488)確實有債務在其資產負債表上。但這對股東來說是個擔憂嗎?
When Is Debt Dangerous?
債務何時有危險?
Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.
一般來說,債務只有在公司無法輕鬆償還債務時才會成爲真正的問題,無論是通過籌集資本還是利用自身現金流。最終,如果公司無法履行償還債務的法律義務,股東可能什麼也拿不到。然而,更常見(但仍然痛苦)的情況是公司必須以低價籌集新的股本資金,從而永久地稀釋股東的股份。然而,通過替代稀釋,債務可以成爲對需要以較高回報率投資增長的企業非常有利的工具。當考慮公司使用債務時,我們首先需要看現金和債務的總和。
What Is EST Tools's Net Debt?
ESt Tools的淨債務是多少?
As you can see below, at the end of September 2024, EST Tools had CN¥571.6m of debt, up from CN¥27.0m a year ago. Click the image for more detail. However, because it has a cash reserve of CN¥447.0m, its net debt is less, at about CN¥124.6m.
正如您在下面所見,截至2024年9月底,ESt Tools的債務爲57160萬人民幣,比一年前的2700萬人民幣有所增加。點擊圖片了解更多詳情。然而,由於它擁有44700萬人民幣的現金儲備,因此其淨債務減少到大約12460萬人民幣。
A Look At EST Tools' Liabilities
ESt工具的負債情況分析
Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that EST Tools had liabilities of CN¥172.5m due within 12 months and liabilities of CN¥586.9m due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had CN¥447.0m in cash and CN¥305.6m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So these liquid assets roughly match the total liabilities.
通過最新的資產負債表數據,我們可以看到ESt工具的負債爲17250萬人民幣,12個月內到期,58690萬人民幣在此之後到期。抵消這些負債,它有44700萬人民幣的現金和30560萬人民幣的應收賬款,12個月內到期。因此,這些流動資產大致與總負債相當。
Having regard to EST Tools' size, it seems that its liquid assets are well balanced with its total liabilities. So it's very unlikely that the CN¥4.36b company is short on cash, but still worth keeping an eye on the balance sheet.
考慮到ESt工具的規模,它的流動資產與總負債相當平衡。因此,這家43.6億人民幣的公司非常不可能出現現金短缺,但仍然值得關注資產負債表。
We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).
我們使用兩個主要比率來了解債務相對於收入的水平。首先是淨債務除以利息、稅項、折舊和攤銷前利潤(EBITDA),而第二個是其稅前利潤(EBIT)可以覆蓋利息支出的倍數(或簡稱爲利息覆蓋率)。 這種方法的優勢在於我們既考慮了債務的絕對量(淨債務與EBITDA)又考慮了與該債務相關的實際利息支出(利息覆蓋比)。
EST Tools's net debt is only 0.51 times its EBITDA. And its EBIT covers its interest expense a whopping 18.9 times over. So you could argue it is no more threatened by its debt than an elephant is by a mouse. On top of that, EST Tools grew its EBIT by 31% over the last twelve months, and that growth will make it easier to handle its debt. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since EST Tools will need earnings to service that debt. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.
ESt工具的淨債務僅爲其EBITDA的0.51倍。而其EBIT可以覆蓋其利息支出達18.9倍。因此,可以說它的債務對它的威脅不比大象對老鼠的威脅大。此外,ESt工具在過去12個月中增長了31%的EBIT,這樣的增長將使其更容易處理債務。在分析債務水平時,資產負債表顯然是個開始。但不能單獨看待債務;因爲ESt工具需要收益來償還這些債務。因此,在考慮債務時,肯定值得看看盈利趨勢。點擊這裏獲取互動快照。
But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. So we always check how much of that EBIT is translated into free cash flow. Over the most recent three years, EST Tools recorded free cash flow worth 68% of its EBIT, which is around normal, given free cash flow excludes interest and tax. This cold hard cash means it can reduce its debt when it wants to.
但是我們最終的考慮也很重要,因爲公司不能用紙面利潤來償還債務;它需要真實的現金。因此,我們總是檢查EBIT中有多少轉化爲自由現金流。在最近的三年裏,ESt工具的自由現金流佔其EBIT的68%,這在正常範圍內,因爲自由現金流不包括利息和稅。這筆真金白銀意味着它可以在需要時減少債務。
Our View
我們的觀點
The good news is that EST Tools's demonstrated ability to cover its interest expense with its EBIT delights us like a fluffy puppy does a toddler. And that's just the beginning of the good news since its EBIT growth rate is also very heartening. Considering this range of factors, it seems to us that EST Tools is quite prudent with its debt, and the risks seem well managed. So we're not worried about the use of a little leverage on the balance sheet. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. To that end, you should be aware of the 1 warning sign we've spotted with EST Tools .
好消息是,ESt Tools 能夠用其息稅前利潤來覆蓋其利息支出,這讓我們感到高興,就像毛茸茸的小狗讓小孩開心一樣。這只是好消息的開始,因爲其息稅前利潤的增長率也非常令人鼓舞。考慮到這些因素,我們認爲 ESt Tools 在債務方面相當謹慎,風險似乎得到了很好的管理。因此,我們並不擔心在資產負債表上使用一些槓桿。在分析債務水平時,資產負債表顯然是一個開始的地方。但最終,每家公司都可能存在資產負債表之外的風險。爲此,你應該知道我們發現的 ESt Tools 的 1 個警告信號。
When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.
當一切塵埃落定時,有時更容易專注於那些甚至不需要債務的公司。讀者可以立即免費查看零淨債務的成長股列表。
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