Is Zenner Metering Technology (Shanghai) (SZSE:301303) Using Too Much Debt?
Is Zenner Metering Technology (Shanghai) (SZSE:301303) Using Too Much Debt?
Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. We can see that Zenner Metering Technology (Shanghai) Ltd. (SZSE:301303) does use debt in its business. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?
傳奇基金經理李錄(受查理·芒格支持)曾經說過,「最大的投資風險不是價格的波動,而是你是否會遭受永久性資本損失。」所以當你考慮任何股票的風險時,需要考慮債務,因爲過多的債務可能會拖垮一家公司。我們可以看到Zenner Metering Technology(上海)有限公司(SZSE:301303)在業務中確實使用債務。但股東們是否應該擔心它的債務使用呢?
What Risk Does Debt Bring?
What Risk Does Debt Bring?
Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.
當企業無法輕鬆用自由現金流履行這些義務,或者以有吸引力的價格籌集資金時,債務和其他負債對企業就會變得風險。資本主義的一個重要組成部分就是「創造性破壞」的過程,即債務過大的企業會被銀行無情清算。雖然這種情況並不常見,但我們經常看到負債累累的公司由於債權人迫使它們以低價籌集資金,從而永久性地稀釋股東利益。話雖如此,最常見的情況是公司合理地管理其債務,並且對自身有利。在考慮一家企業使用了多少債務時,首先要做的是查看其現金和債務情況。
What Is Zenner Metering Technology (Shanghai)'s Debt?
禪納儀表科技(上海)的債務是多少?
As you can see below, at the end of September 2024, Zenner Metering Technology (Shanghai) had CN¥324.7m of debt, up from CN¥36.0m a year ago. Click the image for more detail. However, it does have CN¥570.0m in cash offsetting this, leading to net cash of CN¥245.3m.
正如您下面所看到的,在2024年9月底,Zenner Metering Technology(上海)的債務達到了人民幣32470萬,比一年前的3600萬人民幣有所增加。點擊圖片查看更多詳情。然而,它確實有57000萬人民幣的現金來抵消這筆債務,導致淨現金爲人民幣24530萬。
How Healthy Is Zenner Metering Technology (Shanghai)'s Balance Sheet?
Zenner Metering Technology(上海)的資產負債表健康狀況如何?
According to the last reported balance sheet, Zenner Metering Technology (Shanghai) had liabilities of CN¥807.2m due within 12 months, and liabilities of CN¥30.4m due beyond 12 months. On the other hand, it had cash of CN¥570.0m and CN¥1.23b worth of receivables due within a year. So it can boast CN¥957.9m more liquid assets than total liabilities.
根據最近披露的資產負債表顯示,Zenner Metering Technology(上海)有8,0720萬人民幣的負債需要在12個月內償還,並且有3,040萬人民幣的負債需要在12個月後償還。另一方面,公司擁有5,7000萬人民幣的現金和價值12.3億人民幣的應收賬款需要在一年內收回。因此,公司比總負債多擁有9,5790萬人民幣的流動資產。
This short term liquidity is a sign that Zenner Metering Technology (Shanghai) could probably pay off its debt with ease, as its balance sheet is far from stretched. Simply put, the fact that Zenner Metering Technology (Shanghai) has more cash than debt is arguably a good indication that it can manage its debt safely.
這種短期流動性表明,Zenner Metering Technology(上海)很可能可以輕鬆償還債務,因爲其資產負債表遠未過分。簡而言之,Zenner Metering Technology(上海)擁有更多現金而不是債務,這可以認爲是公司能夠安全管理債務的良好跡象。
But the other side of the story is that Zenner Metering Technology (Shanghai) saw its EBIT decline by 5.4% over the last year. If earnings continue to decline at that rate the company may have increasing difficulty managing its debt load. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Zenner Metering Technology (Shanghai) will need earnings to service that debt. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.
但故事的另一面是,Zenner Metering Technology(上海)去年的EBIt下降了5.4%。如果收益繼續以這個速度下降,公司可能會越來越難以管理其債務負擔。分析債務水平時,資產負債表是明顯應該開始的地方。但您不能孤立地看待債務;因爲Zenner Metering Technology(上海)將需要盈利來償還債務。所以,在考慮債務時,確實值得看一下盈利趨勢。點擊這裏查看互動快照。
Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. Zenner Metering Technology (Shanghai) may have net cash on the balance sheet, but it is still interesting to look at how well the business converts its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, because that will influence both its need for, and its capacity to manage debt. During the last three years, Zenner Metering Technology (Shanghai) burned a lot of cash. While investors are no doubt expecting a reversal of that situation in due course, it clearly does mean its use of debt is more risky.
最後,公司只能靠冰冷的現金償還債務,而不是會計利潤。Zenner Metering Technology(上海)的資產負債表上可能有淨現金,但看一下公司將其息稅前利潤(EBIT)轉化爲自由現金流的情況會更有趣,因爲這將影響公司管理債務的需求和能力。在過去三年中,Zenner Metering Technology(上海)燒掉了大量現金。儘管投資者無疑期待這種情況很快會逆轉,但顯然這意味着其債務使用更爲冒險。
Summing Up
總之
While we empathize with investors who find debt concerning, you should keep in mind that Zenner Metering Technology (Shanghai) has net cash of CN¥245.3m, as well as more liquid assets than liabilities. So we are not troubled with Zenner Metering Technology (Shanghai)'s debt use. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. We've identified 2 warning signs with Zenner Metering Technology (Shanghai) , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.
儘管我們理解認爲債務令投資者感到擔憂,但您應該記住,上海澤納計量技術有着人民幣24530萬的淨現金,以及比負債更多的流動資產。因此,我們對上海澤納計量技術的債務使用並不感到困擾。毫無疑問,我們從資產負債表中了解最多關於債務的信息。然而,並不是所有的投資風險都存於資產負債表之內- 遠非如此。我們已經發現了2個關於上海澤納計量技術的警告信號,理解它們應該成爲您投資過程的一部分。
If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.
如果您有興趣投資能夠在不負債的情況下增長利潤的企業,請查看這份免費列表,其中列出了在資產負債表上擁有淨現金的成長型企業。
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