Fujian Yongfu Power EngineeringLtd (SZSE:300712) Shareholders Notch a 21% CAGR Over 5 Years, yet Earnings Have Been Shrinking
Fujian Yongfu Power EngineeringLtd (SZSE:300712) Shareholders Notch a 21% CAGR Over 5 Years, yet Earnings Have Been Shrinking
When you buy shares in a company, it's worth keeping in mind the possibility that it could fail, and you could lose your money. But on the bright side, you can make far more than 100% on a really good stock. Long term Fujian Yongfu Power Engineering Co.,Ltd. (SZSE:300712) shareholders would be well aware of this, since the stock is up 153% in five years. On top of that, the share price is up 51% in about a quarter. But this move may well have been assisted by the reasonably buoyant market (up 28% in 90 days).
當您購買公司股票時,值得記住這可能失敗,您可能會失去資金。但好消息是,在一支真正優秀的股票上,您可以獲得超過100%的回報。長揸福建永福股份工程股份有限公司(SZSE:300712)的股東會意識到這一點,因爲該股票在五年內上漲了153%。此外,股價在大約一個季度上漲了51%。但這種漲幅很可能受到相當樂觀的市場的支持(在90天內上漲了28%)。
On the back of a solid 7-day performance, let's check what role the company's fundamentals have played in driving long term shareholder returns.
在穩定的七天表現之後,讓我們看看公司的基本面對長期股東回報的影響。
To quote Buffett, 'Ships will sail around the world but the Flat Earth Society will flourish. There will continue to be wide discrepancies between price and value in the marketplace...' One imperfect but simple way to consider how the market perception of a company has shifted is to compare the change in the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price movement.
引用巴菲特的話:「船隻將周遊世界,而『地平派』仍會興旺。市場上的價格和價值仍會存在廣泛的差距……」考慮一家公司在市場上的認知如何變化的一個不完美但簡單的方法是比較每股收益(EPS)的變化和股價的波動。
During five years of share price growth, Fujian Yongfu Power EngineeringLtd actually saw its EPS drop 3.8% per year.
在五年的股價增長期間,福建永福股份工程有限公司實際上看到其每股收益每年下降3.8%。
By glancing at these numbers, we'd posit that the decline in earnings per share is not representative of how the business has changed over the years. Therefore, it's worth taking a look at other metrics to try to understand the share price movements.
通過瀏覽這些數字,我們可以推斷每股收益下降並不代表業務在這些年裏的變化。因此,值得看看其他指標以了解股票價格的變動。
The modest 0.4% dividend yield is unlikely to be propping up the share price. In contrast revenue growth of 15% per year is probably viewed as evidence that Fujian Yongfu Power EngineeringLtd is growing, a real positive. In that case, the company may be sacrificing current earnings per share to drive growth.
謙和的0.4%股息率不太可能支撐股價。相比之下,年均15%的營收增長可能被視爲福建永福股份電力工程有限公司正在增長的證據,這是一個真正的利好。在這種情況下,該公司可能會犧牲當前每股收益以推動增長。
The company's revenue and earnings (over time) are depicted in the image below (click to see the exact numbers).
以下圖像顯示了公司的營業收入和盈利(隨時間變化)(單擊以查看準確的數字)。
You can see how its balance sheet has strengthened (or weakened) over time in this free interactive graphic.
你可以在這個免費的互動圖表中看到它的資產負債表如何隨着時間的推移而加強(或削弱)。
What About Dividends?
關於分紅派息的問題
When looking at investment returns, it is important to consider the difference between total shareholder return (TSR) and share price return. Whereas the share price return only reflects the change in the share price, the TSR includes the value of dividends (assuming they were reinvested) and the benefit of any discounted capital raising or spin-off. Arguably, the TSR gives a more comprehensive picture of the return generated by a stock. We note that for Fujian Yongfu Power EngineeringLtd the TSR over the last 5 years was 157%, which is better than the share price return mentioned above. And there's no prize for guessing that the dividend payments largely explain the divergence!
在考慮投資回報時,重要的是要考慮總股東回報(TSR)和股價回報之間的差異。股價回報僅反映股價的變化,而TSR則包括分紅的價值(假設它們被再投資)以及任何折價增發或剝離帶來的好處。可以說,TSR給出了股票產生的回報更全面的圖景。我們注意到,對於福建永福股份電力工程有限公司,過去5年的TSR爲157%,優於上述提到的股價回報。而且毫無疑問,分紅支付在很大程度上解釋了這種分歧!
A Different Perspective
另一種看法
Fujian Yongfu Power EngineeringLtd provided a TSR of 9.5% over the year (including dividends). That's fairly close to the broader market return. It has to be noted that the recent return falls short of the 21% shareholders have gained each year, over half a decade. Although the share price growth has slowed, the longer term story points to a business well worth watching. While it is well worth considering the different impacts that market conditions can have on the share price, there are other factors that are even more important. Consider for instance, the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 3 warning signs with Fujian Yongfu Power EngineeringLtd (at least 2 which are concerning) , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.
福建永福電力工程股份有限公司在過去一年提供了9.5%的總收益率(包括分紅)。這與更廣泛的市場回報相當接近。必須注意到,最近的回報不及股東們每年獲得的21%,在過去的五年中每年的回報。儘管股價增長放緩,但長期來看,這個企業仍然值得關注。雖然值得考慮市場狀況對股價的影響,但還有其他更重要的因素。例如,要考慮投資風險的不斷存在。我們識別出了福建永福電力工程股份有限公司的3個警告信號(至少有2個令人擔憂的),了解它們應該成爲您投資過程的一部分。
Of course, you might find a fantastic investment by looking elsewhere. So take a peek at this free list of companies we expect will grow earnings.
當然,您可能通過在其他地方尋找會找到一筆極好的投資。因此,請查看我們預計會增長收入的公司免費名單。
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Chinese exchanges.
請注意,本文中引用的市場回報反映了目前在中國交易所上市的股票的市場加權平均回報。
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
對這篇文章有反饋嗎?對內容感到擔憂嗎?請直接與我們聯繫。或者,發送電子郵件至editorial-team @ simplywallst.com。
Simply Wall St的這篇文章是一般性質的。我們僅基於歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,使用公正的方法,我們的文章並非意在提供財務建議。這並不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,並且不考慮您的目標或財務狀況。我們旨在爲您帶來基於基礎數據驅動的長期聚焦分析。請注意,我們的分析可能未考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St對提及的任何股票都沒有持倉。