With a price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 18.8x Riverstone Holdings Limited (SGX:AP4) may be sending very bearish signals at the moment, given that almost half of all companies in Singapore have P/E ratios under 11x and even P/E's lower than 7x are not unusual. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly elevated P/E.
With earnings growth that's superior to most other companies of late, Riverstone Holdings has been doing relatively well. The P/E is probably high because investors think this strong earnings performance will continue. If not, then existing shareholders might be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.
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Is There Enough Growth For Riverstone Holdings?
In order to justify its P/E ratio, Riverstone Holdings would need to produce outstanding growth well in excess of the market.
If we review the last year of earnings growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 46%. Despite this strong recent growth, it's still struggling to catch up as its three-year EPS frustratingly shrank by 83% overall. So unfortunately, we have to acknowledge that the company has not done a great job of growing earnings over that time.
Turning to the outlook, the next year should generate growth of 15% as estimated by the four analysts watching the company. With the market only predicted to deliver 7.5%, the company is positioned for a stronger earnings result.
With this information, we can see why Riverstone Holdings is trading at such a high P/E compared to the market. It seems most investors are expecting this strong future growth and are willing to pay more for the stock.
What We Can Learn From Riverstone Holdings' P/E?
It's argued the price-to-earnings ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.
We've established that Riverstone Holdings maintains its high P/E on the strength of its forecast growth being higher than the wider market, as expected. Right now shareholders are comfortable with the P/E as they are quite confident future earnings aren't under threat. Unless these conditions change, they will continue to provide strong support to the share price.
Having said that, be aware Riverstone Holdings is showing 1 warning sign in our investment analysis, you should know about.
You might be able to find a better investment than Riverstone Holdings. If you want a selection of possible candidates, check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).
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