Wondershare Technology Group Co., Ltd. (SZSE:300624) shares have continued their recent momentum with a 36% gain in the last month alone. Notwithstanding the latest gain, the annual share price return of 6.0% isn't as impressive.
Following the firm bounce in price, given close to half the companies operating in China's Software industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 7.5x, you may consider Wondershare Technology Group as a stock to potentially avoid with its 11x P/S ratio. However, the P/S might be high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.
How Has Wondershare Technology Group Performed Recently?
Recent revenue growth for Wondershare Technology Group has been in line with the industry. One possibility is that the P/S ratio is high because investors think this modest revenue performance will accelerate. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.
Keen to find out how analysts think Wondershare Technology Group's future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.
What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The High P/S?
In order to justify its P/S ratio, Wondershare Technology Group would need to produce impressive growth in excess of the industry.
Taking a look back first, we see that there was hardly any revenue growth to speak of for the company over the past year. Still, the latest three year period has seen an excellent 42% overall rise in revenue, in spite of its uninspiring short-term performance. So while the company has done a solid job in the past, it's somewhat concerning to see revenue growth decline as much as it has.
Turning to the outlook, the next year should generate growth of 21% as estimated by the eight analysts watching the company. That's shaping up to be materially lower than the 32% growth forecast for the broader industry.
With this information, we find it concerning that Wondershare Technology Group is trading at a P/S higher than the industry. Apparently many investors in the company are way more bullish than analysts indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock at any price. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as this level of revenue growth is likely to weigh heavily on the share price eventually.
The Key Takeaway
Wondershare Technology Group shares have taken a big step in a northerly direction, but its P/S is elevated as a result. We'd say the price-to-sales ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.
We've concluded that Wondershare Technology Group currently trades on a much higher than expected P/S since its forecast growth is lower than the wider industry. The weakness in the company's revenue estimate doesn't bode well for the elevated P/S, which could take a fall if the revenue sentiment doesn't improve. Unless these conditions improve markedly, it's very challenging to accept these prices as being reasonable.
Before you take the next step, you should know about the 2 warning signs for Wondershare Technology Group (1 is a bit concerning!) that we have uncovered.
If strong companies turning a profit tickle your fancy, then you'll want to check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).
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