Investors in Enpro (NYSE:NPO) Have Seen Impressive Returns of 207% Over the Past Five Years
Investors in Enpro (NYSE:NPO) Have Seen Impressive Returns of 207% Over the Past Five Years
The worst result, after buying shares in a company (assuming no leverage), would be if you lose all the money you put in. But on the bright side, you can make far more than 100% on a really good stock. Long term Enpro Inc. (NYSE:NPO) shareholders would be well aware of this, since the stock is up 189% in five years. Also pleasing for shareholders was the 33% gain in the last three months. But this move may well have been assisted by the reasonably buoyant market (up 14% in 90 days).
購買公司的股票後,最糟糕的結果(假設沒有槓桿)就是你失去了所有投入的資金。但從積極的方面來看,在一個真正好的股票上,你能夠賺取超過100%的收益。長揸Enpro Inc.(紐交所:NPO)的股東對此會非常清楚,因爲該股票在五年內上漲了189%。對股東來說,過去三個月上漲了33%也令人滿意。但這一波上漲可能得益於相對活躍的市場(90天上漲了14%)。
With that in mind, it's worth seeing if the company's underlying fundamentals have been the driver of long term performance, or if there are some discrepancies.
鑑於此,值得看看該公司的基本面是否一直是長期業績的驅動因素,或者是否存在一些不一致之處。
While the efficient markets hypothesis continues to be taught by some, it has been proven that markets are over-reactive dynamic systems, and investors are not always rational. One imperfect but simple way to consider how the market perception of a company has shifted is to compare the change in the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price movement.
雖然一些人仍然教授有效市場假說,但已經證明市場是過於反應的動態系統,投資者並不總是理性。一個不完美但簡單的考慮市場對公司認知變化的方法是,將每股收益(EPS)的變化與股價波動進行比較。
During the five years of share price growth, Enpro moved from a loss to profitability. Sometimes, the start of profitability is a major inflection point that can signal fast earnings growth to come, which in turn justifies very strong share price gains. Since the company was unprofitable five years ago, but not three years ago, it's worth taking a look at the returns in the last three years, too. Indeed, the Enpro share price has gained 80% in three years. During the same period, EPS grew by 2.3% each year. Notably, the EPS growth has been slower than the annualised share price gain of 22% over three years. So one can reasonably conclude the market is more enthusiastic about the stock than it was three years ago.
在五年的股價增長期間,Enpro從虧損轉爲盈利。有時,盈利的開始是一個主要的轉折點,這可以預示着快速的盈利增長,而這反過來又會證明強勁的股價上漲是合理的。由於五年前公司是虧損的,但三年前則不是,因此也值得看看過去三年的回報。實際上,Enpro的股價在三年內上漲了80%。在同一時期,每股收益每年增長了2.3%。值得注意的是,每股收益的增長速度低於三年期間年化的22%的股價增長。因此,可以合理地得出結論,市場對該股票的熱情比三年前更高。
The image below shows how EPS has tracked over time (if you click on the image you can see greater detail).
下圖顯示了每股收益隨着時間的變化(如果你點擊圖片,可以看到更詳細的信息)。
We know that Enpro has improved its bottom line lately, but is it going to grow revenue? This free report showing analyst revenue forecasts should help you figure out if the EPS growth can be sustained.
我們知道Enpro最近改善了盈利狀況,但它的營業收入會增長嗎?這份免費的報告顯示了分析師的營業收入預測,應該能幫助你弄清楚每股收益的增長是否能夠持續。
What About Dividends?
關於分紅派息的問題
It is important to consider the total shareholder return, as well as the share price return, for any given stock. Whereas the share price return only reflects the change in the share price, the TSR includes the value of dividends (assuming they were reinvested) and the benefit of any discounted capital raising or spin-off. So for companies that pay a generous dividend, the TSR is often a lot higher than the share price return. We note that for Enpro the TSR over the last 5 years was 207%, which is better than the share price return mentioned above. And there's no prize for guessing that the dividend payments largely explain the divergence!
對任何給定的股票,考慮總股東回報以及股價回報是重要的。股價回報僅反映股價的變化,而總股東回報則包括分紅的價值(假設它們被再投資)以及任何折價融資或分拆的好處。因此,對於那些支付慷慨分紅的公司來說,總股東回報往往遠高於股價回報。我們注意到,對於Enpro來說,過去5年的總股東回報爲207%,優於上述的股價回報。沒什麼驚喜的是,分紅支付在很大程度上解釋了這種差異!
A Different Perspective
不同的視角
It's good to see that Enpro has rewarded shareholders with a total shareholder return of 44% in the last twelve months. Of course, that includes the dividend. Since the one-year TSR is better than the five-year TSR (the latter coming in at 25% per year), it would seem that the stock's performance has improved in recent times. Given the share price momentum remains strong, it might be worth taking a closer look at the stock, lest you miss an opportunity. Before spending more time on Enpro it might be wise to click here to see if insiders have been buying or selling shares.
看到Enpro在過去十二個月中給予股東44%的總股東回報是件好事。當然,這包括分紅。考慮到一年的總股東回報優於五年的總股東回報(後者每年爲25%),看來股票的表現最近有所改善。鑑於股價動能依然強勁,可能值得更仔細地看看這隻股票,以免錯過機會。在花更多時間在Enpro之前,明智的做法是點擊這裏查看內 insiders 是否在買入或賣出股份。
But note: Enpro may not be the best stock to buy. So take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with past earnings growth (and further growth forecast).
但請注意:Enpro可能不是最好的買入股票。所以請查看這份有趣公司的免費名單,這些公司過去的每股收益增長(以及未來的增長預測)。
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on American exchanges.
請注意,本文中引用的市場回報反映了當前在美國交易所上市股票的市場加權平均回報。
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這篇來自Simply Wall St的文章是一般性的。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,採用無偏見的方法,我們的文章並不旨在提供財務建議。它不構成對任何股票的買入或賣出建議,也未考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們旨在爲您提供以基本數據驅動的長期分析。請注意,我們的分析可能未考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St在提到的任何股票中均沒有持倉。