Shaanxi Jinye Science Technology and Education GroupLtd (SZSE:000812) Takes On Some Risk With Its Use Of Debt
Shaanxi Jinye Science Technology and Education GroupLtd (SZSE:000812) Takes On Some Risk With Its Use Of Debt
The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. We can see that Shaanxi Jinye Science Technology and Education Group Co.,Ltd (SZSE:000812) does use debt in its business. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?
伯克希爾哈撒韋背後的外部基金經理盧李說:「最大的投資風險不在於價格的波動,而在於你是否會遭受資本永久性損失。」 當您檢查一個公司的風險時,考慮其資產負債表是很自然的,因爲往往在企業倒閉時會涉及到債務。 我們可以看到,陝西金葉科技教育集團股份有限公司(SZSE:000812)的確在業務中使用了債務。 但這種債務會讓股東擔心嗎?
Why Does Debt Bring Risk?
爲什麼債務會帶來風險?
Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.
一般來說,只有當一家公司無法輕鬆償還債務時,債務才會成爲一個真正的問題,無論是通過增加資本還是利用自身的現金流。 如果情況變得非常糟糕,債權人可以接管業務。 然而,更常見的(但仍然代價高昂)情況是,一家公司必須以低廉的股價 dilute 股東,以便簡單地控制債務。 當然,有很多公司使用債務來支持增長,而沒有任何負面後果。 當我們考慮一家公司的債務使用時,我們首先查看現金和債務。
What Is Shaanxi Jinye Science Technology and Education GroupLtd's Net Debt?
陝西金葉科技教育集團有限公司的淨債務是多少?
The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at September 2024 Shaanxi Jinye Science Technology and Education GroupLtd had debt of CN¥1.59b, up from CN¥1.23b in one year. On the flip side, it has CN¥303.2m in cash leading to net debt of about CN¥1.29b.
下面的圖片,您可以點擊查看更多詳細信息,顯示陝西金葉科技教育集團有限公司於2024年9月有人民幣15.9億的債務,比一年前的12.3億人民幣增加。 另一方面,其有30320萬人民幣現金,淨債務約爲12.9億人民幣。
How Healthy Is Shaanxi Jinye Science Technology and Education GroupLtd's Balance Sheet?
陝西金葉科技教育集團有限公司的資產負債表健康狀況如何?
Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Shaanxi Jinye Science Technology and Education GroupLtd had liabilities of CN¥2.56b due within 12 months and liabilities of CN¥863.3m due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of CN¥303.2m and CN¥416.3m worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by CN¥2.70b.
深入研究最新資產負債表數據,我們發現陝西金葉科技教育集團有限公司有着非常大的債務,其中有25.6億人民幣需要在12個月內償還,86330萬人民幣需要超過12個月償還。另一方面,公司有30320萬人民幣的現金和41630萬人民幣的應收款項,其中有1年內到期。因此,其負債超過現金和(短期)應收款項的總和達27億人民幣。
This is a mountain of leverage relative to its market capitalization of CN¥4.18b. Should its lenders demand that it shore up the balance sheet, shareholders would likely face severe dilution.
相對於41.8億人民幣的市值,這是一座高山般的槓桿。如果貸款人要求加強資產負債表,股東可能面臨嚴重稀釋。
In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.
爲了衡量公司債務相對於其收入的規模,我們計算其淨債務除以利息、稅收、折舊和攤銷前利潤(EBITDA),並計算其利息前稅利潤(EBIT)除以利息支出(其利息覆蓋率)。這樣,我們考慮了債務的絕對金額,以及支付的利率。
While Shaanxi Jinye Science Technology and Education GroupLtd's debt to EBITDA ratio (4.2) suggests that it uses some debt, its interest cover is very weak, at 2.5, suggesting high leverage. It seems clear that the cost of borrowing money is negatively impacting returns for shareholders, of late. On the other hand, Shaanxi Jinye Science Technology and Education GroupLtd grew its EBIT by 23% in the last year. If sustained, this growth should make that debt evaporate like a scarce drinking water during an unnaturally hot summer. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Shaanxi Jinye Science Technology and Education GroupLtd will need earnings to service that debt. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.
雖然陝西金葉科技教育集團有限公司的債務對息稅折舊及攤銷前利潤(EBITDA)比率(4.2)表明公司使用了一定程度的債務,但其利息償付倍數非常弱,爲2.5,表明槓桿率很高。看起來借款成本對股東的回報產生了負面影響。另一方面,陝西金葉科技教育集團有限公司的EBIT在過去一年增長了23%。如果能持續增長,這種增長應該使債務像在異常炎熱的夏天中稀缺的飲用水一樣消失。在分析債務水平時,資產負債表是明顯的起點。但您不能孤立地看待債務;因爲陝西金葉科技教育集團有限公司將需要收入來償還那些債務。因此,在考慮債務時,絕對值得關注收入趨勢。單擊此處查看互動快照。
Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. So the logical step is to look at the proportion of that EBIT that is matched by actual free cash flow. During the last three years, Shaanxi Jinye Science Technology and Education GroupLtd burned a lot of cash. While investors are no doubt expecting a reversal of that situation in due course, it clearly does mean its use of debt is more risky.
最後,一家企業需要自由現金流來償還債務;會計利潤並不能勝任這項任務。因此,看看EBIT中實際自由現金流所佔比例是合乎邏輯的步驟。在過去三年中,陝西金葉科技教育集團有限公司燒掉了大量現金。儘管投資者無疑期待此情況在不久的將來扭轉,但這顯然意味着其債務使用更加風險。
Our View
我們的觀點
Mulling over Shaanxi Jinye Science Technology and Education GroupLtd's attempt at converting EBIT to free cash flow, we're certainly not enthusiastic. But at least it's pretty decent at growing its EBIT; that's encouraging. Once we consider all the factors above, together, it seems to us that Shaanxi Jinye Science Technology and Education GroupLtd's debt is making it a bit risky. Some people like that sort of risk, but we're mindful of the potential pitfalls, so we'd probably prefer it carry less debt. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. We've identified 1 warning sign with Shaanxi Jinye Science Technology and Education GroupLtd , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.
考慮到陝西金葉科技教育集團嘗試將EBIt轉化爲自由現金流,我們確實不是很熱衷。但至少在增長EBIT方面表現相當不錯,這是令人鼓舞的。一旦我們考慮到以上所有因素,總體而言,我們認爲陝西金葉科技教育集團的債務增加了一些風險。有些人喜歡這種風險,但我們對潛在的風險挑戰持謹慎態度,因此我們可能希望其負債更少。毫無疑問,我們從資產負債表中可以了解到債務的大部分情況。然而,並非所有投資風險都存在於資產負債表中 - 遠非如此。我們已經發現了一個關於陝西金葉科技教育集團的警告信號,了解這些信號應該是你投資過程的一部分。
Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.
當然,如果您是那種喜歡購買沒有債務負擔的股票的投資者,那麼不要猶豫,立即發現我們獨家的淨現金增長股票列表。
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
對這篇文章有反饋嗎?對內容感到擔憂嗎?請直接與我們聯繫。或者,發送電子郵件至editorial-team @ simplywallst.com。
Simply Wall St的這篇文章是一般性質的。我們僅基於歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,使用公正的方法,我們的文章並非意在提供財務建議。這並不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,並且不考慮您的目標或財務狀況。我們旨在爲您帶來基於基礎數據驅動的長期聚焦分析。請注意,我們的分析可能未考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St對提及的任何股票都沒有持倉。