Is Byhealth (SZSE:300146) A Risky Investment?
Is Byhealth (SZSE:300146) A Risky Investment?
David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. As with many other companies Byhealth Co., Ltd (SZSE:300146) makes use of debt. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?
大衛·伊本說得很好,「波動性不是我們關心的風險。我們關心的是避免資本的永久損失。」當我們考慮一家公司的風險時,我們總是喜歡看它的債務使用情況,因爲債務過載可能導致滅亡。與許多其他公司一樣,百濟神州股份有限公司(SZSE:300146)利用債務。但這筆債務對股東是個問題嗎?
Why Does Debt Bring Risk?
爲什麼債務會帶來風險?
Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.
當企業無法很容易地通過自由現金流或以優惠價格籌措資金來滿足債務義務時,負債及其他負擔會對企業產生風險。最終,如果公司無法履行其法定義務償還債務,股東可能什麼都拿不到。然而,更常見(但仍然很貴)的情況是,公司必須以便宜的股價稀釋股東的權益以控制債務。儘管如此,最普遍的情況是公司合理地管理了其負債,並對其自身有利。當我們考慮一家公司的債務使用情況時,首先要看現金和負債。
How Much Debt Does Byhealth Carry?
百濟承擔了多少債務?
You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of September 2024 Byhealth had CN¥550.0m of debt, an increase on none, over one year. However, its balance sheet shows it holds CN¥3.31b in cash, so it actually has CN¥2.76b net cash.
您可以點擊下面的圖表查看歷史數據,但數據顯示截至2024年9月,百濟的債務爲55000萬人民幣,較一年前增加了無,。然而,它的資產負債表顯示它持有33.1億人民幣的現金,因此實際上淨現金爲27.6億人民幣。
How Strong Is Byhealth's Balance Sheet?
保健品公司的資產負債表有多強?
We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Byhealth had liabilities of CN¥1.83b falling due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥355.3m due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had CN¥3.31b in cash and CN¥428.8m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So it actually has CN¥1.55b more liquid assets than total liabilities.
我們可以從最近的資產負債表上看到,保健品公司短期內到期的負債爲18.3億人民幣,而長期負債爲35530萬人民幣。與此相對應的,它手頭上有33.1億人民幣現金和12個月內到期的應收賬款42880萬人民幣。因此,實際上,其流動資產比總負債多了15.5億人民幣。
This surplus suggests that Byhealth has a conservative balance sheet, and could probably eliminate its debt without much difficulty. Succinctly put, Byhealth boasts net cash, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load!
這個盈餘表明,保健品公司擁有保守的資產負債表,很可能可以毫不困難地清償債務。簡而言之,保健品公司擁有淨現金,因此可以說它負債不重!
The modesty of its debt load may become crucial for Byhealth if management cannot prevent a repeat of the 68% cut to EBIT over the last year. When a company sees its earnings tank, it can sometimes find its relationships with its lenders turn sour. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Byhealth can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.
如果管理層無法阻止過去一年EBIt減少68%的情況再次發生,那麼保健品公司的負債規模適中可能變得至關重要。當一家公司的盈利大幅下降時,有時候,它可能發現與貸款人的關係變得緊張。在分析債務時,資產負債表顯然是需要關注的領域。但最終,業務未來的盈利能力將決定保健品公司是否能夠隨着時間加強其資產負債表。因此,如果你關注未來發展,可以查看這份免費報告,展示分析師的利潤預測。
Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. While Byhealth has net cash on its balance sheet, it's still worth taking a look at its ability to convert earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, to help us understand how quickly it is building (or eroding) that cash balance. During the last three years, Byhealth produced sturdy free cash flow equating to 67% of its EBIT, about what we'd expect. This cold hard cash means it can reduce its debt when it wants to.
最後,一家公司只能用實實在在的現金償還債務,而不是用會計利潤。雖然保健品公司的資產負債表上有淨現金,但值得關注的是它將利潤轉化爲自由現金流的能力,以幫助我們了解它是如何迅速積累(或流失)這些現金的。在過去三年裏,保健品公司產生了穩健的自由現金流,相當於其EBIt的67%,大致符合我們的預期。這筆實實在在的現金意味着它可以在需要時減少債務。
Summing Up
總之
While we empathize with investors who find debt concerning, you should keep in mind that Byhealth has net cash of CN¥2.76b, as well as more liquid assets than liabilities. The cherry on top was that in converted 67% of that EBIT to free cash flow, bringing in CN¥739m. So we don't have any problem with Byhealth's use of debt. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. Case in point: We've spotted 3 warning signs for Byhealth you should be aware of, and 1 of them is potentially serious.
雖然我們理解投資者對債務感到擔憂,但您應該記住,康德樂擁有27.6億人民幣的淨現金,以及比負債更多的流動資產。最令人鼓舞的是,有67%的EBIt轉化爲了自由現金流,帶來了73900萬人民幣。所以我們對康德樂使用債務並無異議。毫無疑問,我們對債務的了解大多來自資產負債表。但是,最終,每家公司可能存在超出資產負債表之外的風險。作爲一個案例:我們已經發現了康德樂的3個警示信號,您應該注意其中1個可能很嚴重。
If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.
如果在所有這些之後,您更感興趣的是具有堅實資產負債表的快速增長公司,那麼不要拖延,查看我們的淨現金增長股票列表。
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