We Think Zimmer Biomet Holdings (NYSE:ZBH) Can Stay On Top Of Its Debt
We Think Zimmer Biomet Holdings (NYSE:ZBH) Can Stay On Top Of Its Debt
Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. We can see that Zimmer Biomet Holdings, Inc. (NYSE:ZBH) does use debt in its business. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.
有人說投資者考慮風險時,波動性而非債務是最佳方法,但禾倫·巴菲特曾著名地說過:『波動性遠非與風險同義。』所以聰明的資金似乎知道,債務——通常涉及破產——是評估一家公司風險時一個非常重要的因素。我們可以看到齊默巴奧米特控股公司(紐交所:ZBH)在其業務中確實使用了債務。但真正的問題是,這些債務是否讓公司變得風險更大。
When Is Debt Dangerous?
債務何時有危險?
Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.
一般來說,當一家公司無法輕鬆償還債務時,債務才會成爲真正的問題,無論是通過籌集資本還是利用自身現金流。資本主義的一部分是'創造性破壞'的過程,失敗的企業會被銀行無情清算。儘管這種情況並不常見,但我們經常會看到負債公司因爲債權人迫使其以低價融資而導致股東永久性稀釋。但通過稀釋替換,債務對於需要資本以高回報率投資增長的企業來說可以是一個極好的工具。在考慮一家公司的債務水平時,第一步是將其現金和債務合在一起進行考慮。
What Is Zimmer Biomet Holdings's Debt?
齊默巴奧米特控股的債務是多少?
As you can see below, at the end of September 2024, Zimmer Biomet Holdings had US$6.64b of debt, up from US$5.70b a year ago. Click the image for more detail. On the flip side, it has US$569.0m in cash leading to net debt of about US$6.07b.
正如您在下面所看到的,截止到2024年9月底,齊默巴奧米特控股的債務爲66.4億美元,較一年前的57億美元有所增加。點擊圖片查看詳細信息。另一方面,它有56900萬美元的現金,這導致淨債務約爲60.7億美元。
A Look At Zimmer Biomet Holdings' Liabilities
看齊默巴奧米特控股的負債情況
We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Zimmer Biomet Holdings had liabilities of US$3.57b falling due within a year, and liabilities of US$5.77b due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of US$569.0m and US$1.48b worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by US$7.29b.
從最近的資產負債表中可以看到,齊默巴奧米特控股的一年內到期負債爲35.7億美金,超出一年到期的負債爲57.7億美金。另一方面,它的現金爲56900萬美金,一年內到期的應收賬款爲14.8億美金。因此,它的負債超過了現金和(短期)應收款的總和72.9億美金。
While this might seem like a lot, it is not so bad since Zimmer Biomet Holdings has a huge market capitalization of US$21.5b, and so it could probably strengthen its balance sheet by raising capital if it needed to. However, it is still worthwhile taking a close look at its ability to pay off debt.
雖然這看起來很多,但並不算太糟,因爲齊默巴奧米特控股的市值高達215億美金,因此如果需要,可以通過融資來增強其資產負債表。然而,仔細觀察其償還債務的能力仍然是值得的。
We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).
我們通過查看淨債務與利息、稅、折舊和攤銷前收益(EBITDA)之比以及計算其利息支出由收益前利息和稅(EBIT)覆蓋的程度來度量一家公司的債務負載相對於其收益能力的程度。此方法的優點在於我們同時考慮了債務的絕對量(以淨債務爲EBITDA)以及與該債務相關的實際利息支出(以其利息覆蓋倍數計算)。
Zimmer Biomet Holdings's net debt of 2.4 times EBITDA suggests graceful use of debt. And the alluring interest cover (EBIT of 7.7 times interest expense) certainly does not do anything to dispel this impression. If Zimmer Biomet Holdings can keep growing EBIT at last year's rate of 11% over the last year, then it will find its debt load easier to manage. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Zimmer Biomet Holdings's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.
齊默巴奧米特控股的淨債務爲EBITDA的2.4倍,表明其債務使用得當。誘人的利息保障(EBIT是利息支出的7.7倍)無疑進一步增強了這一印象。如果齊默巴奧米特控股能夠在去年11%的增長率基礎上繼續增長EBIT,那麼它會發現債務負擔更容易管理。在分析債務水平時,資產負債表是顯而易見的起點。但未來的收益,更多的時候,將決定齊默巴奧米特控股保持健康資產負債表的能力。因此,如果你想看看專業人士的看法,你可能會對這份關於分析師利潤預測的免費報告感興趣。
Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. So the logical step is to look at the proportion of that EBIT that is matched by actual free cash flow. Over the most recent three years, Zimmer Biomet Holdings recorded free cash flow worth 59% of its EBIT, which is around normal, given free cash flow excludes interest and tax. This free cash flow puts the company in a good position to pay down debt, when appropriate.
最後,一家公司只能用現金償還債務,而不是會計利潤。因此,邏輯步驟是查看與實際自由現金流相匹配的EBIT比例。在最近三年中,齊默巴奧米特控股記錄的自由現金流佔EBIT的59%,這在正常範圍內,因爲自由現金流不包括利息和稅務。這種自由現金流使得公司在適當的時候能夠很好的償還債務。
Our View
我們的觀點
On this analysis, Zimmer Biomet Holdings's conversion of EBIT to free cash flow was a real positive, just like an unsolicited gift of cupcakes from a work colleague. And its interest cover should also leave shareholders feeling frolicsome. We would also note that Medical Equipment industry companies like Zimmer Biomet Holdings commonly do use debt without problems. All these things considered, it appears that Zimmer Biomet Holdings can comfortably handle its current debt levels. On the plus side, this leverage can boost shareholder returns, but the potential downside is more risk of loss, so it's worth monitoring the balance sheet. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. These risks can be hard to spot. Every company has them, and we've spotted 2 warning signs for Zimmer Biomet Holdings you should know about.
根據分析,齊默巴奧米特控股將EBIT轉化爲自由現金流的表現相當積極,就像同事送來的意外杯子蛋糕一樣。並且,它的利息保障也應該讓股東感到愉悅。我們還注意到,像齊默巴奧米特控股這樣的醫療設備行業企業通常會無問題地使用債務。考慮到所有這些情況,齊默巴奧米特控股能夠輕鬆應對目前的債務水平。從積極的一面來看,這種槓桿可以提升股東回報,但潛在的 downside 是損失風險更高,因此值得關注資產負債表。毫無疑問,我們最了解債務的來源是資產負債表。但最終,每家公司都可能存在資產負債表之外的風險。這些風險可能很難發現。每家公司都有這些風險,我們發現齊默巴奧米特控股有2個你應該知道的警示信號。
When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.
當一切塵埃落定時,有時更容易專注於那些甚至不需要債務的公司。讀者可以立即免費查看零淨債務的成長股列表。
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