Here's Why Guizhou ChitianhuaLtd (SHSE:600227) Can Afford Some Debt
Here's Why Guizhou ChitianhuaLtd (SHSE:600227) Can Afford Some Debt
David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. We can see that Guizhou Chitianhua Co.,Ltd. (SHSE:600227) does use debt in its business. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?
大衛·伊本說得很好,他說:'波動性並不是我們關心的風險。我們關心的是避免永久性資本損失。' 因此,考慮債務在內的風險時,顯然需要思考任何給定股票的風險,因爲過多的債務可能會讓一家公司陷入困境。我們可以看到貴州赤天化股份有限公司(SHSE:600227)確實在其業務中使用了債務。但更重要的問題是:這些債務會帶來多少風險?
When Is Debt Dangerous?
債務何時有危險?
Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.
當企業不能輕鬆運用自由現金流或者以合適的價格籌資時,債務和其他負債便會導致風險。在最壞的情況下,公司如果無法償付其債權人債務,則可能會破產。而即使不至於破產,我們通常也會看到負債累累的企業因爲受到貸款人的壓力而永久稀釋股東權益,因爲它們被迫以低於市值的價格籌集資金。而債務則可以通過替代股權稀釋而成爲需要以高回報率投資爲增長的企業的一種非常好的工具。考慮到企業使用了多少債務時,首先要做的就是查看其現金和債務情況。
What Is Guizhou ChitianhuaLtd's Debt?
貴州赤天化股份有限公司的債務情況是什麼?
As you can see below, at the end of September 2024, Guizhou ChitianhuaLtd had CN¥1.09b of debt, up from CN¥946.3m a year ago. Click the image for more detail. However, it also had CN¥394.0m in cash, and so its net debt is CN¥694.6m.
如您所見,截至2024年9月底,貴州赤天化股份有限公司的債務爲10.9億人民幣,較去年94630萬人民幣有所上升。點擊圖片獲取更多細節。然而,它也有39400萬人民幣的現金,因此其淨債務爲69460萬人民幣。
A Look At Guizhou ChitianhuaLtd's Liabilities
觀察貴州赤天化有限公司的負債情況
We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Guizhou ChitianhuaLtd had liabilities of CN¥1.79b falling due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥533.7m due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of CN¥394.0m and CN¥148.8m worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by CN¥1.78b.
我們可以從最近的資產負債表中看到,貴州赤天化有限公司有負債17.9億人民幣將在一年內到期,以及53370萬人民幣的負債將在更長的時間內到期。另一方面,它有39400萬人民幣的現金和14880萬人民幣的應收賬款將在一年內到期。因此,它的負債超過了其現金和(短期)應收賬款之和17.8億人民幣。
Guizhou ChitianhuaLtd has a market capitalization of CN¥4.84b, so it could very likely raise cash to ameliorate its balance sheet, if the need arose. However, it is still worthwhile taking a close look at its ability to pay off debt. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is Guizhou ChitianhuaLtd's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.
貴州赤天化有限公司的市值爲48.4億人民幣,因此如果需要,它很可能能夠籌集現金以改善其資產負債表。然而,仔細觀察其償還債務的能力仍然是很重要的。資產負債表顯然是分析債務時需要關注的領域。但影響資產負債表在未來表現的將是貴州赤天化有限公司的收益。因此,如果你想了解更多關於其收益的信息,查看其長期收益趨勢的圖表可能是值得的。
In the last year Guizhou ChitianhuaLtd's revenue was pretty flat, and it made a negative EBIT. While that's not too bad, we'd prefer see growth.
在過去的一年裏,貴州赤天化有限公司的營業收入基本持平,併產生了負的息稅前利潤(EBIT)。雖然這並不算太糟糕,但我們更希望看到增長。
Caveat Emptor
買方自負。
Importantly, Guizhou ChitianhuaLtd had an earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss over the last year. Indeed, it lost CN¥51m at the EBIT level. Considering that alongside the liabilities mentioned above does not give us much confidence that company should be using so much debt. Quite frankly we think the balance sheet is far from match-fit, although it could be improved with time. Surprisingly, we note that it actually reported positive free cash flow of CN¥255m and a profit of CN¥92m. So if we focus on those metrics there seems to be a chance the company will manage its debt without much trouble. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For example, we've discovered 1 warning sign for Guizhou ChitianhuaLtd that you should be aware of before investing here.
重要的是,貴州赤天化有限公司在過去的一年中產生了息稅前利潤(EBIT)虧損。實際上,它在EBIT水平上的損失達到5100萬人民幣。考慮到上述負債,這讓我們對公司使用如此多的債務信心不足。坦白說,我們認爲資產負債表遠未健全,儘管隨着時間的推移可能會得到改善。令人驚訝的是,我們注意到它實際上報告了積極的自由現金流爲25500萬人民幣和利潤爲9200萬人民幣。因此,如果我們關注這些指標,似乎有機會公司將能夠順利管理其債務。資產負債表顯然是分析債務時需要關注的領域。但最終,每家公司都可能存在資產負債表外的風險。例如,我們發現了一個來自貴州赤天化有限公司的警告信號,你在此投資前應該注意。
If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.
如果在所有這些之後,您更感興趣的是具有堅實資產負債表的快速增長公司,那麼不要拖延,查看我們的淨現金增長股票列表。
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