Investors Could Be Concerned With GEM's (SZSE:002340) Returns On Capital
Investors Could Be Concerned With GEM's (SZSE:002340) Returns On Capital
If you're looking for a multi-bagger, there's a few things to keep an eye out for. Firstly, we'd want to identify a growing return on capital employed (ROCE) and then alongside that, an ever-increasing base of capital employed. Ultimately, this demonstrates that it's a business that is reinvesting profits at increasing rates of return. Having said that, from a first glance at GEM (SZSE:002340) we aren't jumping out of our chairs at how returns are trending, but let's have a deeper look.
如果你在尋找翻倍股,有幾個方面需要關注。首先,我們需要識別一個不斷增長的資本使用回報率(ROCE),並且與此相伴的是不斷增加的資本使用基礎。最終,這表明這是一個在以更高回報率再投資利潤的業務。 然而,從對創業板(SZSE:002340)的初步觀察來看,我們並沒有對回報趨勢感到興奮,但讓我們深入看看。
What Is Return On Capital Employed (ROCE)?
我們對 Enphase Energy 的資本僱用回報率的看法:正如我們上面看到的,Enphase Energy 的資本回報率沒有提高,但它正在重新投資於業務。投資者必須認爲未來會有更好的前景,因爲股票表現良好,使持股五年以上的股東獲得了 690% 的收益。最終,如果基本趨勢持續存在,我們不會對它成爲一隻多頭股持有期很久很有信心。
For those that aren't sure what ROCE is, it measures the amount of pre-tax profits a company can generate from the capital employed in its business. To calculate this metric for GEM, this is the formula:
對於那些不確定ROCE是什麼的人來說,它衡量的是公司從其業務中使用的資本可以產生的稅前利潤額。要計算創業板的這個指標,公式如下:
Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)
資本利用率 = 利息和稅前利潤(EBIT) ÷ (總資產 - 流動負債)
0.034 = CN¥1.1b ÷ (CN¥62b - CN¥28b) (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2024).
0.034 = CN¥11億 ÷ (CN¥620億 - CN¥28億)(基於截至2024年9月的過去十二個月的數據)。
Thus, GEM has an ROCE of 3.4%. In absolute terms, that's a low return and it also under-performs the Electrical industry average of 5.8%.
因此,創業板的ROCE爲3.4%。從絕對值來看,這個回報很低,並且也低於電氣行業的平均水平5.8%。
In the above chart we have measured GEM's prior ROCE against its prior performance, but the future is arguably more important. If you'd like, you can check out the forecasts from the analysts covering GEM for free.
在上面的圖表中,我們測量了創業板之前的資本回報率(ROCE)與其之前的表現,但未來顯然更重要。如果您願意,可以免費查看分析師對創業板的預測。
What The Trend Of ROCE Can Tell Us
儘管如此,當我們看 enphase energy (納斯達克股票代碼:ENPH) 的時候,它似乎並沒有完全符合這些要求。
On the surface, the trend of ROCE at GEM doesn't inspire confidence. Around five years ago the returns on capital were 11%, but since then they've fallen to 3.4%. Although, given both revenue and the amount of assets employed in the business have increased, it could suggest the company is investing in growth, and the extra capital has led to a short-term reduction in ROCE. If these investments prove successful, this can bode very well for long term stock performance.
從表面上看,創業板的資本回報率(ROCE)趨勢並不令人信服。大約五年前,資本回報率爲11%,但此後已降至3.4%。雖然,考慮到營業收入和在業務中使用的資產總額都在增加,這可能表明公司正在投資於增長,額外的資本導致了短期內資本回報率的降低。如果這些投資證明成功,這將對長期股票表現預示着非常好的前景。
On a separate but related note, it's important to know that GEM has a current liabilities to total assets ratio of 46%, which we'd consider pretty high. This can bring about some risks because the company is basically operating with a rather large reliance on its suppliers or other sorts of short-term creditors. Ideally we'd like to see this reduce as that would mean fewer obligations bearing risks.
另外,值得注意的是,創業板的流動負債與總資產的比率爲46%,我們認爲這個比例相當高。這可能帶來一些風險,因爲公司基本上依賴於供應商或其他形式的短期債權人。理想情況下,我們希望看到這個比率降低,這意味着承擔的風險和義務減少。
What We Can Learn From GEM's ROCE
我們可以從創業板的資本回報率(ROCE)中學到什麼
In summary, despite lower returns in the short term, we're encouraged to see that GEM is reinvesting for growth and has higher sales as a result. Furthermore the stock has climbed 64% over the last five years, it would appear that investors are upbeat about the future. So while investors seem to be recognizing these promising trends, we would look further into this stock to make sure the other metrics justify the positive view.
總而言之,儘管短期內回報下降,但我們很高興看到創業板正在 reinvesting於增長,銷售額因此而更高。此外,該股票在過去五年中上漲了64%,這似乎表明投資者對未來持樂觀態度。因此,儘管投資者似乎正在認識到這些良好的趨勢,我們仍會進一步研究該股票,以確保其他指標證明這種積極的看法是合理的。
One more thing: We've identified 3 warning signs with GEM (at least 2 which don't sit too well with us) , and understanding these would certainly be useful.
還有一件事:我們已識別出GEm的3個警告信號(至少有2個讓我們感到不太滿意),理解這些信號無疑是有用的。
For those who like to invest in solid companies, check out this free list of companies with solid balance sheets and high returns on equity.
對於喜歡投資穩健公司的人,請查看這份具有穩健資產負債表和高權益回報的公司免費列表。
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Simply Wall St的這篇文章是一般性質的。我們僅基於歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,使用公正的方法,我們的文章並非意在提供財務建議。這並不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,並且不考慮您的目標或財務狀況。我們旨在爲您帶來基於基礎數據驅動的長期聚焦分析。請注意,我們的分析可能未考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St對提及的任何股票都沒有持倉。