Hewlett Packard Enterprise Company Just Beat EPS By 16%: Here's What Analysts Think Will Happen Next
Hewlett Packard Enterprise Company Just Beat EPS By 16%: Here's What Analysts Think Will Happen Next
It's been a pretty great week for Hewlett Packard Enterprise Company (NYSE:HPE) shareholders, with its shares surging 13% to US$23.95 in the week since its latest annual results. Revenues were US$30b, approximately in line with expectations, although statutory earnings per share (EPS) performed substantially better. EPS of US$1.93 were also better than expected, beating analyst predictions by 16%. The analysts typically update their forecasts at each earnings report, and we can judge from their estimates whether their view of the company has changed or if there are any new concerns to be aware of. So we collected the latest post-earnings statutory consensus estimates to see what could be in store for next year.
對於惠普企業公司(紐約證券交易所代碼:HPE)的股東來說,這是非常不錯的一週,自發布最新年度業績以來,其股價在本週飆升了13%,至23.95美元。儘管法定每股收益(EPS)表現要好得多,但收入爲300億美元,大致符合預期。每股收益爲1.93美元,也好於預期,比分析師的預測高出16%。分析師通常會在每份收益報告中更新他們的預測,我們可以從他們的估計中判斷他們對公司的看法是否發生了變化,或者是否有任何新的問題需要注意。因此,我們收集了最新的業績後法定共識估計,以了解明年可能會發生什麼。
After the latest results, the 14 analysts covering Hewlett Packard Enterprise are now predicting revenues of US$32.5b in 2025. If met, this would reflect a satisfactory 7.8% improvement in revenue compared to the last 12 months. Statutory earnings per share are expected to drop 11% to US$1.75 in the same period. Before this earnings report, the analysts had been forecasting revenues of US$32.1b and earnings per share (EPS) of US$1.78 in 2025. So it looks like there's been a small decline in overall sentiment after the recent results - there's been no major change to revenue estimates, but the analysts did make a small dip in their earnings per share forecasts.
最新業績公佈後,涵蓋惠普企業的14位分析師現在預測2025年收入爲325億美元。如果得到滿足,這將反映出與過去12個月相比,收入增長了令人滿意的7.8%。預計同期法定每股收益將下降11%,至1.75美元。在本業績發佈之前,分析師一直預測2025年收入爲321億美元,每股收益(EPS)爲1.78美元。因此,在最近的業績公佈之後,整體情緒似乎略有下降——收入估計沒有重大變化,但分析師的每股收益預測確實略有下降。
Despite cutting their earnings forecasts,the analysts have lifted their price target 6.3% to US$23.80, suggesting that these impacts are not expected to weigh on the stock's value in the long term. Fixating on a single price target can be unwise though, since the consensus target is effectively the average of analyst price targets. As a result, some investors like to look at the range of estimates to see if there are any diverging opinions on the company's valuation. There are some variant perceptions on Hewlett Packard Enterprise, with the most bullish analyst valuing it at US$29.00 and the most bearish at US$19.00 per share. These price targets show that analysts do have some differing views on the business, but the estimates do not vary enough to suggest to us that some are betting on wild success or utter failure.
儘管下調了收益預期,但分析師仍將目標股價上調了6.3%,至23.80美元,這表明從長遠來看,這些影響預計不會打壓該股的價值。但是,固定單一價格目標可能是不明智的,因爲共識目標實際上是分析師目標股價的平均值。因此,一些投資者喜歡查看估計範圍,看看對公司的估值是否有任何分歧。對惠普企業有一些不同的看法,最看漲的分析師將其估值爲29.00美元,最看跌的爲每股19.00美元。這些目標股價表明,分析師對該業務的看法確實有所不同,但這些估計的差異不足以向我們表明,有些人押注取得巨大成功或徹底失敗。
Taking a look at the bigger picture now, one of the ways we can understand these forecasts is to see how they compare to both past performance and industry growth estimates. It's clear from the latest estimates that Hewlett Packard Enterprise's rate of growth is expected to accelerate meaningfully, with the forecast 7.8% annualised revenue growth to the end of 2025 noticeably faster than its historical growth of 1.3% p.a. over the past five years. Compare this with other companies in the same industry, which are forecast to grow their revenue 6.7% annually. Factoring in the forecast acceleration in revenue, it's pretty clear that Hewlett Packard Enterprise is expected to grow at about the same rate as the wider industry.
現在從大局來看,我們理解這些預測的方法之一是看看它們與過去的表現和行業增長估計相比如何。從最新估計中可以明顯看出,惠普企業的增長率預計將大幅加速,預計到2025年底的年化收入增長率爲7.8%,明顯快於過去五年中每年1.3%的歷史增長。相比之下,同行業的其他公司預計收入每年將增長6.7%。考慮到收入增長的預測,很明顯,惠普企業的增長速度預計將與整個行業大致相同。
The Bottom Line
底線
The most important thing to take away is that the analysts downgraded their earnings per share estimates, showing that there has been a clear decline in sentiment following these results. Happily, there were no real changes to revenue forecasts, with the business still expected to grow in line with the overall industry. We note an upgrade to the price target, suggesting that the analysts believes the intrinsic value of the business is likely to improve over time.
要了解的最重要的一點是,分析師下調了每股收益的預期,這表明公佈這些業績後,市場情緒明顯下降。令人高興的是,收入預測沒有實際變化,預計該業務仍將與整個行業保持一致。我們注意到目標股價已上調,這表明分析師認爲該業務的內在價值可能會隨着時間的推移而提高。
With that in mind, we wouldn't be too quick to come to a conclusion on Hewlett Packard Enterprise. Long-term earnings power is much more important than next year's profits. At Simply Wall St, we have a full range of analyst estimates for Hewlett Packard Enterprise going out to 2027, and you can see them free on our platform here..
考慮到這一點,我們不會很快得出有關惠普企業的結論。長期盈利能力比明年的利潤重要得多。在Simply Wall St,我們有分析師對惠普企業到2027年的全方位估計,你可以在這裏的平台上免費看到這些估計。
You should always think about risks though. Case in point, we've spotted 1 warning sign for Hewlett Packard Enterprise you should be aware of.
但是,你應該時刻考慮風險。舉個例子,我們發現了一個你應該注意的惠普企業警告信號。
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
對這篇文章有反饋嗎?擔心內容嗎?直接聯繫我們。或者,發送電子郵件給編輯組(網址爲)simplywallst.com。
Simply Wall St 的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法提供基於歷史數據和分析師預測的評論,我們的文章並非旨在提供財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不會考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。華爾街只是沒有持有上述任何股票的頭寸。