Wayfair (NYSE:W) Shareholders Are up 11% This Past Week, but Still in the Red Over the Last Three Years
Wayfair (NYSE:W) Shareholders Are up 11% This Past Week, but Still in the Red Over the Last Three Years
This month, we saw the Wayfair Inc. (NYSE:W) up an impressive 38%. But that doesn't change the fact that the returns over the last three years have been stomach churning. To wit, the share price sky-dived 74% in that time. So it sure is nice to see a bit of an improvement. But the more important question is whether the underlying business can justify a higher price still.
本月,我們看到Wayfair Inc.(紐交所:W)上漲了令人印象深刻的38%。但是,這並不改變過去三年的回報令人感到不適的事實。也就是說,股價在這段時間內暴跌了74%。所以能看到一點改善真是好事。然而,更重要的問題是基礎業務是否能夠證明更高的價格。
While the last three years has been tough for Wayfair shareholders, this past week has shown signs of promise. So let's look at the longer term fundamentals and see if they've been the driver of the negative returns.
雖然過去三年對Wayfair的股東來說很艱難,但過去一週卻顯現出一些希望。那麼讓我們看看長期的基本面,看看它們是否導致了負回報。
Given that Wayfair didn't make a profit in the last twelve months, we'll focus on revenue growth to form a quick view of its business development. Shareholders of unprofitable companies usually desire strong revenue growth. As you can imagine, fast revenue growth, when maintained, often leads to fast profit growth.
考慮到Wayfair在過去 twelve 個月內沒有盈利,我們將關注營業收入增長,以快速了解其業務發展。未盈利公司的股東通常期望強勁的營業收入增長。如你所想,當快速的營業收入增長得到保持時,往往會導致快速的利潤增長。
Over the last three years, Wayfair's revenue dropped 5.4% per year. That is not a good result. Having said that the 20% annualized share price decline highlights the risk of investing in unprofitable companies. We're generally averse to companies with declining revenues, but we're not alone in that. There's no more than a snowball's chance in hell that share price will head back to its old highs, in the short term.
在過去三年中,Wayfair的營業收入每年下降了5.4%。這不是一個好結果。儘管如此,20%的年化股價下降突顯了投資於未盈利公司的風險。我們通常不喜歡營業收入下降的公司,但我們並不孤單。在短期內,股價重返其舊高位的機會微乎其微。
The image below shows how earnings and revenue have tracked over time (if you click on the image you can see greater detail).
以下圖片顯示了收益和營收隨時間的變化(如果你點擊圖片,可以看到更詳細的信息)。
It's probably worth noting that the CEO is paid less than the median at similar sized companies. It's always worth keeping an eye on CEO pay, but a more important question is whether the company will grow earnings throughout the years. So it makes a lot of sense to check out what analysts think Wayfair will earn in the future (free profit forecasts).
值得注意的是,CEO的薪酬低於同類公司中位數。監控CEO薪酬總是值得的,但更重要的問題是公司是否能在未來幾年內增長營業收入。因此,查看分析師對wayfair未來盈利的看法(免費盈利預測)是非常有意義的。
A Different Perspective
另一種看法
While the broader market gained around 34% in the last year, Wayfair shareholders lost 2.5%. However, keep in mind that even the best stocks will sometimes underperform the market over a twelve month period. However, the loss over the last year isn't as bad as the 7% per annum loss investors have suffered over the last half decade. We'd need to see some sustained improvements in the key metrics before we could muster much enthusiasm. It's always interesting to track share price performance over the longer term. But to understand Wayfair better, we need to consider many other factors. Case in point: We've spotted 4 warning signs for Wayfair you should be aware of, and 1 of them shouldn't be ignored.
雖然大盤在過去一年中上漲了大約34%,但wayfair的股東卻損失了2.5%。然而,請記住,即使是最好的股票在十二個月的時間內有時也會表現不如大盤。然而,過去一年的損失並沒有好到哪去,投資者在過去五年中每年損失7%。我們需要看到一些關鍵指標的持續改善,才能激發我們更多的熱情。長期跟蹤股價表現總是很有趣。但要更好地理解wayfair,我們需要考慮許多其他因素。舉個例子:我們發現了4個wayfair的警告信號,您應該對此保持警惕,其中1個信號不容忽視。
For those who like to find winning investments this free list of undervalued companies with recent insider purchasing, could be just the ticket.
對於那些喜歡尋找獲勝投資的人來說,最近有內部購買的低估公司免費列表可能是一個很好的選擇。
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on American exchanges.
請注意,本文所引述的市場回報反映了目前在美國交易所上市的股票的市場加權平均回報。
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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Simply Wall St的這篇文章是一般性質的。我們僅基於歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,使用公正的方法,我們的文章並非意在提供財務建議。這並不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,並且不考慮您的目標或財務狀況。我們旨在爲您帶來基於基礎數據驅動的長期聚焦分析。請注意,我們的分析可能未考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St對提及的任何股票都沒有持倉。