Is Jafron BiomedicalLtd (SZSE:300529) A Risky Investment?
Is Jafron BiomedicalLtd (SZSE:300529) A Risky Investment?
Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. We note that Jafron Biomedical Co.,Ltd. (SZSE:300529) does have debt on its balance sheet. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?
霍華德·馬克斯很好地表達了這一點,他說,與其擔心股票價格的波動,不如說『我擔心的是永久性損失的可能性……而我認識的每個實用投資者也都對此感到擔心。』 當我們考慮一家公司的風險時,我們總是喜歡關注其債務的使用,因爲債務過重可能導致破產。我們注意到健帆生物(SZSE:300529)在其資產負債表上確實有債務。但更重要的問題是:這些債務帶來了多少風險?
When Is Debt Dangerous?
債務何時會變得危險?
Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.
債務對企業的幫助是在企業有能力償還時,或者通過新增資本或自由現金流償還。如果情況實在糟糕,貸款人可以控制企業。雖然這並不常見,但我們常常看到負債累累的公司因貸款人迫使他們以低價融資而永久性稀釋股東權益。當然,債務在企業中可以是一個重要工具,特別是在資本密集型業務中。當我們審查債務水平時,我們首先考慮現金和債務水平。
What Is Jafron BiomedicalLtd's Debt?
健帆生物的債務是多少?
The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Jafron BiomedicalLtd had debt of CN¥1.62b at the end of September 2024, a reduction from CN¥1.72b over a year. However, it does have CN¥2.71b in cash offsetting this, leading to net cash of CN¥1.10b.
下面的圖像(您可以點擊以查看更詳細信息)顯示,健帆生物在2024年9月末的債務爲人民幣16.2億,比一年前的人民幣17.2億有所減少。然而,其有人民幣27.1億的現金對沖了這一點,導致淨現金爲人民幣11億。

How Healthy Is Jafron BiomedicalLtd's Balance Sheet?
健帆生物的資產負債表健康嗎?
We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Jafron BiomedicalLtd had liabilities of CN¥872.9m falling due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥1.43b due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of CN¥2.71b and CN¥217.8m worth of receivables due within a year. So it actually has CN¥631.8m more liquid assets than total liabilities.
從最新的資產負債表可以看出,健帆生物的流動負債爲87290萬人民幣,長期負債爲14.3億人民幣。另一方面,它的現金爲27.1億人民幣,1年內到期的應收賬款爲21780萬人民幣。因此,實際上它的流動資產比總負債多出63180萬人民幣。
This short term liquidity is a sign that Jafron BiomedicalLtd could probably pay off its debt with ease, as its balance sheet is far from stretched. Succinctly put, Jafron BiomedicalLtd boasts net cash, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load!
這種短期流動性表明,健帆生物可能能夠輕鬆償還債務,因爲其資產負債表相當穩健。簡而言之,健帆生物擁有淨現金,因此可以公平地說,它的債務負擔並不重!
Even more impressive was the fact that Jafron BiomedicalLtd grew its EBIT by 125% over twelve months. If maintained that growth will make the debt even more manageable in the years ahead. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Jafron BiomedicalLtd can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.
更令人印象深刻的是,健帆生物在12個月內業績增長了125%。如果增長得以維持,這將使未來幾年的債務更加可管理。在分析債務水平時,資產負債表顯然是一個好的起點。但最終,業務的未來盈利能力將決定健帆生物是否能夠隨着時間的推移來增強其資產負債表。因此,如果你想看看專業人士的看法,你可能會覺得這份關於分析師盈利預測的免費報告很有趣。
Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. Jafron BiomedicalLtd may have net cash on the balance sheet, but it is still interesting to look at how well the business converts its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, because that will influence both its need for, and its capacity to manage debt. During the last three years, Jafron BiomedicalLtd generated free cash flow amounting to a very robust 84% of its EBIT, more than we'd expect. That positions it well to pay down debt if desirable to do so.
最後,公司只能用現金償還債務,而不是會計利潤。健帆生物的資產負債表上可能有淨現金,但看看該企業將稅前利息和稅前利潤(EBIT)轉化爲自由現金流的能力同樣有趣,因爲這將影響到其債務管理的需求和能力。在過去三年中,健帆生物產生的自由現金流高達其EBIT的84%,超過我們的預期。這使其在需要償還債務時處於良好位置。
Summing Up
總結
While we empathize with investors who find debt concerning, you should keep in mind that Jafron BiomedicalLtd has net cash of CN¥1.10b, as well as more liquid assets than liabilities. The cherry on top was that in converted 84% of that EBIT to free cash flow, bringing in CN¥873m. So we don't think Jafron BiomedicalLtd's use of debt is risky. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. Be aware that Jafron BiomedicalLtd is showing 1 warning sign in our investment analysis , you should know about...
雖然我們理解那些對債務感到擔憂的投資者,但您應該記住,健帆生物擁有淨現金達11億人民幣,且其流動資產超過負債。此外,最值得一提的是,該公司將84%的EBIT轉化爲自由現金流,帶來了87300萬人民幣的收入。因此,我們認爲健帆生物的債務使用並不風險。在分析債務水平時,資產負債表顯然是一個出發點。但最終,每個公司都可能存在資產負債表之外的風險。請注意,健帆生物在我們的投資分析中顯示出一個警告信號,您應該了解...
If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.
If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.
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