In the past month, solar stocks have underperformed in the broader market, but there are bargains in the sector that could be picked up amid improving fundamentals, according to an analyst at Goldman Sachs.
The Solar Stock Analyst: Brian Lee upgraded shares of Sunrun Inc (NASDAQ:RUN), with a $77 price target. On the other hand, the analyst downgraded SunPower Corporation (NASDAQ:SPWR) from Buy to Neutral and reduced the price target from $42 to $32.
The Solar Stock Theses — 3 Key Reasons to Be Positive On Solar Stocks: The solar industry is seeing solid fundamentals and have had momentum since the start of the year, analyst Lee said in a note. U.S. solar demand, the analyst said, is back to pre-pandemic levels.
"Our ongoing channel checks with downstream distributors and installers also resonate with our expectations that demand heading into 2021 remains strong," Lee wrote in the note.
Secondly, financing conditions are robust for the solar industry, despite rising interest rates, the analyst said. Additionally, President Joe Biden's focus on clean energy infrastructure is seen as a positive catalyst, according to Lee.
Although solar stocks aren't really cheap in absolute terms, the average P/E has compressed by about seven turns since the beginning of 2021, the analyst said. This is despite an aggregate 8% upward revision to earnings estimate, he added.
Goldman highlighted Sunnova Energy International Inc (NYSE:NOVA), Enphase Energy Inc. (NASDAQ:ENPH) and Array Technologies Inc (NASDAQ:ARRY) as top solar ideas.
Related Link: If You Like SolarEdge, Check Out These 3 Companies
Bullish On Sunrun's Fundamentals: Given the major sell-off in Sunrun shares due to macro factors, the risk-reward has become more attractive at the current levels, analyst Lee said.
Lee is bullish on Sunrun's fundamentals, and the company is likely to outpace in the near term, thanks to market expansion.
Potential positive financing catalysts and ongoing growth acceleration, the analyst said, will buoy shares in the near-to-medium term.
SunPower's Risk-Reward Balanced: SunPower shares are up over 214% since they were added to the Americas Buy List on June 17, 2019, compared to a mere 49% advance by the Russell 2,000 Index, Lee noted.
The stock, the analyst said, has increased over eight times in the past year.
Goldman's revised $32, 12-month target, Lee said, implied less upside from here versus residential solar peers as well as relative to other solar names under coverage.
"While fundamentally we continue to see SPWR well-positioned within the solar space, we now see risk-reward as being more balanced at these levels relative to Buy-rated peers with similar resi solar exposure such as NOVA, as well as ENPH," the analyst wrote in the note.
Solar Stocks Price Action: At last check Tuesday afternoon, Sunrun was down 0.25% to $57.24 and SunPower was down 5.79% to $32.45.
Related Link: Looking Into SunPower's Return On Capital Employed
(Photo: Emojione via Wiki Commons)
高盛(Goldman Sachs)的一位分析師表示,過去一個月,太陽能類股在大盤中表現不佳,但在基本面改善的情況下,該行業有逢低買入的機會。
太陽能股票分析師:Brian Lee上調了Sunrun Inc(納斯達克股票代碼:RUN)的股票評級,目標價為77美元。另一方面,分析師將SunPower Corporation(納斯達克股票代碼:SPWR)的評級從買入下調至中性,並將目標價從42美元下調至32美元。
太陽能股票主題-看好太陽能股票的3個關鍵原因:分析師Lee在一份報告中表示,太陽能行業正看到堅實的基本面,自今年年初以來一直有增長勢頭。這位分析師説,美國的太陽能需求已恢復到大流行前的水平。
李開復在報告中寫道:“我們與下游分銷商和安裝商正在進行的渠道檢查也與我們的預期產生了共鳴,即進入2021年的需求依然強勁。”
其次,這位分析師表示,儘管利率上升,但太陽能行業的融資狀況依然強勁。此外,李表示,美國總統喬·拜登(Joe Biden)對清潔能源基礎設施的關注被視為積極的催化劑。
這位分析師説,儘管太陽能股票的絕對值並不便宜,但自2021年初以來,平均市盈率已經壓縮了大約七個轉折。他補充説,儘管盈利預期總共上調了8%,但仍是如此。
高盛強調Sunnova Energy International Inc(紐約證券交易所股票代碼:NOVA)、Enval Energy Inc.(納斯達克股票代碼:ENPH)和Array Technologies Inc.(納斯達克股票代碼:ARRY)是頂級太陽能公司。
相關鏈接:如果您喜歡SolarEdge,請查看以下3家公司
看好Sunrun的基本面:分析師Lee表示,鑑於宏觀因素導致Sunrun股票大幅拋售,在目前的水平上,風險回報已變得更具吸引力。
Lee看好Sunrun的基本面,得益於市場擴張,該公司可能在短期內超越市場。
這位分析師表示,潛在的積極融資催化劑和持續的增長加速將在中短期內提振股價。
Lee指出,SunPower的風險-回報平衡:SunPower的股價自2019年6月17日被添加到美洲買入名單以來上漲了214%以上,相比之下,羅素2000指數僅上漲了49%。
這位分析師表示,該股在過去一年中上漲了8倍以上。
Lee表示,高盛修正後的32美元12個月目標意味着,與住宅太陽能同行以及覆蓋範圍內的其他太陽能公司相比,這一目標的上行空間較小。
這位分析師在報告中寫道:“雖然從根本上説,我們繼續看到SPWR在太陽能領域處於有利地位,但我們現在認為,與Nova和ENPH等擁有類似REI太陽能敞口的買入評級同行相比,SPWR在這些水平上的風險回報更加平衡。”
太陽能股價格行動:週二下午的最新調查顯示,Sunrun下跌0.25%,至57.24美元,SunPower下跌5.79%,至32.45美元。
相關鏈接:SunPower資本回報率調查
(圖片來源:Emojione通過Wiki Commons)