China State Construction Engineering (SHSE:601668) Shareholders Have Earned a 34% Return Over the Last Year
China State Construction Engineering (SHSE:601668) Shareholders Have Earned a 34% Return Over the Last Year
Passive investing in index funds can generate returns that roughly match the overall market. But one can do better than that by picking better than average stocks (as part of a diversified portfolio). For example, the China State Construction Engineering Corporation Limited (SHSE:601668) share price is up 27% in the last 1 year, clearly besting the market return of around 8.8% (not including dividends). So that should have shareholders smiling. The longer term returns are positive, with the share price up 24% in three years.
被動投資於指數基金可以產生大致匹配整體市場的回報。然而,通過選擇表現優於平均水平的股票(作爲多樣化投資組合的一部分),可以有更好的表現。例如,中國建築(SHSE:601668)的股價在過去一年上漲了27%,明顯超過市場約8.8%的回報(不包括分紅派息)。這應該讓股東們感到高興。長期回報是積極的,三年內股價上漲了24%。
With that in mind, it's worth seeing if the company's underlying fundamentals have been the driver of long term performance, or if there are some discrepancies.
鑑於此,值得看看該公司的基本面是否一直是長期業績的驅動因素,或者是否存在一些不一致之處。
To quote Buffett, 'Ships will sail around the world but the Flat Earth Society will flourish. There will continue to be wide discrepancies between price and value in the marketplace...' One imperfect but simple way to consider how the market perception of a company has shifted is to compare the change in the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price movement.
引用巴菲特的話說:'船隻將航行世界,但平面地球協會將繁榮發展。市場上價格與價值之間的差異將繼續存在...' 一種不完美但簡單的方式來考慮市場對一家公司的看法如何變化,就是比較每股收益(每股收益)與股票價格變動的變化。
Over the last twelve months, China State Construction Engineering actually shrank its EPS by 1.2%.
在過去的12個月裏,中國建築的每股收益實際上降低了1.2%。
The mild decline in EPS may be a result of the fact that the company is more focused on other aspects of the business, right now. Since the change in EPS doesn't seem to correlate with the change in share price, it's worth taking a look at other metrics.
每股收益的輕微下降可能是因爲公司目前更專注於其他業務方面。由於每股收益的變化似乎與股價變化不相關,因此值得關注其他指標。
We note that the most recent dividend payment is higher than the payment a year ago, so that may have assisted the share price. It could be that the company is reaching maturity and dividend investors are buying for the yield, pushing the price up in the process.
我們注意到最近的分紅派息支付高於一年前的支付,這可能對股價有所助益。公司可能正在達到成熟期,分紅派息投資者因收益購買股票,從而推動價格上漲。
The company's revenue and earnings (over time) are depicted in the image below (click to see the exact numbers).
以下圖像顯示了公司的營業收入和盈利(隨時間變化)(單擊以查看準確的數字)。
China State Construction Engineering is well known by investors, and plenty of clever analysts have tried to predict the future profit levels. You can see what analysts are predicting for China State Construction Engineering in this interactive graph of future profit estimates.
中國建築在投資者中廣爲人知,許多聰明的分析師試圖預測未來的利潤水平。您可以在這張關於未來利潤預測的互動圖表中查看分析師對中國建築的預測。
What About Dividends?
關於分紅派息的問題
As well as measuring the share price return, investors should also consider the total shareholder return (TSR). Whereas the share price return only reflects the change in the share price, the TSR includes the value of dividends (assuming they were reinvested) and the benefit of any discounted capital raising or spin-off. Arguably, the TSR gives a more comprehensive picture of the return generated by a stock. As it happens, China State Construction Engineering's TSR for the last 1 year was 34%, which exceeds the share price return mentioned earlier. The dividends paid by the company have thusly boosted the total shareholder return.
除了測量股價回報外,投資者還應考慮總股東回報(TSR)。股價回報僅反映股價的變化,而TSR包括分紅的價值(假設它們被再投資)和任何折扣資本募資或分拆的收益。可以說,TSR提供了股票所產生回報的更全面的畫面。恰好,中國建築過去1年的TSR爲34%,超過了之前提到的股價回報。公司支付的分紅派息因此提升了總股東回報。
A Different Perspective
不同的視角
It's nice to see that China State Construction Engineering shareholders have received a total shareholder return of 34% over the last year. And that does include the dividend. Since the one-year TSR is better than the five-year TSR (the latter coming in at 8% per year), it would seem that the stock's performance has improved in recent times. Given the share price momentum remains strong, it might be worth taking a closer look at the stock, lest you miss an opportunity. While it is well worth considering the different impacts that market conditions can have on the share price, there are other factors that are even more important. Consider for instance, the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 2 warning signs with China State Construction Engineering (at least 1 which can't be ignored) , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.
很高興看到中國建築的股東在過去一年中獲得了34%的總股東回報。這其中包括了分紅。由於一年期的總股東回報率優於五年期(後者爲每年8%),因此該股票的表現似乎在近期有所改善。考慮到股價動能依然強勁,可能值得更仔細地觀察這隻股票,以免錯過機會。儘管需要考慮市場狀況對股價的不同影響,但還有其他因素更爲重要。例如,始終存在的投資風險預期。我們已經識別到中國建築的兩個警示信號(至少有一個是不可忽視的),理解它們應該是您投資過程的一部分。
But note: China State Construction Engineering may not be the best stock to buy. So take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with past earnings growth (and further growth forecast).
但請注意:中國建築可能不是最佳的買入股票。因此,請查看這份有關過去盈利增長(及未來增長預測)的有趣公司名單。
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Chinese exchanges.
請注意,本文中引用的市場回報反映了目前在中國交易所交易的股票的市場加權平均回報。
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對本文有反饋?對內容有疑慮?請直接與我們聯繫。或者,發送電子郵件至 editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com。
這篇來自Simply Wall St的文章是一般性的。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,採用無偏見的方法,我們的文章並不旨在提供財務建議。它不構成對任何股票的買入或賣出建議,也未考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們旨在爲您提供以基本數據驅動的長期分析。請注意,我們的分析可能未考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St在提到的任何股票中均沒有持倉。