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Shenzhen Goodix Technology Co., Ltd.'s (SHSE:603160) Stock Is Rallying But Financials Look Ambiguous: Will The Momentum Continue?

Shenzhen Goodix Technology Co., Ltd.'s (SHSE:603160) Stock Is Rallying But Financials Look Ambiguous: Will The Momentum Continue?

匯頂科技股份有限公司(SHSE:603160)的股票正在上漲,但財務狀況看起來模糊:這種勢頭會繼續嗎?
Simply Wall St ·  12/10 19:07

Shenzhen Goodix Technology's (SHSE:603160) stock is up by a considerable 54% over the past three months. But the company's key financial indicators appear to be differing across the board and that makes us question whether or not the company's current share price momentum can be maintained. Specifically, we decided to study Shenzhen Goodix Technology's ROE in this article.

匯頂科技(SHSE:603160)的股票在過去三個月上漲了54%。但公司的關鍵財務指標似乎存在差異,這讓我們質疑公司當前的股價動能是否能夠維持。具體而言,我們決定在本文中研究匯頂科技的ROE。

Return on equity or ROE is a key measure used to assess how efficiently a company's management is utilizing the company's capital. Put another way, it reveals the company's success at turning shareholder investments into profits.

股東權益回報率(ROE)是評估公司管理層在多大程度上有效利用公司資金的關鍵指標。 換句話說,它揭示了公司將股東投資轉化爲利潤的成功程度。

How Is ROE Calculated?

ROE是如何計算的?

The formula for return on equity is:

股東權益回報率的公式是:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

股東權益回報率 = 淨利潤(來自持續運營)÷ 股東權益

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Shenzhen Goodix Technology is:

因此,根據上述公式,匯頂科技的ROE爲:

7.1% = CN¥601m ÷ CN¥8.4b (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2024).

7.1% = CN¥60100萬 ÷ CN¥84億(基於截至2024年9月的過去十二個月數據)。

The 'return' is the profit over the last twelve months. That means that for every CN¥1 worth of shareholders' equity, the company generated CN¥0.07 in profit.

「回報」是指過去十二個月的利潤。這意味着對於每1元人民幣的股東權益,公司產生了0.07元人民幣的利潤。

What Is The Relationship Between ROE And Earnings Growth?

ROE與收益增長之間的關係是什麼?

We have already established that ROE serves as an efficient profit-generating gauge for a company's future earnings. We now need to evaluate how much profit the company reinvests or "retains" for future growth which then gives us an idea about the growth potential of the company. Generally speaking, other things being equal, firms with a high return on equity and profit retention, have a higher growth rate than firms that don't share these attributes.

我們已經確定,ROE作爲公司的未來收益的有效利潤生成指標。我們現在需要評估公司再投資或 "保留" 多少利潤以用於未來的增長,這能給我們提供一個關於公司增長潛力的概念。一般來說,在其他條件相等的情況下,擁有高股本回報率和利潤保留的公司,其增長率往往高於那些沒有這些特徵的公司。

Shenzhen Goodix Technology's Earnings Growth And 7.1% ROE

匯頂科技的盈利增長及7.1%的ROE

When you first look at it, Shenzhen Goodix Technology's ROE doesn't look that attractive. However, given that the company's ROE is similar to the average industry ROE of 6.4%, we may spare it some thought. But then again, Shenzhen Goodix Technology's five year net income shrunk at a rate of 48%. Bear in mind, the company does have a slightly low ROE. Therefore, the decline in earnings could also be the result of this.

當你第一次看它時,匯頂科技的ROE似乎並不那麼吸引人。然而,考慮到該公司的ROE與6.4%的行業平均ROE相似,我們也可以多加思考。然而,匯頂科技五年來的淨利潤以48%的速度收縮。請記住,該公司的ROE略低。因此,收益的下降也可能是由此導致的。

However, when we compared Shenzhen Goodix Technology's growth with the industry we found that while the company's earnings have been shrinking, the industry has seen an earnings growth of 14% in the same period. This is quite worrisome.

然而,當我們將匯頂科技的增長與行業進行比較時,我們發現雖然公司的收益在縮小,但在同一時期,行業的收益增長了14%。這值得擔憂。

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SHSE:603160 Past Earnings Growth December 11th 2024
上交所:603160過去的盈利增長2024年12月11日

Earnings growth is an important metric to consider when valuing a stock. It's important for an investor to know whether the market has priced in the company's expected earnings growth (or decline). This then helps them determine if the stock is placed for a bright or bleak future. Is Shenzhen Goodix Technology fairly valued compared to other companies? These 3 valuation measures might help you decide.

收益增長是評估股票時需要考慮的重要指標。投資者需要了解市場是否已經考慮了公司的預期收益增長(或下降)。這有助於他們判斷股票的未來是光明還是黯淡。匯頂科技相較於其他公司是否被公正定價?這三個估值指標可能會幫助你做出決策。

Is Shenzhen Goodix Technology Making Efficient Use Of Its Profits?

匯頂科技是否有效利用其利潤?

Shenzhen Goodix Technology's low three-year median payout ratio of 17% (implying that it retains the remaining 83% of its profits) comes as a surprise when you pair it with the shrinking earnings. This typically shouldn't be the case when a company is retaining most of its earnings. It looks like there might be some other reasons to explain the lack in that respect. For example, the business could be in decline.

匯頂科技低達三年中位派發比率爲17%(意味着它保留了剩餘83%的利潤)與收益下降的情況結合起來讓人感到驚訝。當一家公司保留大部分收益時,通常不應該是這樣的情況。看起來可能有一些其他原因來解釋這種缺失。例如,業務可能正在走下坡路。

In addition, Shenzhen Goodix Technology has been paying dividends over a period of eight years suggesting that keeping up dividend payments is preferred by the management even though earnings have been in decline.

此外,匯頂科技在過去八年中一直在支付分紅,表明儘管收益有所下降,管理層更傾向於維持分紅支付。

Summary

總結

On the whole, we feel that the performance shown by Shenzhen Goodix Technology can be open to many interpretations. Even though it appears to be retaining most of its profits, given the low ROE, investors may not be benefitting from all that reinvestment after all. The low earnings growth suggests our theory correct. That being so, the latest industry analyst forecasts show that the analysts are expecting to see a huge improvement in the company's earnings growth rate. To know more about the latest analysts predictions for the company, check out this visualization of analyst forecasts for the company.

總體來說,我們認爲匯頂科技的表現可以有多種解讀。儘管看起來其淨利潤保持大部分,但考慮到低ROE,投資者可能並沒有從所有的再投資中受益。低收益增長暗示我們的理論是正確的。因此,最新行業分析師的預測顯示,分析師們預計公司的收益增長率將會有顯著改善。要了解更多關於公司的最新分析師預測,請查看這幅公司分析師預測的可視化圖。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對本文有反饋?對內容有疑慮?請直接與我們聯繫。或者,發送電子郵件至 editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com。
這篇來自Simply Wall St的文章是一般性的。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,採用無偏見的方法,我們的文章並不旨在提供財務建議。它不構成對任何股票的買入或賣出建議,也未考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們旨在爲您提供以基本數據驅動的長期分析。請注意,我們的分析可能未考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St在提到的任何股票中均沒有持倉。

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