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Investors in Johnson & Johnson (NYSE:JNJ) Have Unfortunately Lost 4.4% Over the Last Three Years

Investors in Johnson & Johnson (NYSE:JNJ) Have Unfortunately Lost 4.4% Over the Last Three Years

強生(紐交所:JNJ)的投資者在過去三年中不幸損失了4.4%。
Simply Wall St ·  12/11 19:49

For many investors, the main point of stock picking is to generate higher returns than the overall market. But its virtually certain that sometimes you will buy stocks that fall short of the market average returns. Unfortunately, that's been the case for longer term Johnson & Johnson (NYSE:JNJ) shareholders, since the share price is down 12% in the last three years, falling well short of the market return of around 29%.

對於許多投資者來說,選股的主要目的是產生高於整體市場的收益率。但是,可以肯定的是,有時你會買入的股票回報未能達到市場平均水平。不幸的是,對於長揸強生(紐交所:JNJ)股票的股東來說,情況正是如此,因爲股價在過去三年中下跌了12%,遠低於市場大約29%的回報。

So let's have a look and see if the longer term performance of the company has been in line with the underlying business' progress.

所以讓我們看看公司的長期表現是否與其基本業務的發展相符。

There is no denying that markets are sometimes efficient, but prices do not always reflect underlying business performance. One imperfect but simple way to consider how the market perception of a company has shifted is to compare the change in the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price movement.

不可否認,市場有時是有效的,但價格並不總是反映基礎業務表現。考慮市場對公司看法變化的一種不完美但簡單的方法是比較每股收益(EPS)的變化與股價的變化。

During the three years that the share price fell, Johnson & Johnson's earnings per share (EPS) dropped by 3.3% each year. The share price decline of 4% is actually steeper than the EPS slippage. So it's likely that the EPS decline has disappointed the market, leaving investors hesitant to buy.

在股價下跌的三年中,強生的每股收益(EPS)每年下降了3.3%。股價下降4%實際上比每股收益的下滑更爲陡峭。因此,很可能每股收益的下降讓市場感到失望,使得投資者不願意買入。

You can see how EPS has changed over time in the image below (click on the chart to see the exact values).

您可以在下面的圖像中查看每股收益隨時間變化的情況(點擊圖表查看具體數值)。

big
NYSE:JNJ Earnings Per Share Growth December 11th 2024
紐交所:強生 每股收益增長 2024年12月11日

We know that Johnson & Johnson has improved its bottom line lately, but is it going to grow revenue? You could check out this free report showing analyst revenue forecasts.

我們知道強生最近改善了其底線,但它的營業收入會增長嗎?你可以查看這份免費的報告,了解分析師的營業收入預測。

What About Dividends?

關於分紅派息的問題

As well as measuring the share price return, investors should also consider the total shareholder return (TSR). The TSR is a return calculation that accounts for the value of cash dividends (assuming that any dividend received was reinvested) and the calculated value of any discounted capital raisings and spin-offs. It's fair to say that the TSR gives a more complete picture for stocks that pay a dividend. We note that for Johnson & Johnson the TSR over the last 3 years was -4.4%, which is better than the share price return mentioned above. The dividends paid by the company have thusly boosted the total shareholder return.

除了衡量股票價格的回報外,投資者還應該考慮總股東回報(TSR)。TSR是一個回報計算,它考慮了現金分紅的價值(假設收到的任何分紅都被再投資)以及任何折價融資和剝離的計算值。可以公平地說,TSR爲支付分紅的股票提供了一個更完整的畫面。我們注意到,強生在過去三年的TSR爲-4.4%,這比上面提到的股票價格回報要好。該公司支付的分紅因此提升了總股東回報。

A Different Perspective

不同的視角

Johnson & Johnson shareholders are down 0.7% for the year (even including dividends), but the market itself is up 32%. However, keep in mind that even the best stocks will sometimes underperform the market over a twelve month period. On the bright side, long term shareholders have made money, with a gain of 4% per year over half a decade. It could be that the recent sell-off is an opportunity, so it may be worth checking the fundamental data for signs of a long term growth trend. While it is well worth considering the different impacts that market conditions can have on the share price, there are other factors that are even more important. Consider risks, for instance. Every company has them, and we've spotted 1 warning sign for Johnson & Johnson you should know about.

強生的股東今年下降了0.7%(即使包括分紅),但市場本身上漲了32%。然而,請記住,即使是最好的股票有時也會在十二個月內表現不如市場。從好的一面來看,長期股東已經賺了錢,在過去五年中每年獲得4%的收益。最近的拋售可能是一個機會,因此查看基本數據以尋找長期增長趨勢的跡象可能是值得的。雖然考慮市場條件對股票價格的不同影響顯然非常重要,但還有其他因素更爲關鍵。考慮風險,例如。每個公司都有風險,我們發現強生有一個警告信號你應該了解。

If you would prefer to check out another company -- one with potentially superior financials -- then do not miss this free list of companies that have proven they can grow earnings.

如果您更希望查看另一家公司——一家潛在財務狀況更優越的公司——那麼請不要錯過這份免費的公司名單,這些公司已經證明它們能夠增長營業收入。

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on American exchanges.

請注意,本文中引用的市場回報反映了當前在美國交易所上市股票的市場加權平均回報。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對本文有反饋?對內容有疑慮?請直接與我們聯繫。或者,發送電子郵件至 editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com。
這篇來自Simply Wall St的文章是一般性的。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,採用無偏見的方法,我們的文章並不旨在提供財務建議。它不構成對任何股票的買入或賣出建議,也未考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們旨在爲您提供以基本數據驅動的長期分析。請注意,我們的分析可能未考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St在提到的任何股票中均沒有持倉。

声明:本內容僅用作提供資訊及教育之目的,不構成對任何特定投資或投資策略的推薦或認可。 更多信息
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