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Investing in Aflac (NYSE:AFL) Five Years Ago Would Have Delivered You a 122% Gain

Investing in Aflac (NYSE:AFL) Five Years Ago Would Have Delivered You a 122% Gain

五年前投資於Aflac(紐交所:AFL)將爲您帶來122%的收益
Simply Wall St ·  12:33

If you want to compound wealth in the stock market, you can do so by buying an index fund. But the truth is, you can make significant gains if you buy good quality businesses at the right price. For example, the Aflac Incorporated (NYSE:AFL) share price is up 96% in the last five years, slightly above the market return. It's fair to say the stock has continued its long term trend in the last year, over which it has risen 24%.

如果你想在股票市場上增加財富,你可以通過購買指數基金來實現。但事實是,如果你以合適的價格購買高質量的企業,你可以獲得可觀的收益。例如,Aflac Incorporated(紐約證券交易所代碼:AFL)的股價在過去五年中上漲了96%,略高於市場回報率。可以公平地說,該股在去年延續了長期走勢,上漲了24%。

Now it's worth having a look at the company's fundamentals too, because that will help us determine if the long term shareholder return has matched the performance of the underlying business.

現在,公司的基本面也值得一看,因爲這將幫助我們確定長期股東回報是否與基礎業務的表現相匹配。

To quote Buffett, 'Ships will sail around the world but the Flat Earth Society will flourish. There will continue to be wide discrepancies between price and value in the marketplace...' By comparing earnings per share (EPS) and share price changes over time, we can get a feel for how investor attitudes to a company have morphed over time.

引用巴菲特的話說:「船隻將在世界各地航行,但平地協會將蓬勃發展。市場上的價格和價值之間將繼續存在巨大差異...」通過比較每股收益(EPS)和股價隨時間推移的變化,我們可以了解投資者對公司的態度如何隨着時間的推移而變化。

During five years of share price growth, Aflac achieved compound earnings per share (EPS) growth of 11% per year. This EPS growth is lower than the 14% average annual increase in the share price. So it's fair to assume the market has a higher opinion of the business than it did five years ago. That's not necessarily surprising considering the five-year track record of earnings growth.

在五年的股價增長中,Aflac實現了每年11%的複合每股收益(EPS)增長。每股收益的增長低於股價年均增長14%。因此,可以公平地假設市場對該業務的看法比五年前更高。考慮到五年的收益增長記錄,這並不一定令人驚訝。

The graphic below depicts how EPS has changed over time (unveil the exact values by clicking on the image).

下圖描繪了 EPS 隨着時間的推移而發生的變化(點擊圖片顯示確切的數值)。

big
NYSE:AFL Earnings Per Share Growth December 11th 2024
紐約證券交易所:AFL 每股收益增長 2024 年 12 月 11 日

We like that insiders have been buying shares in the last twelve months. Even so, future earnings will be far more important to whether current shareholders make money. This free interactive report on Aflac's earnings, revenue and cash flow is a great place to start, if you want to investigate the stock further.

像我們一樣,內部人士在過去的十二個月中一直在購買股票。即便如此,未來的收益對於當前股東是否賺錢將更爲重要。如果你想進一步調查Aflac的股票,這份關於Aflac收益、收入和現金流的免費互動報告是一個很好的起點。

What About Dividends?

那股息呢?

As well as measuring the share price return, investors should also consider the total shareholder return (TSR). The TSR is a return calculation that accounts for the value of cash dividends (assuming that any dividend received was reinvested) and the calculated value of any discounted capital raisings and spin-offs. It's fair to say that the TSR gives a more complete picture for stocks that pay a dividend. We note that for Aflac the TSR over the last 5 years was 122%, which is better than the share price return mentioned above. And there's no prize for guessing that the dividend payments largely explain the divergence!

除了衡量股價回報率外,投資者還應考慮股東總回報率(TSR)。股東總回報率是一種回報計算方法,它考慮了現金分紅的價值(假設收到的任何股息都經過再投資)以及任何貼現資本籌集和分拆的計算價值。可以公平地說,股東總回報率爲支付股息的股票提供了更完整的畫面。我們注意到,對於Aflac而言,過去5年的股東總回報率爲122%,好於上述股價回報率。而且,猜測股息支付在很大程度上解釋了這種分歧是沒有好處的!

A Different Perspective

不同的視角

Aflac provided a TSR of 26% over the last twelve months. But that return falls short of the market. The silver lining is that the gain was actually better than the average annual return of 17% per year over five year. This suggests the company might be improving over time. I find it very interesting to look at share price over the long term as a proxy for business performance. But to truly gain insight, we need to consider other information, too. Even so, be aware that Aflac is showing 1 warning sign in our investment analysis , you should know about...

在過去的十二個月中,Aflac的股東回報率爲26%。但是這種回報不及市場。一線希望是,收益實際上好於五年內每年17%的平均年回報率。這表明隨着時間的推移,該公司可能會有所改善。我發現將長期股價視爲業務績效的代表非常有趣。但是,要真正獲得見解,我們還需要考慮其他信息。即便如此,請注意,Aflac在我們的投資分析中顯示了1個警告信號,您應該知道...

If you like to buy stocks alongside management, then you might just love this free list of companies. (Hint: most of them are flying under the radar).

如果你想和管理層一起購買股票,那麼你可能會喜歡這份免費的公司清單。(提示:它們中的大多數都在雷達下飛行)。

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on American exchanges.

請注意,本文引用的市場回報反映了目前在美國交易所交易的股票的市場加權平均回報率。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對這篇文章有反饋嗎?擔心內容嗎?直接聯繫我們。或者,發送電子郵件給編輯組(網址爲)simplywallst.com。
Simply Wall St 的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法提供基於歷史數據和分析師預測的評論,我們的文章並非旨在提供財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不會考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。華爾街只是沒有持有上述任何股票的頭寸。

声明:本內容僅用作提供資訊及教育之目的,不構成對任何特定投資或投資策略的推薦或認可。 更多信息
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