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SSAW Hotels & Resorts Group Co.,Ltd.'s (SZSE:301073) Stock's Been Going Strong: Could Weak Financials Mean The Market Will Correct Its Share Price?

SSAW Hotels & Resorts Group Co.,Ltd.'s (SZSE:301073) Stock's Been Going Strong: Could Weak Financials Mean The Market Will Correct Its Share Price?

SSAW酒店與度假村集團有限公司(深交所代碼:301073)的股票表現強勁:財務狀況疲軟是否意味着市場將調整其股價?
Simply Wall St ·  2024/12/12 06:12

Most readers would already be aware that SSAW Hotels & Resorts GroupLtd's (SZSE:301073) stock increased significantly by 70% over the past three months. We, however wanted to have a closer look at its key financial indicators as the markets usually pay for long-term fundamentals, and in this case, they don't look very promising. Specifically, we decided to study SSAW Hotels & Resorts GroupLtd's ROE in this article.

大多數讀者可能已經知道,SSAW酒店及度假村集團有限公司(SZSE:301073)的股票在過去三個月中顯著上漲了70%。然而,我們想更仔細地審視其關鍵財務指標,因爲市場通常會關注長期基本面,而就此而言,基本面看上去並不樂觀。具體而言,我們決定在本文中研究SSAW酒店及度假村集團有限公司的ROE。

ROE or return on equity is a useful tool to assess how effectively a company can generate returns on the investment it received from its shareholders. In other words, it is a profitability ratio which measures the rate of return on the capital provided by the company's shareholders.

ROE或股本回報率是一個有用的工具,用於評估公司如何有效地利用其股東投入的資金來產生回報。換句話說,它是一個衡量公司股東所提供資本的回報率的盈利能力比率。

How Is ROE Calculated?

淨資產收益率怎麼計算?

Return on equity can be calculated by using the formula:

淨資產收益率可以通過以下公式計算:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

股東權益回報率 = 凈利潤(來自持續運營)÷ 股東權益

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for SSAW Hotels & Resorts GroupLtd is:

因此,根據上述公式,SSAW酒店及度假村集團有限公司的ROE爲:

3.3% = CN¥32m ÷ CN¥964m (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2024).

3.3% = CN¥3200萬 ÷ CN¥96400萬(基於截至2024年9月的過去十二個月)。

The 'return' is the amount earned after tax over the last twelve months. That means that for every CN¥1 worth of shareholders' equity, the company generated CN¥0.03 in profit.

「回報」是指過去十二個月稅後賺取的金額。這意味着每CN¥1的股東權益,公司產生了CN¥0.03的利潤。

What Has ROE Got To Do With Earnings Growth?

ROE與盈利增長有何關係?

So far, we've learned that ROE is a measure of a company's profitability. Based on how much of its profits the company chooses to reinvest or "retain", we are then able to evaluate a company's future ability to generate profits. Assuming all else is equal, companies that have both a higher return on equity and higher profit retention are usually the ones that have a higher growth rate when compared to companies that don't have the same features.

到目前爲止,我們了解到ROE是衡量公司盈利能力的一種指標。基於公司選擇再投資或「保留」的利潤,我們能夠評估公司未來產生利潤的能力。在其他條件相等的情況下,具有更高股本回報率和更高利潤留存的公司通常相比那些沒有相同特徵的公司擁有更高的增長率。

SSAW Hotels & Resorts GroupLtd's Earnings Growth And 3.3% ROE

SSAW酒店與度假村集團有限公司的收益增長和3.3%的ROE

It is hard to argue that SSAW Hotels & Resorts GroupLtd's ROE is much good in and of itself. Even when compared to the industry average of 8.0%, the ROE figure is pretty disappointing. For this reason, SSAW Hotels & Resorts GroupLtd's five year net income decline of 18% is not surprising given its lower ROE. However, there could also be other factors causing the earnings to decline. For example, the business has allocated capital poorly, or that the company has a very high payout ratio.

很難爭辯SSAW酒店與度假村集團有限公司的ROE本身就很好。即使與行業平均水平8.0%相比,ROE的數據也令人失望。因此,SSAW酒店與度假村集團有限公司在五年內凈利潤下降了18%並不令人驚訝,因爲其ROE較低。然而,也可能還有其他因素導致收益下降。例如,業務資本配置不當,或者公司有非常高的派息比例。

However, when we compared SSAW Hotels & Resorts GroupLtd's growth with the industry we found that while the company's earnings have been shrinking, the industry has seen an earnings growth of 11% in the same period. This is quite worrisome.

然而,當我們將SSAW酒店與度假村集團有限公司的增長與行業進行比較時,我們發現儘管公司的收益在縮減,但在同一時期行業的收益卻增長了11%。這非常令人擔憂。

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SZSE:301073 Past Earnings Growth December 11th 2024
SZSE:301073 過去的收益增長,2024年12月11日

The basis for attaching value to a company is, to a great extent, tied to its earnings growth. What investors need to determine next is if the expected earnings growth, or the lack of it, is already built into the share price. Doing so will help them establish if the stock's future looks promising or ominous. One good indicator of expected earnings growth is the P/E ratio which determines the price the market is willing to pay for a stock based on its earnings prospects. So, you may want to check if SSAW Hotels & Resorts GroupLtd is trading on a high P/E or a low P/E, relative to its industry.

對公司估值的基礎在很大程度上與其盈利增長相關。投資者接下來需要判斷的是,預期的盈利增長或缺乏盈利增長是否已經反映在股票價格中。這樣做將幫助他們確定該股票的未來是看起來前景光明還是不祥。一個良好的預期盈利增長指標是市盈率,它決定了市場願意爲一隻股票支付的價格,基於其盈利前景。因此,您可能想要檢查一下SSAW酒店及度假集團有限公司相對於其行業是在高市盈率還是低市盈率上交易。

Is SSAW Hotels & Resorts GroupLtd Making Efficient Use Of Its Profits?

SSAW酒店及度假集團有限公司是否有效利用其利潤?

With a high three-year median payout ratio of 95% (implying that 5.4% of the profits are retained), most of SSAW Hotels & Resorts GroupLtd's profits are being paid to shareholders, which explains the company's shrinking earnings. With only a little being reinvested into the business, earnings growth would obviously be low or non-existent. You can see the 3 risks we have identified for SSAW Hotels & Resorts GroupLtd by visiting our risks dashboard for free on our platform here.

SSAW酒店及度假集團有限公司的三年中位派息率高達95%(這意味着5.4%的利潤被保留),大部分利潤都分配給了股東,這也解釋了公司盈利的縮水。由於僅有少量資金被再投資於業務,盈利增長顯然會非常低或根本不存在。您可以通過訪問我們平台上的風險儀表板免費查看我們爲SSAW酒店及度假集團有限公司識別的三個風險。

Moreover, SSAW Hotels & Resorts GroupLtd has been paying dividends for three years, which is a considerable amount of time, suggesting that management must have perceived that the shareholders prefer consistent dividends even though earnings have been shrinking. Upon studying the latest analysts' consensus data, we found that the company is expected to keep paying out approximately 105% of its profits over the next three years. Regardless, the future ROE for SSAW Hotels & Resorts GroupLtd is predicted to rise to 13% despite there being not much change expected in its payout ratio.

此外,SSAW酒店及度假集團有限公司已經連續三年支付分紅,這是一段相當長的時間,表明管理層必須感知到股東更喜歡穩定的分紅,即使盈利在縮水。通過研究最新的分析師共識數據,我們發現該公司預計在接下來的三年中將約106%的利潤繼續分配。儘管預計其派息率不會有太大變化,但SSAW酒店及度假集團有限公司的未來ROE預計將上升至13%。

Summary

總結

Overall, we would be extremely cautious before making any decision on SSAW Hotels & Resorts GroupLtd. The low ROE, combined with the fact that the company is paying out almost if not all, of its profits as dividends, has resulted in the lack or absence of growth in its earnings. That being so, the latest industry analyst forecasts show that the analysts are expecting to see a huge improvement in the company's earnings growth rate. Are these analysts expectations based on the broad expectations for the industry, or on the company's fundamentals? Click here to be taken to our analyst's forecasts page for the company.

總體而言,在對SSAW酒店與度假村集團有限公司做出任何決策之前,我們都會非常謹慎。較低的ROE,加上公司幾乎將所有利潤用於分紅的事實,導致其盈利缺乏增長。因此,最新的行業分析師預測顯示,分析師們預計公司盈利增長率將大幅改善。這些分析師的預期是基於行業的廣泛預期,還是基於公司的基本面?點擊這裏查看我們分析師的公司預測頁面。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對本文有反饋?對內容有疑慮?請直接與我們聯繫。或者,發送電子郵件至 editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com。
這篇來自Simply Wall ST的文章是一般性的。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,採用無偏見的方法,我們的文章並不旨在提供財務建議。它不構成對任何股票的買入或賣出建議,也未考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們旨在爲您提供以基本數據驅動的長期分析。請注意,我們的分析可能未考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall ST在提到的任何股票中均沒有持倉。

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