Is BOE HC SemiTek (SZSE:300323) A Risky Investment?
Is BOE HC SemiTek (SZSE:300323) A Risky Investment?
Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. We can see that BOE HC SemiTek Corporation (SZSE:300323) does use debt in its business. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.
霍華德·馬克思說得很好,他提到,與其擔心股價波動,不如說,『永久性損失的可能性是我所擔心的風險……每一個我認識的實際投資者也都擔心這個。』所以看來聰明的錢知道,債務——通常與破產有關——是評估一家公司風險時非常重要的因素。我們可以看到,BOE 華燦光電 (SZSE:300323) 在其業務中確實使用了債務。但真正的問題是,這些債務是否使公司變得有風險。
Why Does Debt Bring Risk?
爲什麼債務帶來風險?
Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.
一般來說,債務只有在公司無法輕鬆償還時,才會成爲真正的問題,可能是通過籌集資金或用公司自身的現金流。不少於資本主義的是『創造性毀滅』的過程,在這一過程中,失敗的企業被它們的銀行家無情清算。然而,更常見(但仍然昂貴)的情況是,公司必須在低廉的股價下稀釋股東,僅僅爲了控制債務。然而,通過替代稀釋,債務可以成爲那些需要資本進行高回報增長投資的企業的極好工具。當我們考慮一家公司使用債務時,我們首先同時關注現金和債務。
What Is BOE HC SemiTek's Net Debt?
BOE華燦光電的淨債務是多少?
As you can see below, at the end of September 2024, BOE HC SemiTek had CN¥3.15b of debt, up from CN¥2.59b a year ago. Click the image for more detail. On the flip side, it has CN¥1.16b in cash leading to net debt of about CN¥2.00b.
正如你在下面看到的,到2024年9月,BOE 華燦光電的債務達到31.5億人民幣,較一年前的25.9億人民幣有所上升。點擊圖片了解更多細節。另一方面,它有11.6億人民幣的現金,導致淨債務約爲20億人民幣。
A Look At BOE HC SemiTek's Liabilities
看一下華燦光電的負債
According to the last reported balance sheet, BOE HC SemiTek had liabilities of CN¥3.22b due within 12 months, and liabilities of CN¥1.66b due beyond 12 months. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of CN¥1.16b as well as receivables valued at CN¥1.39b due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by CN¥2.33b.
根據最後報告的資產負債表,華燦光電的負債爲32.2億人民幣,12個月內到期的負債爲16.6億人民幣。爲了抵消這些義務,它有現金11.6億人民幣,以及12個月內到期的應收賬款13.9億人民幣。因此,它的負債比它的現金和(短期)應收賬款的總和多23.3億人民幣。
While this might seem like a lot, it is not so bad since BOE HC SemiTek has a market capitalization of CN¥10.9b, and so it could probably strengthen its balance sheet by raising capital if it needed to. But it's clear that we should definitely closely examine whether it can manage its debt without dilution. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is BOE HC SemiTek's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.
儘管這看起來很多,但並沒有那麼糟糕,因爲華燦光電的市值爲109億人民幣,因此如果需要的話,它可能通過融資來增強資產負債表。但很明顯,我們應該仔細檢查它是否能夠在不稀釋的情況下管理其債務。毫無疑問,我們從資產負債表中學到的關於債務的內容最多。但華燦光電的收入將影響資產負債表在未來的表現。因此,如果你想深入了解它的收入,查看這張長期收益趨勢圖可能會有所幫助。
Over 12 months, BOE HC SemiTek reported revenue of CN¥3.9b, which is a gain of 50%, although it did not report any earnings before interest and tax. With any luck the company will be able to grow its way to profitability.
在過去的12個月裏,華燦光電報告的營業收入爲39億人民幣,增長了50%,儘管它沒有報告任何息稅前利潤(EBIT)。希望公司能夠通過增長實現盈利。
Caveat Emptor
買者自負盈虧
Despite the top line growth, BOE HC SemiTek still had an earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss over the last year. Indeed, it lost CN¥930m at the EBIT level. Considering that alongside the liabilities mentioned above does not give us much confidence that company should be using so much debt. So we think its balance sheet is a little strained, though not beyond repair. Another cause for caution is that is bled CN¥1.8b in negative free cash flow over the last twelve months. So in short it's a really risky stock. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For instance, we've identified 3 warning signs for BOE HC SemiTek (2 shouldn't be ignored) you should be aware of.
儘管營收增長,但華燦光電在過去一年仍然出現了息稅前虧損(EBIT)。實際上,它在EBIT水平上損失了93000萬人民幣。考慮到上述負債,這讓我們對公司使用如此多債務不太有信心。因此,我們認爲它的資產負債表有些緊張,但並非無法修復。另一個需要謹慎的原因是,在過去的12個月中,它的負自由現金流達到了18億人民幣。因此,簡單來說,這是一隻非常高風險的股票。在分析債務水平時,資產負債表是顯而易見的起點。但最終,每個公司都可能含有存在於資產負債表之外的風險。例如,我們已經識別出了華燦光電的3個警示信號(其中2個不容忽視),你應該了解。
If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.
If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.
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