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China Film's (SHSE:600977) Five-year Decline in Earnings Translates Into Losses for Shareholders

China Film's (SHSE:600977) Five-year Decline in Earnings Translates Into Losses for Shareholders

中國電影(上海證券交易所代碼:600977)的五年收益下降轉化爲股東的虧損
Simply Wall St ·  2024/12/12 08:53

While not a mind-blowing move, it is good to see that the China Film Co., Ltd. (SHSE:600977) share price has gained 26% in the last three months. But over the last half decade, the stock has not performed well. You would have done a lot better buying an index fund, since the stock has dropped 19% in that half decade.

雖然這不是一個驚人的動作,但看到中國電影(SHSE:600977)股價在過去三個月上漲了26%是件好事。不過,在過去的五年間,這隻股票的表現不佳。在這五年裏,購買指數基金會更划算,因爲這隻股票下跌了19%。

Although the past week has been more reassuring for shareholders, they're still in the red over the last five years, so let's see if the underlying business has been responsible for the decline.

儘管過去一週對股東來說更讓人放心,但在過去五年內,他們的表現依然不佳,所以讓我們看看基本業務是否導致了這種下滑。

We don't think that China Film's modest trailing twelve month profit has the market's full attention at the moment. We think revenue is probably a better guide. Generally speaking, we'd consider a stock like this alongside loss-making companies, simply because the quantum of the profit is so low. It would be hard to believe in a more profitable future without growing revenues.

我們認爲中國電影近年來的低利潤目前並沒有引起市場的充分關注。我們認爲營業收入可能是更好的指標。一般來說,我們會把這樣的股票與虧損公司一起考慮,僅僅因爲利潤的量太低。如果沒有營收增長,很難相信未來會更有盈利能力。

Over half a decade China Film reduced its trailing twelve month revenue by 10% for each year. That's definitely a weaker result than most pre-profit companies report. It seems pretty reasonable to us that the share price dipped 4% per year in that time. This loss means the stock shareholders are probably pretty annoyed. Risk averse investors probably wouldn't like this one much.

在過去的五年裏,中國電影每年的營業收入減少了10%。這顯然比大多數尚未盈利的公司報告的結果要弱。我們認爲,股價在此期間每年下跌4%是相當合理的。這一損失意味着股票股東可能會非常惱火。風險厭惡的投資者可能對這隻股票不太喜歡。

You can see below how earnings and revenue have changed over time (discover the exact values by clicking on the image).

您可以在下面看到盈利和營業收入隨時間的變化(通過點擊圖片發現確切值)。

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SHSE:600977 Earnings and Revenue Growth December 12th 2024
SHSE:600977 業績和營業收入增長 2024年12月12日

We're pleased to report that the CEO is remunerated more modestly than most CEOs at similarly capitalized companies. It's always worth keeping an eye on CEO pay, but a more important question is whether the company will grow earnings throughout the years. This free report showing analyst forecasts should help you form a view on China Film

我們很高興地報告,首席執行官的薪酬比大多數同類公司的首席執行官要低得多。 關注首席執行官的薪酬總是值得的,但一個更重要的問題是公司是否能夠在未來幾年增長盈利。 這份免費的報告展示了分析師的預測,應該能幫助你對中國電影形成看法。

What About Dividends?

關於分紅派息的問題

As well as measuring the share price return, investors should also consider the total shareholder return (TSR). Whereas the share price return only reflects the change in the share price, the TSR includes the value of dividends (assuming they were reinvested) and the benefit of any discounted capital raising or spin-off. It's fair to say that the TSR gives a more complete picture for stocks that pay a dividend. In the case of China Film, it has a TSR of -16% for the last 5 years. That exceeds its share price return that we previously mentioned. This is largely a result of its dividend payments!

除了衡量股價回報,投資者還應考慮總股東回報(TSR)。 股價回報僅反映股價的變化,而TSR包括分紅的價值(假設已再投資)和任何折扣資本籌集或剝離的好處。 可以公平地說,TSR爲支付分紅的股票提供了更完整的畫面。 在中國電影的案例中,過去5年的TSR爲-16%。 這超過了我們之前提到的股價回報。 這在很大程度上是其分紅支付的結果!

A Different Perspective

不同的視角

While the broader market gained around 12% in the last year, China Film shareholders lost 4.3% (even including dividends). However, keep in mind that even the best stocks will sometimes underperform the market over a twelve month period. Unfortunately, last year's performance may indicate unresolved challenges, given that it was worse than the annualised loss of 3% over the last half decade. We realise that Baron Rothschild has said investors should "buy when there is blood on the streets", but we caution that investors should first be sure they are buying a high quality business. While it is well worth considering the different impacts that market conditions can have on the share price, there are other factors that are even more important. Consider for instance, the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 3 warning signs with China Film (at least 1 which can't be ignored) , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.

儘管整體市場在過去一年中上漲了約12%,中國電影的股東卻虧損了4.3%(即使包括分紅)。 然而,請記住,即使是最好的股票在十二個月內也有時會表現不佳。 不幸的是,去年的表現可能表明仍然存在未解決的挑戰,因爲它比過去五年期間年化虧損3%還要糟糕。 我們意識到巴倫·羅斯柴爾德曾說投資者應在「街上出現血跡時買入」,但我們提醒投資者,首先要確保他們購買的是高質量的業務。 考慮市場條件對股價可能產生的不同影響是很有價值的,但還有其他因素更爲重要。 例如,投資風險總是存在的。 我們已識別出中國電影的3個警告信號(至少有1個不能忽視),理解這些信號應該是你的投資過程的一部分。

We will like China Film better if we see some big insider buys. While we wait, check out this free list of undervalued stocks (mostly small caps) with considerable, recent, insider buying.

如果我們看到一些大宗內部交易,我們會更喜歡中國電影。 在我們等待的同時,查看這份免費的被低估股票名單(大多是小型股),上面有相當可觀的最近內部購買。

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Chinese exchanges.

請注意,本文中引用的市場回報反映了目前在中國交易所交易的股票的市場加權平均回報。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對本文有反饋?對內容有疑慮?請直接與我們聯繫。或者,發送電子郵件至 editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com。
這篇來自Simply Wall St的文章是一般性的。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,採用無偏見的方法,我們的文章並不旨在提供財務建議。它不構成對任何股票的買入或賣出建議,也未考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們旨在爲您提供以基本數據驅動的長期分析。請注意,我們的分析可能未考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St在提到的任何股票中均沒有持倉。

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