Zhejiang Sanmei Chemical Industry Co.,Ltd.'s (SHSE:603379) Stock On An Uptrend: Could Fundamentals Be Driving The Momentum?
Zhejiang Sanmei Chemical Industry Co.,Ltd.'s (SHSE:603379) Stock On An Uptrend: Could Fundamentals Be Driving The Momentum?
Zhejiang Sanmei Chemical IndustryLtd (SHSE:603379) has had a great run on the share market with its stock up by a significant 22% over the last three months. We wonder if and what role the company's financials play in that price change as a company's long-term fundamentals usually dictate market outcomes. In this article, we decided to focus on Zhejiang Sanmei Chemical IndustryLtd's ROE.
Return on Equity or ROE is a test of how effectively a company is growing its value and managing investors' money. In short, ROE shows the profit each dollar generates with respect to its shareholder investments.
How Is ROE Calculated?
Return on equity can be calculated by using the formula:
Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity
So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Zhejiang Sanmei Chemical IndustryLtd is:
9.5% = CN¥601m ÷ CN¥6.3b (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2024).
The 'return' is the yearly profit. That means that for every CN¥1 worth of shareholders' equity, the company generated CN¥0.09 in profit.
What Is The Relationship Between ROE And Earnings Growth?
We have already established that ROE serves as an efficient profit-generating gauge for a company's future earnings. Based on how much of its profits the company chooses to reinvest or "retain", we are then able to evaluate a company's future ability to generate profits. Generally speaking, other things being equal, firms with a high return on equity and profit retention, have a higher growth rate than firms that don't share these attributes.
A Side By Side comparison of Zhejiang Sanmei Chemical IndustryLtd's Earnings Growth And 9.5% ROE
On the face of it, Zhejiang Sanmei Chemical IndustryLtd's ROE is not much to talk about. However, the fact that the company's ROE is higher than the average industry ROE of 6.2%, is definitely interesting. However, Zhejiang Sanmei Chemical IndustryLtd's five year net income decline rate was 2.6%. Remember, the company's ROE is a bit low to begin with, just that it is higher than the industry average. Therefore, the decline in earnings could also be the result of this.
However, when we compared Zhejiang Sanmei Chemical IndustryLtd's growth with the industry we found that while the company's earnings have been shrinking, the industry has seen an earnings growth of 4.9% in the same period. This is quite worrisome.
The basis for attaching value to a company is, to a great extent, tied to its earnings growth. The investor should try to establish if the expected growth or decline in earnings, whichever the case may be, is priced in. Doing so will help them establish if the stock's future looks promising or ominous. If you're wondering about Zhejiang Sanmei Chemical IndustryLtd's's valuation, check out this gauge of its price-to-earnings ratio, as compared to its industry.
Is Zhejiang Sanmei Chemical IndustryLtd Using Its Retained Earnings Effectively?
Despite having a normal three-year median payout ratio of 27% (where it is retaining 73% of its profits), Zhejiang Sanmei Chemical IndustryLtd has seen a decline in earnings as we saw above. So there might be other factors at play here which could potentially be hampering growth. For example, the business has faced some headwinds.
Moreover, Zhejiang Sanmei Chemical IndustryLtd has been paying dividends for five years, which is a considerable amount of time, suggesting that management must have perceived that the shareholders prefer consistent dividends even though earnings have been shrinking. Upon studying the latest analysts' consensus data, we found that the company's future payout ratio is expected to rise to 40% over the next three years. Regardless, the future ROE for Zhejiang Sanmei Chemical IndustryLtd is speculated to rise to 14% despite the anticipated increase in the payout ratio. There could probably be other factors that could be driving the future growth in the ROE.
Conclusion
On the whole, we do feel that Zhejiang Sanmei Chemical IndustryLtd has some positive attributes. Yet, the low earnings growth is a bit concerning, especially given that the company has a respectable rate of return and is reinvesting a huge portion of its profits. By the looks of it, there could be some other factors, not necessarily in control of the business, that's preventing growth. With that said, we studied the latest analyst forecasts and found that while the company has shrunk its earnings in the past, analysts expect its earnings to grow in the future. To know more about the company's future earnings growth forecasts take a look at this free report on analyst forecasts for the company to find out more.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.