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The Three-year Decline in Earnings Might Be Taking Its Toll on Haisco Pharmaceutical Group (SZSE:002653) Shareholders as Stock Falls 6.9% Over the Past Week

The Three-year Decline in Earnings Might Be Taking Its Toll on Haisco Pharmaceutical Group (SZSE:002653) Shareholders as Stock Falls 6.9% Over the Past Week

過去三年盈利下降可能對海思科(深交所代碼:002653)股東造成影響,因爲股票在過去一週下跌了6.9%。
Simply Wall St ·  12/11 20:58

By buying an index fund, investors can approximate the average market return. But many of us dare to dream of bigger returns, and build a portfolio ourselves. Just take a look at Haisco Pharmaceutical Group Co., Ltd. (SZSE:002653), which is up 71%, over three years, soundly beating the market decline of 18% (not including dividends). However, more recent returns haven't been as impressive as that, with the stock returning just 54% in the last year, including dividends.

While this past week has detracted from the company's three-year return, let's look at the recent trends of the underlying business and see if the gains have been in alignment.

To paraphrase Benjamin Graham: Over the short term the market is a voting machine, but over the long term it's a weighing machine. One imperfect but simple way to consider how the market perception of a company has shifted is to compare the change in the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price movement.

Over the last three years, Haisco Pharmaceutical Group failed to grow earnings per share, which fell 2.8% (annualized).

Companies are not always focussed on EPS growth in the short term, and looking at how the share price has reacted, we don't think EPS is the most important metric for Haisco Pharmaceutical Group at the moment. Therefore, it makes sense to look into other metrics.

The modest 0.8% dividend yield is unlikely to be propping up the share price. It may well be that Haisco Pharmaceutical Group revenue growth rate of 11% over three years has convinced shareholders to believe in a brighter future. If the company is being managed for the long term good, today's shareholders might be right to hold on.

The image below shows how earnings and revenue have tracked over time (if you click on the image you can see greater detail).

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SZSE:002653 Earnings and Revenue Growth December 12th 2024

We know that Haisco Pharmaceutical Group has improved its bottom line lately, but what does the future have in store? So we recommend checking out this free report showing consensus forecasts

What About Dividends?

When looking at investment returns, it is important to consider the difference between total shareholder return (TSR) and share price return. The TSR is a return calculation that accounts for the value of cash dividends (assuming that any dividend received was reinvested) and the calculated value of any discounted capital raisings and spin-offs. So for companies that pay a generous dividend, the TSR is often a lot higher than the share price return. As it happens, Haisco Pharmaceutical Group's TSR for the last 3 years was 75%, which exceeds the share price return mentioned earlier. And there's no prize for guessing that the dividend payments largely explain the divergence!

A Different Perspective

It's good to see that Haisco Pharmaceutical Group has rewarded shareholders with a total shareholder return of 54% in the last twelve months. Of course, that includes the dividend. Since the one-year TSR is better than the five-year TSR (the latter coming in at 12% per year), it would seem that the stock's performance has improved in recent times. Given the share price momentum remains strong, it might be worth taking a closer look at the stock, lest you miss an opportunity. While it is well worth considering the different impacts that market conditions can have on the share price, there are other factors that are even more important. Even so, be aware that Haisco Pharmaceutical Group is showing 2 warning signs in our investment analysis , you should know about...

But note: Haisco Pharmaceutical Group may not be the best stock to buy. So take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with past earnings growth (and further growth forecast).

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Chinese exchanges.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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