Is Anhui Tatfook Technology (SZSE:300134) Using Debt In A Risky Way?
Is Anhui Tatfook Technology (SZSE:300134) Using Debt In A Risky Way?
Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. As with many other companies Anhui Tatfook Technology Co., Ltd (SZSE:300134) makes use of debt. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?
禾倫·巴菲特曾 famously 說過:「波動性遠非風險的同義詞。」所以看起來聰明的資金知道,債務——通常與破產相關的——在評估一家公司的風險時是一個非常重要的因素。與許多其他公司一樣,大富科技有限公司(SZSE:300134)也利用債務。但這種債務對股東來說是個問題嗎?
When Is Debt Dangerous?
債務何時會變得危險?
Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.
債務幫助企業,直到企業在用新資本或自由現金流償還債務時出現問題。如果情況變得非常糟糕,貸款方可能會控制企業。然而,更頻繁(但仍然代價高昂)的情況是,公司必須以極低的價格發行股票,永久性地稀釋股東權益,只是爲了鞏固其資產負債表。不過,通過替代稀釋,債務可以成爲需要資本進行高回報投資的企業的極好工具。當我們考慮一家公司的債務使用時,首先要將現金和債務放在一起考慮。
What Is Anhui Tatfook Technology's Net Debt?
大富科技的淨債務是多少?
The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Anhui Tatfook Technology had debt of CN¥575.0m at the end of September 2024, a reduction from CN¥700.7m over a year. But on the other hand it also has CN¥666.3m in cash, leading to a CN¥91.3m net cash position.
下圖可點擊以獲取更詳細信息,顯示大富科技在2024年9月底的債務爲57500萬人民幣,較去年減少了70070萬。另一方面,它還擁有66630萬人民幣的現金,導致9130萬人民幣的淨現金頭寸。
A Look At Anhui Tatfook Technology's Liabilities
大富科技的負債概況
We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Anhui Tatfook Technology had liabilities of CN¥1.22b falling due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥369.6m due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had CN¥666.3m in cash and CN¥642.6m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling CN¥276.5m more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.
從最新的資產負債表來看,大富科技的負債爲12.2億人民幣,1年內到期的負債爲36960萬人民幣。相對而言,它有現金66630萬人民幣和到期應收款項64260萬人民幣。因此,它的負債總額比其現金和近期應收款項多出27650萬人民幣。
Of course, Anhui Tatfook Technology has a market capitalization of CN¥11.7b, so these liabilities are probably manageable. Having said that, it's clear that we should continue to monitor its balance sheet, lest it change for the worse. While it does have liabilities worth noting, Anhui Tatfook Technology also has more cash than debt, so we're pretty confident it can manage its debt safely. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Anhui Tatfook Technology will need earnings to service that debt. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.
當然,大富科技的市值爲117億人民幣,因此這些負債可能是可控的。話雖如此,顯然我們應該繼續關注其資產負債表,以免它發生不利變化。雖然它的負債值得注意,但大富科技的現金多於債務,因此我們對其安全管理債務的能力相當有信心。資產負債表顯然是分析債務時需要關注的領域。但你不能孤立地看待債務;因爲大富科技需要收入來服務這些債務。因此,在考慮債務時,關注收益趨勢絕對是值得的。點擊此處查看互動快照。
Over 12 months, Anhui Tatfook Technology reported revenue of CN¥2.4b, which is a gain of 2.7%, although it did not report any earnings before interest and tax. We usually like to see faster growth from unprofitable companies, but each to their own.
在過去的12個月裏,大富科技的營業收入爲24億人民幣,增長了2.7%,儘管它並沒有報告利息和稅前收益。我們通常希望從虧損公司看到更快的增長,但這因人而異。
So How Risky Is Anhui Tatfook Technology?
那麼,大富科技的風險有多大?
While Anhui Tatfook Technology lost money on an earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) level, it actually generated positive free cash flow CN¥11m. So although it is loss-making, it doesn't seem to have too much near-term balance sheet risk, keeping in mind the net cash. Until we see some positive EBIT, we're a bit cautious of the stock, not least because of the rather modest revenue growth. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. To that end, you should be aware of the 1 warning sign we've spotted with Anhui Tatfook Technology .
雖然大富科技在息稅前利潤(EBIT)層面上虧損,但實際上它產生了1100萬人民幣的正自由現金流。因此,儘管它是虧損的,但考慮到淨現金,它似乎沒有太多的短期資產負債表風險。直到我們看到一些正的EBIT,我們對這隻股票保持了一些謹慎,尤其是考慮到相對溫和的收入增長。毫無疑問,我們從資產負債表中學到了最多關於債務的信息。然而,並非所有的投資風險都存在於資產負債表內,遠非如此。爲此,你應該注意我們發現的大富科技的一個警告信號。
When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.
無論最終結果如何,有時候更容易關注那些根本不需要債務的公司。讀者可以立即免費獲取一份淨債務爲零的成長股列表。
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這篇來自Simply Wall St的文章是一般性的。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,採用無偏見的方法,我們的文章並不旨在提供財務建議。它不構成對任何股票的買入或賣出建議,也未考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們旨在爲您提供以基本數據驅動的長期分析。請注意,我們的分析可能未考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St在提到的任何股票中均沒有持倉。