Huaibei Mining HoldingsLtd's (SHSE:600985) Investors Will Be Pleased With Their Impressive 107% Return Over the Last Five Years
Huaibei Mining HoldingsLtd's (SHSE:600985) Investors Will Be Pleased With Their Impressive 107% Return Over the Last Five Years
Generally speaking the aim of active stock picking is to find companies that provide returns that are superior to the market average. And the truth is, you can make significant gains if you buy good quality businesses at the right price. To wit, the Huaibei Mining HoldingsLtd share price has climbed 51% in five years, easily topping the market return of 17% (ignoring dividends).
一般來說,主動選股的目的是尋找提供優於市場平均回報的公司。 事實上,如果你在合適的價格購買優質企業,可以獲得顯著的收益。 舉個例子,淮北礦業控股有限公司的股價在五年內上漲了51%,遠遠超過市場回報的17%(不考慮分紅派息)。
With that in mind, it's worth seeing if the company's underlying fundamentals have been the driver of long term performance, or if there are some discrepancies.
鑑於此,值得看看該公司的基本面是否一直是長期業績的驅動因素,或者是否存在一些不一致之處。
While the efficient markets hypothesis continues to be taught by some, it has been proven that markets are over-reactive dynamic systems, and investors are not always rational. One imperfect but simple way to consider how the market perception of a company has shifted is to compare the change in the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price movement.
雖然一些人仍然教授有效市場假說,但已經證明市場是過於反應的動態系統,投資者並不總是理性。一個不完美但簡單的考慮市場對公司認知變化的方法是,將每股收益(EPS)的變化與股價波動進行比較。
Over half a decade, Huaibei Mining HoldingsLtd managed to grow its earnings per share at 1.5% a year. This EPS growth is lower than the 9% average annual increase in the share price. So it's fair to assume the market has a higher opinion of the business than it did five years ago. And that's hardly shocking given the track record of growth.
在過去的五年中,淮北礦業控股有限公司的每股收益年增長率爲1.5%。 這個每股收益的增長低於9%年度股價平均增長率。 所以可以合理地假設,市場對這家企業的看法比五年前要高。 而考慮到其增長的記錄,這並不令人驚訝。
You can see below how EPS has changed over time (discover the exact values by clicking on the image).
您可以在下面看到EPS如何隨時間變化(點擊圖片可以發現具體數值)。
This free interactive report on Huaibei Mining HoldingsLtd's earnings, revenue and cash flow is a great place to start, if you want to investigate the stock further.
這份關於淮北礦業控股有限公司的盈利、營業收入和現金流的免費互動報告是一個很好的起點,如果你想進一步調查這隻股票。
What About Dividends?
關於分紅派息的問題
It is important to consider the total shareholder return, as well as the share price return, for any given stock. Whereas the share price return only reflects the change in the share price, the TSR includes the value of dividends (assuming they were reinvested) and the benefit of any discounted capital raising or spin-off. So for companies that pay a generous dividend, the TSR is often a lot higher than the share price return. We note that for Huaibei Mining HoldingsLtd the TSR over the last 5 years was 107%, which is better than the share price return mentioned above. This is largely a result of its dividend payments!
考慮任何股票的總股東回報和股價回報是很重要的。股價回報僅反映股價的變化,而總股東回報(TSR)則包括分紅的價值(假設已再投資)以及任何折扣資本籌集或分拆的收益。因此,對於那些支付豐厚分紅的公司,總股東回報往往高於股價回報。我們注意到,淮北礦業控股有限公司在過去5年中的總股東回報爲107%,這比上述的股價回報要好得多。這主要是由於其分紅支付所致!
A Different Perspective
不同的視角
While the broader market gained around 14% in the last year, Huaibei Mining HoldingsLtd shareholders lost 3.1% (even including dividends). Even the share prices of good stocks drop sometimes, but we want to see improvements in the fundamental metrics of a business, before getting too interested. On the bright side, long term shareholders have made money, with a gain of 16% per year over half a decade. It could be that the recent sell-off is an opportunity, so it may be worth checking the fundamental data for signs of a long term growth trend. While it is well worth considering the different impacts that market conditions can have on the share price, there are other factors that are even more important. To that end, you should be aware of the 2 warning signs we've spotted with Huaibei Mining HoldingsLtd .
儘管整體市場在過去一年中上漲了約14%,淮北礦業控股有限公司的股東卻損失了3.1%(即使包括分紅)。即便是好的股票,有時股價也會下跌,但在過於感興趣之前,我們希望看到業務的基本指標有所改善。好的一面是,長期股東盈利了,在過去五年中每年平均增長了16%。最近的拋售可能是一個機會,因此值得檢查基本數據,以尋找長期增長趨勢的跡象。儘管考慮市場情況對股價的不同影響是很重要的,但還有其他因素更爲重要。爲此,你應該注意到我們發現的淮北礦業控股有限公司的2個警告信號。
If you like to buy stocks alongside management, then you might just love this free list of companies. (Hint: many of them are unnoticed AND have attractive valuation).
如果你喜歡與管理層一起買入股票,那麼你可能會喜歡這個免費的公司名單。(提示:很多公司鮮爲人知,而且估值吸引。)
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Chinese exchanges.
請注意,本文中引用的市場回報反映了目前在中國交易所交易的股票的市場加權平均回報。
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
對本文有反饋?對內容有疑慮?請直接與我們聯繫。或者,發送電子郵件至 editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com。
這篇來自Simply Wall St的文章是一般性的。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,採用無偏見的方法,我們的文章並不旨在提供財務建議。它不構成對任何股票的買入或賣出建議,也未考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們旨在爲您提供以基本數據驅動的長期分析。請注意,我們的分析可能未考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St在提到的任何股票中均沒有持倉。