Apeloa PharmaceuticalLtd (SZSE:000739) Investors Are Sitting on a Loss of 50% If They Invested Three Years Ago
Apeloa PharmaceuticalLtd (SZSE:000739) Investors Are Sitting on a Loss of 50% If They Invested Three Years Ago
While it may not be enough for some shareholders, we think it is good to see the Apeloa Pharmaceutical Co.,Ltd (SZSE:000739) share price up 12% in a single quarter. But that doesn't help the fact that the three year return is less impressive. After all, the share price is down 52% in the last three years, significantly under-performing the market.
雖然這可能對一些股東來說不夠,但我們認爲看到普洛藥業(深交所代碼:000739)的股價在一個季度內上漲了12%是好事。 但這並不能掩蓋三年回報不夠令人印象深刻的事實。 畢竟,股價在過去三年中下跌了52%,顯著低於市場表現。
So let's have a look and see if the longer term performance of the company has been in line with the underlying business' progress.
所以讓我們看看公司的長期表現是否與其基本業務的發展相符。
While markets are a powerful pricing mechanism, share prices reflect investor sentiment, not just underlying business performance. One way to examine how market sentiment has changed over time is to look at the interaction between a company's share price and its earnings per share (EPS).
雖然市場是一種強大的定價機制,但股價反映的是投資者情緒,而不僅僅是基礎業務表現。查看公司股價與每股收益(EPS)之間的互動,可以檢視市場情緒是如何隨時間而變化的。
Although the share price is down over three years, Apeloa PharmaceuticalLtd actually managed to grow EPS by 4.8% per year in that time. This is quite a puzzle, and suggests there might be something temporarily buoying the share price. Alternatively, growth expectations may have been unreasonable in the past.
雖然股價在三年中下跌,但普洛藥業實際上在此期間每年實現了4.8%的每股收益增長。這實在是一個難題,暗示可能有一些暫時因素推高了股價。或者,過去的增長預期可能是不合理的。
After considering the numbers, we'd posit that the the market had higher expectations of EPS growth, three years back. However, taking a look at other business metrics might shed a bit more light on the share price action.
經過對數據的考慮,我們認爲市場三年前對每股收益增長的預期更高。然而,查看其他業務指標可能會對股價的變化提供更多的洞見。
With a rather small yield of just 1.9% we doubt that the stock's share price is based on its dividend. Revenue is actually up 12% over the three years, so the share price drop doesn't seem to hinge on revenue, either. It's probably worth investigating Apeloa PharmaceuticalLtd further; while we may be missing something on this analysis, there might also be an opportunity.
在僅有1.9%的較小收益率下,我們懷疑股票的股價是否基於其分紅派息。營業收入在三年內實際上增長了12%,因此股價下跌似乎也與營業收入無關。可能值得進一步調查普洛藥業;雖然我們可能在這個分析中遺漏了什麼,但也可能存在機會。
The company's revenue and earnings (over time) are depicted in the image below (click to see the exact numbers).
以下圖像顯示了公司的營業收入和盈利(隨時間變化)(單擊以查看準確的數字)。
If you are thinking of buying or selling Apeloa PharmaceuticalLtd stock, you should check out this FREE detailed report on its balance sheet.
如果您打算買入或賣出普洛藥業股票,您應該查看這份關於其資產負債表的免費詳細報告。
What About Dividends?
關於分紅派息的問題
As well as measuring the share price return, investors should also consider the total shareholder return (TSR). The TSR is a return calculation that accounts for the value of cash dividends (assuming that any dividend received was reinvested) and the calculated value of any discounted capital raisings and spin-offs. So for companies that pay a generous dividend, the TSR is often a lot higher than the share price return. In the case of Apeloa PharmaceuticalLtd, it has a TSR of -50% for the last 3 years. That exceeds its share price return that we previously mentioned. And there's no prize for guessing that the dividend payments largely explain the divergence!
除了衡量股價收益,投資者還應考慮總股東收益(TSR)。TSR是一種收益計算方法,考慮了現金分紅的價值(假設收到的任何分紅都被再投資)以及任何折價融資和分拆的計算值。因此,對於支付慷慨分紅的公司,TSR通常遠高於股價收益。在普洛藥業的情況下,其過去三年的TSR爲-50%。這超過了我們之前提到的股價收益。顯然,分紅支付在很大程度上解釋了這種差異!
A Different Perspective
不同的視角
Apeloa PharmaceuticalLtd shareholders are up 8.3% for the year (even including dividends). Unfortunately this falls short of the market return. On the bright side, that's still a gain, and it's actually better than the average return of 6% over half a decade This suggests the company might be improving over time. I find it very interesting to look at share price over the long term as a proxy for business performance. But to truly gain insight, we need to consider other information, too. For instance, we've identified 1 warning sign for Apeloa PharmaceuticalLtd that you should be aware of.
普洛藥業的股東今年上漲了8.3%(即使包括分紅派息)。不幸的是,這仍低於市場回報。好的方面是,這依然是一種收益,實際上比過去五年平均6%的回報要好。這表明公司可能在逐漸改善。 我認爲從長期來看觀察股票價格作爲業務表現的代理非常有趣。但是爲了真正獲得洞察,我們還需要考慮其他信息。例如,我們已識別出普洛藥業有1個你應該注意的警告信號。
If you are like me, then you will not want to miss this free list of undervalued small caps that insiders are buying.
如果你像我一樣,那麼你一定不想錯過這份內部人士正在購買的被低估的小型股免費名單。
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Chinese exchanges.
請注意,本文中引用的市場回報反映了目前在中國交易所交易的股票的市場加權平均回報。
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
對本文有反饋?對內容有疑慮?請直接與我們聯繫。或者,發送電子郵件至 editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com。
這篇來自Simply Wall St的文章是一般性的。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,採用無偏見的方法,我們的文章並不旨在提供財務建議。它不構成對任何股票的買入或賣出建議,也未考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們旨在爲您提供以基本數據驅動的長期分析。請注意,我們的分析可能未考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St在提到的任何股票中均沒有持倉。