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Tonghua Dongbao Pharmaceutical Co., Ltd.'s (SHSE:600867) Has Been On A Rise But Financial Prospects Look Weak: Is The Stock Overpriced?

Tonghua Dongbao Pharmaceutical Co., Ltd.'s (SHSE:600867) Has Been On A Rise But Financial Prospects Look Weak: Is The Stock Overpriced?

通化東寶藥業股份有限公司(上交所代碼:600867)股票一直在上漲,但財務前景看起來疲弱:這隻股票是否被高估?
Simply Wall St ·  12/12 14:07

Most readers would already be aware that Tonghua Dongbao Pharmaceutical's (SHSE:600867) stock increased significantly by 16% over the past three months. However, in this article, we decided to focus on its weak fundamentals, as long-term financial performance of a business is what ultimately dictates market outcomes. Specifically, we decided to study Tonghua Dongbao Pharmaceutical's ROE in this article.

大多數讀者可能已經意識到,通化東寶的股票在過去三個月內顯著上漲了16%。然而,在這篇文章中,我們決定關注其較弱的基本面,因爲一個企業的長期財務表現最終決定了市場結果。具體來說,我們決定在本文中研究通化東寶的ROE。

Return on Equity or ROE is a test of how effectively a company is growing its value and managing investors' money. Simply put, it is used to assess the profitability of a company in relation to its equity capital.

股本回報率(ROE)是測試公司如何有效增長其價值和管理投資者資金的指標。簡單來說,它用於評估公司在其股本資本方面的盈利能力。

How Is ROE Calculated?

淨資產收益率怎麼計算?

The formula for ROE is:

roe的公式是:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

股東權益回報率 = 淨利潤(來自持續運營)÷ 股東權益

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Tonghua Dongbao Pharmaceutical is:

因此,根據上述公式,通化東寶的ROE爲:

5.3% = CN¥341m ÷ CN¥6.4b (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2024).

5.3% = CN¥34100萬 ÷ CN¥64億(基於截至2024年9月的過去十二個月)。

The 'return' is the yearly profit. So, this means that for every CN¥1 of its shareholder's investments, the company generates a profit of CN¥0.05.

『回報』是年度利潤。所以,這意味着每投資CN¥1,公司的利潤爲CN¥0.05。

What Has ROE Got To Do With Earnings Growth?

roe與盈利增長有何關係?

We have already established that ROE serves as an efficient profit-generating gauge for a company's future earnings. We now need to evaluate how much profit the company reinvests or "retains" for future growth which then gives us an idea about the growth potential of the company. Generally speaking, other things being equal, firms with a high return on equity and profit retention, have a higher growth rate than firms that don't share these attributes.

我們已經確認ROE作爲公司未來收益的有效利潤生成指標。現在我們需要評估公司再投資或"保留"多少利潤以支持未來增長,這樣我們才能了解到公司的增長潛力。一般來說,在其他條件相同的情況下,擁有高股本回報率和利潤保留的公司,其增長率往往高於沒有這些特徵的公司。

Tonghua Dongbao Pharmaceutical's Earnings Growth And 5.3% ROE

通化東寶的盈利增長和5.3%的ROE

At first glance, Tonghua Dongbao Pharmaceutical's ROE doesn't look very promising. We then compared the company's ROE to the broader industry and were disappointed to see that the ROE is lower than the industry average of 7.7%. Therefore, Tonghua Dongbao Pharmaceutical's flat earnings over the past five years can possibly be explained by the low ROE amongst other factors.

乍一看,通化東寶的ROE看起來並不太樂觀。我們隨即將公司的ROE與更廣泛的行業進行了比較,失望地看到其ROE低於行業平均水平的7.7%。因此,通化東寶過去五年的平穩盈利可能可以通過低ROE等因素來解釋。

We then compared Tonghua Dongbao Pharmaceutical's net income growth with the industry and found that the average industry growth rate was 9.1% in the same 5-year period.

我們接着將通化東寶的淨利潤增長與行業進行了比較,發現行業的平均增長率在同一5年期間爲9.1%。

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SHSE:600867 Past Earnings Growth December 12th 2024
SHSE:600867 過去的盈利增長 2024年12月12日

Earnings growth is an important metric to consider when valuing a stock. It's important for an investor to know whether the market has priced in the company's expected earnings growth (or decline). This then helps them determine if the stock is placed for a bright or bleak future. One good indicator of expected earnings growth is the P/E ratio which determines the price the market is willing to pay for a stock based on its earnings prospects. So, you may want to check if Tonghua Dongbao Pharmaceutical is trading on a high P/E or a low P/E, relative to its industry.

盈利增長是評估股票時需要考慮的重要指標。投資者需要了解市場是否已經反映出公司預期的盈利增長(或下降)。這幫助他們判斷該股票在未來是光明還是黯淡。一個預期盈利增長的良好指標是市盈率,它反映了市場願意爲一隻股票支付的價格,基於其盈利前景。因此,您可能想查看通化東寶的市盈率是相對行業來說高還是低。

Is Tonghua Dongbao Pharmaceutical Using Its Retained Earnings Effectively?

通化東寶是否有效利用其留存收益?

The high three-year median payout ratio of 57% (meaning, the company retains only 43% of profits) for Tonghua Dongbao Pharmaceutical suggests that the company's earnings growth was miniscule as a result of paying out a majority of its earnings.

通化東寶高達57%的三年中位支付比率(意味着公司僅保留43%的利潤)表明,由於支付了大多數盈利,公司的盈利增長極爲微小。

Moreover, Tonghua Dongbao Pharmaceutical has been paying dividends for at least ten years or more suggesting that management must have perceived that the shareholders prefer dividends over earnings growth.

此外,通化東寶已經支付分紅至少十年,這表明管理層可能認爲股東更偏好分紅而非盈利增長。

Summary

總結

On the whole, Tonghua Dongbao Pharmaceutical's performance is quite a big let-down. Because the company is not reinvesting much into the business, and given the low ROE, it's not surprising to see the lack or absence of growth in its earnings. Having said that, looking at current analyst estimates, we found that the company's earnings growth rate is expected to see a huge improvement. To know more about the latest analysts predictions for the company, check out this visualization of analyst forecasts for the company.

總體而言,通化東寶的表現相當令人失望。因爲公司並沒有在業務中進行大量再投資,再加上低ROE,看到其盈利缺乏或沒有增長是可以理解的。然而,從當前分析師的預估來看,我們發現公司的盈利增長率預計將會有很大的改善。想了解更多關於該公司的最新分析師預測,請查看這份關於該公司的分析師預測可視化圖。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對本文有反饋?對內容有疑慮?請直接與我們聯繫。或者,發送電子郵件至 editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com。
這篇來自Simply Wall St的文章是一般性的。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,採用無偏見的方法,我們的文章並不旨在提供財務建議。它不構成對任何股票的買入或賣出建議,也未考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們旨在爲您提供以基本數據驅動的長期分析。請注意,我們的分析可能未考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St在提到的任何股票中均沒有持倉。

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