Earnings Growth of 5.4% Over 3 Years Hasn't Been Enough to Translate Into Positive Returns for Tootsie Roll Industries (NYSE:TR) Shareholders
Earnings Growth of 5.4% Over 3 Years Hasn't Been Enough to Translate Into Positive Returns for Tootsie Roll Industries (NYSE:TR) Shareholders
For many investors, the main point of stock picking is to generate higher returns than the overall market. But its virtually certain that sometimes you will buy stocks that fall short of the market average returns. Unfortunately, that's been the case for longer term Tootsie Roll Industries, Inc. (NYSE:TR) shareholders, since the share price is down 10% in the last three years, falling well short of the market return of around 28%.
對於許多投資者來說,選股的主要目的是產生比整體市場更高的回報。但幾乎可以肯定的是,有時你會購買那些回報低於市場平均水平的股票。不幸的是,對於長揸Tootsie Roll Industries, Inc. (紐交所:TR)的股東來說,情況正是如此,因爲過去三年中,其股價下跌了10%,遠遠低於約28%的市場回報。
Given the past week has been tough on shareholders, let's investigate the fundamentals and see what we can learn.
鑑於過去一週對股東來說很艱難,讓我們調查一下基本面,看看我們能學到什麼。
There is no denying that markets are sometimes efficient, but prices do not always reflect underlying business performance. One imperfect but simple way to consider how the market perception of a company has shifted is to compare the change in the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price movement.
不可否認,市場有時是有效的,但價格並不總是反映基礎業務表現。考慮市場對公司看法變化的一種不完美但簡單的方法是比較每股收益(EPS)的變化與股價的變化。
During the unfortunate three years of share price decline, Tootsie Roll Industries actually saw its earnings per share (EPS) improve by 17% per year. Given the share price reaction, one might suspect that EPS is not a good guide to the business performance during the period (perhaps due to a one-off loss or gain). Or else the company was over-hyped in the past, and so its growth has disappointed.
在這三年股價不幸下跌的過程中,Tootsie Roll Industries的每股收益(EPS)實際上年均提高了17%。鑑於股價的反應,人們可能會懷疑EPS在此期間並不是衡量業務表現的好指標(可能是由於一次性的損失或收益)。或者,公司之前被過度炒作,因此其增長讓人失望。
It's strange to see such muted share price performance despite sustained growth. Perhaps a clue lies in other metrics. So we'll have to take a look at other metrics to try to understand the price action.
儘管持續增長,看到如此平淡的股價表現仍然令人感到奇怪。也許線索在於其他指標。因此,我們將必須查看其他指標,以嘗試理解價格波動。
The modest 1.1% dividend yield is unlikely to be guiding the market view of the stock. Revenue is actually up 11% over the three years, so the share price drop doesn't seem to hinge on revenue, either. It's probably worth investigating Tootsie Roll Industries further; while we may be missing something on this analysis, there might also be an opportunity.
適度的1.1%分紅派息收益率不太可能引導市場對這隻股票的看法。營業收入在三年內實際增長了11%,因此股價下跌似乎也與營業收入無關。可能值得進一步調查Tootsie Roll Industries;雖然我們可能在這項分析中忽視了一些因素,但可能也存在機會。
The company's revenue and earnings (over time) are depicted in the image below (click to see the exact numbers).
以下圖像顯示了公司的營業收入和盈利(隨時間變化)(單擊以查看準確的數字)。
You can see how its balance sheet has strengthened (or weakened) over time in this free interactive graphic.
您可以通過這個免費的互動圖形查看其資產負債表隨時間的增強(或減弱)。
What About Dividends?
關於分紅派息的問題
It is important to consider the total shareholder return, as well as the share price return, for any given stock. The TSR is a return calculation that accounts for the value of cash dividends (assuming that any dividend received was reinvested) and the calculated value of any discounted capital raisings and spin-offs. It's fair to say that the TSR gives a more complete picture for stocks that pay a dividend. In the case of Tootsie Roll Industries, it has a TSR of -7.1% for the last 3 years. That exceeds its share price return that we previously mentioned. This is largely a result of its dividend payments!
考慮總股東回報以及任何給定股票的股價回報是很重要的。每股總回報(TSR)是一種回報計算,考慮了現金分紅的價值(假設收到的任何分紅被再投資)以及任何折價資本募集和分拆的計算值。可以公平地說,對於支付分紅的股票,TSR提供了更完整的畫面。在Tootsie Roll Industries的案例中,過去三年它的TSR爲-7.1%。這超過了我們之前提到的股價回報。這在很大程度上是其分紅支付的結果!
A Different Perspective
不同的視角
Tootsie Roll Industries shareholders are down 4.6% for the year (even including dividends), but the market itself is up 31%. Even the share prices of good stocks drop sometimes, but we want to see improvements in the fundamental metrics of a business, before getting too interested. On the bright side, long term shareholders have made money, with a gain of 3% per year over half a decade. If the fundamental data continues to indicate long term sustainable growth, the current sell-off could be an opportunity worth considering. Before deciding if you like the current share price, check how Tootsie Roll Industries scores on these 3 valuation metrics.
Tootsie Roll Industries的股東今年下跌了4.6%(即使包括分紅派息),但市場本身上漲了31%。即使是好股票的股價有時也會下跌,但我們希望在過度關注之前,看到企業的基本指標有所改善。好消息是,長期股東已經獲利,過去五年每年獲得3%的收益。如果基本數據持續表明長期可持續增長,那麼當前的拋售可能是一個值得考慮的機會。決定是否喜歡當前股價之前,請檢查Tootsie Roll Industries在這3個估值指標上的得分。
If you are like me, then you will not want to miss this free list of undervalued small caps that insiders are buying.
如果你像我一樣,那麼你一定不想錯過這份內部人士正在購買的被低估的小型股免費名單。
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on American exchanges.
請注意,本文中引用的市場回報反映了當前在美國交易所上市股票的市場加權平均回報。
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
對本文有反饋?對內容有疑慮?請直接與我們聯繫。或者,發送電子郵件至 editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com。
這篇來自Simply Wall St的文章是一般性的。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,採用無偏見的方法,我們的文章並不旨在提供財務建議。它不構成對任何股票的買入或賣出建議,也未考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們旨在爲您提供以基本數據驅動的長期分析。請注意,我們的分析可能未考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St在提到的任何股票中均沒有持倉。