Guangdong Jialong Food Co., Ltd. (SZSE:002495) shares have continued their recent momentum with a 32% gain in the last month alone. Taking a wider view, although not as strong as the last month, the full year gain of 13% is also fairly reasonable.
After such a large jump in price, you could be forgiven for thinking Guangdong Jialong Food is a stock to steer clear of with a price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") of 12.4x, considering almost half the companies in China's Food industry have P/S ratios below 2x. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so lofty.
How Guangdong Jialong Food Has Been Performing
For example, consider that Guangdong Jialong Food's financial performance has been pretty ordinary lately as revenue growth is non-existent. One possibility is that the P/S is high because investors think the benign revenue growth will improve to outperform the broader industry in the near future. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.
Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on Guangdong Jialong Food will help you shine a light on its historical performance.
How Is Guangdong Jialong Food's Revenue Growth Trending?
The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/S as steep as Guangdong Jialong Food's is when the company's growth is on track to outshine the industry decidedly.
Taking a look back first, we see that there was hardly any revenue growth to speak of for the company over the past year. The lack of growth did nothing to help the company's aggregate three-year performance, which is an unsavory 20% drop in revenue. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been undesirable for the company.
Comparing that to the industry, which is predicted to deliver 16% growth in the next 12 months, the company's downward momentum based on recent medium-term revenue results is a sobering picture.
With this information, we find it concerning that Guangdong Jialong Food is trading at a P/S higher than the industry. It seems most investors are ignoring the recent poor growth rate and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. There's a very good chance existing shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with the recent negative growth rates.
What Does Guangdong Jialong Food's P/S Mean For Investors?
The strong share price surge has lead to Guangdong Jialong Food's P/S soaring as well. Using the price-to-sales ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.
We've established that Guangdong Jialong Food currently trades on a much higher than expected P/S since its recent revenues have been in decline over the medium-term. With a revenue decline on investors' minds, the likelihood of a souring sentiment is quite high which could send the P/S back in line with what we'd expect. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve markedly, investors will have a hard time accepting the share price as fair value.
Don't forget that there may be other risks. For instance, we've identified 1 warning sign for Guangdong Jialong Food that you should be aware of.
If strong companies turning a profit tickle your fancy, then you'll want to check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).
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