share_log

Jiangsu Liba Enterprise (SHSE:603519) Shareholders Notch a 11% CAGR Over 5 Years, yet Earnings Have Been Shrinking

Jiangsu Liba Enterprise (SHSE:603519) Shareholders Notch a 11% CAGR Over 5 Years, yet Earnings Have Been Shrinking

江蘇利發企業(SHSE:603519)的股東在5年內取得11%的年複合增長率,但收益卻在持續減少
Simply Wall St ·  12/13 06:36

Generally speaking the aim of active stock picking is to find companies that provide returns that are superior to the market average. Buying under-rated businesses is one path to excess returns. For example, the Jiangsu Liba Enterprise Joint-Stock Co., Ltd. (SHSE:603519) share price is up 32% in the last 5 years, clearly besting the market return of around 17% (ignoring dividends). On the other hand, the more recent gains haven't been so impressive, with shareholders gaining just 32%, including dividends.

一般來說,主動選股的目標是找到提供高於市場平均回報的公司。 買入被低估的企業是實現超額回報的一種途徑。例如,江蘇立霸股份有限公司(SHSE:603519)的股價在過去五年上漲了32%,顯然超過了大約17%的市場回報(不考慮分紅)。另一方面,最近的漲幅並不那麼令人印象深刻,股東僅獲得了32%的收益,包括分紅。

Since the stock has added CN¥504m to its market cap in the past week alone, let's see if underlying performance has been driving long-term returns.

由於該股票在過去一週增加了50400萬元的市值,我們來看看基本面表現是否推動了長期回報。

While the efficient markets hypothesis continues to be taught by some, it has been proven that markets are over-reactive dynamic systems, and investors are not always rational. One way to examine how market sentiment has changed over time is to look at the interaction between a company's share price and its earnings per share (EPS).

雖然有效市場假說仍然會被一些人教授,但已經證明市場是過度反應的動態系統,投資者並不總是理性的。考察市場情緒隨時間變化的一種方法是查看公司股價與每股收益(EPS)之間的互動。

During five years of share price growth, Jiangsu Liba Enterprise actually saw its EPS drop 1.2% per year.

在五年的股價增長中,江蘇立霸股份實際每股收益下降了1.2%。

By glancing at these numbers, we'd posit that the decline in earnings per share is not representative of how the business has changed over the years. Since the change in EPS doesn't seem to correlate with the change in share price, it's worth taking a look at other metrics.

從這些數字來看,我們可以推測每股收益的下降並不能代表公司多年來的變化。由於每股收益的變化似乎與股價變化不相關,因此值得查看其他指標。

In contrast revenue growth of 4.9% per year is probably viewed as evidence that Jiangsu Liba Enterprise is growing, a real positive. In that case, the company may be sacrificing current earnings per share to drive growth.

相比之下,4.9% 的年度營業收入增長可能被視爲江蘇立霸企業正在增長的證據,這是一個真正的積極因素。在這種情況下,該公司可能正在犧牲當前的每股收益以推動增長。

The company's revenue and earnings (over time) are depicted in the image below (click to see the exact numbers).

以下圖像顯示了公司的營業收入和盈利(隨時間變化)(單擊以查看準確的數字)。

big
SHSE:603519 Earnings and Revenue Growth December 12th 2024
SHSE:603519 每股收益和營業收入增長 2024年12月12日

You can see how its balance sheet has strengthened (or weakened) over time in this free interactive graphic.

您可以通過這個免費的互動圖形查看其資產負債表隨時間的增強(或減弱)。

What About The Total Shareholder Return (TSR)?

那麼,股東總回報(TSR)呢?

Investors should note that there's a difference between Jiangsu Liba Enterprise's total shareholder return (TSR) and its share price change, which we've covered above. The TSR is a return calculation that accounts for the value of cash dividends (assuming that any dividend received was reinvested) and the calculated value of any discounted capital raisings and spin-offs. Dividends have been really beneficial for Jiangsu Liba Enterprise shareholders, and that cash payout contributed to why its TSR of 72%, over the last 5 years, is better than the share price return.

投資者應注意,江蘇立霸企業的股東總回報(TSR)與其股價變化之間存在差異,我們在上文中已經討論過。TSR 是一種回報計算,考慮了現金分紅的價值(假設收到的任何分紅都被再投資)以及任何折扣資本籌集和拆分的計算價值。分紅派息對江蘇立霸企業的股東非常有利,這一現金支付也爲其過去五年72%的 TSR 優於股價回報做出了貢獻。

A Different Perspective

不同的視角

It's good to see that Jiangsu Liba Enterprise has rewarded shareholders with a total shareholder return of 32% in the last twelve months. That's better than the annualised return of 11% over half a decade, implying that the company is doing better recently. In the best case scenario, this may hint at some real business momentum, implying that now could be a great time to delve deeper. I find it very interesting to look at share price over the long term as a proxy for business performance. But to truly gain insight, we need to consider other information, too. For example, we've discovered 2 warning signs for Jiangsu Liba Enterprise (1 is a bit concerning!) that you should be aware of before investing here.

看到江蘇立霸股份在過去十二個月內爲股東提供了32%的總股東回報,我感到很高興。這比過去五年年化回報11%更好,這意味着公司最近表現得更好。在最佳情況下,這可能暗示出一些真正的業務動能,這意味着現在可能是深入研究的好時機。我發現從長遠來看,觀察股價作爲業務表現的代理指標非常有趣。但要真正獲得洞察,我們還需要考慮其他信息。例如,我們發現江蘇立霸股份存在2個警示信號(其中1個稍顯令人擔憂!)您在這裏投資前應該了解。

But note: Jiangsu Liba Enterprise may not be the best stock to buy. So take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with past earnings growth (and further growth forecast).

但請注意:江蘇立霸股份可能不是最佳購買股票。所以請查看這份免費的有趣公司名單,裏面有過去的盈利增長(以及進一步的增長預測)。

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Chinese exchanges.

請注意,本文中引用的市場回報反映了目前在中國交易所交易的股票的市場加權平均回報。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對本文有反饋?對內容有疑慮?請直接與我們聯繫。或者,發送電子郵件至 editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com。
這篇來自Simply Wall St的文章是一般性的。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,採用無偏見的方法,我們的文章並不旨在提供財務建議。它不構成對任何股票的買入或賣出建議,也未考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們旨在爲您提供以基本數據驅動的長期分析。請注意,我們的分析可能未考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St在提到的任何股票中均沒有持倉。

声明:本內容僅用作提供資訊及教育之目的,不構成對任何特定投資或投資策略的推薦或認可。 更多信息
    搶先評論