Is 3D Medicines (HKG:1244) Using Too Much Debt?
Is 3D Medicines (HKG:1244) Using Too Much Debt?
The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. Importantly, 3D Medicines Inc. (HKG:1244) does carry debt. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?
由伯克希爾·哈撒韋的查理·芒格支持的外部基金經理李錄毫不掩飾地表示:『最大的投資風險不是價格波動,而是您是否會遭受永久性資本損失。』 當你審視一家公司的風險時,考慮其資產負債表是自然而然的,因爲當一家企業倒閉時,債務往往是其中的一個因素。重要的是,思路迪醫藥股份(HKG:1244)確實揹負着債務。但更重要的問題是:這些債務會帶來多大的風險?
What Risk Does Debt Bring?
債務帶來了什麼風險?
Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.
一般來說,債務只有在公司無法輕鬆償還時才會成爲真正的問題,要麼通過融資,要麼通過自身的現金流。在最壞的情況下,如果公司無法償還債權人,它可能會破產。然而,更常見的(但仍然代價高昂)情況是,公司必須以便宜的股價稀釋股東權益,僅僅爲了控制債務。當然,許多公司使用債務來資助增長,而沒有任何負面後果。在考慮一家企業使用多少債務時,首先要查看其現金和債務的總和。
How Much Debt Does 3D Medicines Carry?
思路迪醫藥的債務有多少?
The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at June 2024 3D Medicines had debt of CN¥229.7m, up from CN¥206.4m in one year. However, its balance sheet shows it holds CN¥652.8m in cash, so it actually has CN¥423.1m net cash.
下圖,您可以點擊以獲取更詳細的信息,顯示截至2024年6月思路迪醫藥的債務爲22970萬CN¥,比一年前的20640萬CN¥有所增加。然而,該公司的資產負債表顯示其持有65280萬CN¥的現金,因此它實際上擁有42310萬CN¥的淨現金。
A Look At 3D Medicines' Liabilities
關於思路迪醫藥股份的負債情況
Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that 3D Medicines had liabilities of CN¥401.9m due within 12 months and liabilities of CN¥88.8m due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of CN¥652.8m and CN¥297.2m worth of receivables due within a year. So it actually has CN¥459.3m more liquid assets than total liabilities.
通過查看最新的資產負債表數據,我們可以看到思路迪醫藥股份的負債爲 CN¥40190萬,12 個月內到期的負債爲 CN¥8880萬。另一方面,它的現金爲 CN¥65280萬,且一年內到期的應收款額爲 CN¥29720萬。因此,它實際上擁有比總負債多出 CN¥45930萬的流動資產。
This surplus liquidity suggests that 3D Medicines' balance sheet could take a hit just as well as Homer Simpson's head can take a punch. With this in mind one could posit that its balance sheet means the company is able to handle some adversity. Succinctly put, 3D Medicines boasts net cash, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load! The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is 3D Medicines's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.
這種多餘的流動性表明,思路迪醫藥股份的資產負債表在遇到風險時大致能夠承受,就像霍默·西蒙森的頭部可以承受拳擊一樣。考慮到這一點,人們可能會認爲其資產負債表使公司能夠應對一些逆境。簡而言之,思路迪醫藥股份擁有淨現金,因此可以公平地說,它並沒有沉重的債務負擔!在分析債務時,資產負債表顯然是關注的重點。但思路迪醫藥股份的收益將影響其資產負債表在未來的表現。因此,在考慮債務時,肯定值得關注收益趨勢。點擊這裏以獲取互動快照。
Over 12 months, 3D Medicines made a loss at the EBIT level, and saw its revenue drop to CN¥489m, which is a fall of 31%. That makes us nervous, to say the least.
在過去的 12 個月中,思路迪醫藥股份在 EBIT 級別上出現了虧損,營業收入下降至 CN¥48900萬,下降幅度爲 31%。這讓我們感到非常緊張。
So How Risky Is 3D Medicines?
那麼,思路迪醫藥股份有多風險?
Statistically speaking companies that lose money are riskier than those that make money. And we do note that 3D Medicines had an earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss, over the last year. Indeed, in that time it burnt through CN¥203m of cash and made a loss of CN¥450m. While this does make the company a bit risky, it's important to remember it has net cash of CN¥423.1m. That kitty means the company can keep spending for growth for at least two years, at current rates. Overall, its balance sheet doesn't seem overly risky, at the moment, but we're always cautious until we see the positive free cash flow. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. We've identified 2 warning signs with 3D Medicines (at least 1 which is a bit concerning) , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.
從統計上看,虧損的公司比盈利的公司風險更大。我們確實注意到,思路迪醫藥股份在過去一年中有營業利潤損失(EBIT)。確實,在那段時間它燒掉了 CN¥20300萬的現金,並且虧損了 CN¥45000萬。雖然這確實使公司有點風險,但重要的是要記住,它有 CN¥42310萬的淨現金。這個資金意味着公司在當前的支出速度下,可以至少繼續進行兩年的增長支出。總體而言,它的資產負債表目前看起來並不特別危險,但我們總是保持謹慎,直到看到積極的自由現金流。毫無疑問,我們從資產負債表中了解到了大部分關於債務的信息。然而,並非所有的投資風險都存在於資產負債表中,遠非如此。我們已經識別出思路迪醫藥股份的兩個警告信號(至少有一個有點令人擔憂),理解它們應該成爲您投資過程的一部分。
If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.
If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.
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