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Is CNGR Advanced MaterialLtd (SZSE:300919) A Risky Investment?

Is CNGR Advanced MaterialLtd (SZSE:300919) A Risky Investment?

CNGR 愛文思控股 (SZSE:300919) 是一個有風險的投資嗎?
Simply Wall St ·  12/12 15:47

Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. We can see that CNGR Advanced Material Co.,Ltd. (SZSE:300919) does use debt in its business. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

有人說,波動性,而不是債務,是投資者思考風險的最佳方式,但禾倫·巴菲特曾說過一句名言:「波動性遠非風險的代名詞。」因此,當你評估公司的風險時,看來聰明的貨幣知道債務(通常涉及破產)是一個非常重要的因素。我們可以看到 CNGR 先進材料有限公司, Ltd.(深圳證券交易所代碼:300919)確實在其業務中使用債務。但是,股東是否應該擔心其債務的使用?

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

債務帶來什麼風險?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

一般而言,只有當公司無法通過籌集資金或用自己的現金流輕鬆還清債務時,債務才會成爲真正的問題。資本主義的組成部分是 「創造性破壞」 過程,在這種過程中,倒閉的企業被銀行家無情地清算。但是,更頻繁(但仍然昂貴)的情況是,公司必須以低廉的價格發行股票,永久稀釋股東,以支撐其資產負債表。當然,債務可以成爲企業的重要工具,尤其是資本密集型企業。考慮公司的債務水平的第一步是同時考慮其現金和債務。

What Is CNGR Advanced MaterialLtd's Net Debt?

CNGR Advanced MaterialLTD 的淨負債是多少?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at September 2024 CNGR Advanced MaterialLtd had debt of CN¥27.5b, up from CN¥22.7b in one year. On the flip side, it has CN¥14.4b in cash leading to net debt of about CN¥13.1b.

下圖顯示,截至2024年9月,CNGR Advanced MaterialLTD的債務爲275元人民幣,高於一年內的227元人民幣,你可以點擊下圖了解更多詳情。另一方面,它擁有144元人民幣的現金,淨負債約爲131元人民幣。

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SZSE:300919 Debt to Equity History December 12th 2024
SZSE: 300919 2024 年 12 月 12 日債務與股本比率的歷史記錄

How Healthy Is CNGR Advanced MaterialLtd's Balance Sheet?

CNGR Advanced MaterialLTD 的資產負債表有多健康?

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that CNGR Advanced MaterialLtd had liabilities of CN¥20.6b due within 12 months and liabilities of CN¥22.1b due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had CN¥14.4b in cash and CN¥5.31b in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by CN¥22.9b.

放大最新的資產負債表數據,我們可以看到,CNGR Advanced MaterialLTD的負債爲206元人民幣,12個月內到期的負債爲221元人民幣。與此相抵消的是,它有144元人民幣的現金和53.1元人民幣的應收賬款將在12個月內到期。因此,其負債超過其現金和(短期)應收賬款總額229元人民幣。

This deficit is considerable relative to its market capitalization of CN¥37.4b, so it does suggest shareholders should keep an eye on CNGR Advanced MaterialLtd's use of debt. This suggests shareholders would be heavily diluted if the company needed to shore up its balance sheet in a hurry.

相對於其374元人民幣的市值,這一赤字相當可觀,因此這確實表明股東應密切關注CNGR Advanced MaterialLTD的債務使用情況。這表明,如果公司需要迅速支撐資產負債表,股東將被嚴重稀釋。

In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).

爲了擴大公司相對於收益的負債規模,我們計算其淨負債除以其扣除利息、稅項、折舊和攤銷前的收益(EBITDA)和其利息和稅前收益(EBIT)除以其利息支出(利息保障)。這種方法的優勢在於,我們既考慮了債務的絕對數量(淨負債佔息稅折舊攤銷前利潤),也考慮了與該債務相關的實際利息支出(及其利息覆蓋率)。

CNGR Advanced MaterialLtd's debt is 3.5 times its EBITDA, and its EBIT cover its interest expense 3.6 times over. This suggests that while the debt levels are significant, we'd stop short of calling them problematic. However, one redeeming factor is that CNGR Advanced MaterialLtd grew its EBIT at 14% over the last 12 months, boosting its ability to handle its debt. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if CNGR Advanced MaterialLtd can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

CNGR Advanced MaterialLTD的債務是其息稅折舊攤銷前利潤的3.5倍,其息稅前利潤是其利息支出的3.6倍。這表明,儘管債務水平很高,但我們不會稱其爲有問題。但是,一個補償因素是,CNGR Advanced MaterialLTD在過去12個月中將其息稅前利潤增長了14%,增強了其處理債務的能力。資產負債表顯然是分析債務時需要關注的領域。但最終,該業務未來的盈利能力將決定CNGR Advanced MaterialLTD能否隨着時間的推移加強其資產負債表。因此,如果你想看看專業人士的想法,你可能會發現這份關於分析師利潤預測的免費報告很有趣。

Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. So the logical step is to look at the proportion of that EBIT that is matched by actual free cash flow. During the last three years, CNGR Advanced MaterialLtd burned a lot of cash. While that may be a result of expenditure for growth, it does make the debt far more risky.

最後,儘管稅務人員可能喜歡會計利潤,但貸款人只接受冷硬現金。因此,合乎邏輯的步驟是研究該息稅前利潤與實際自由現金流相匹配的比例。在過去的三年中,CNGR Advanced MaterialLTD燒掉了大量現金。儘管這可能是增長支出的結果,但它確實使債務風險大大增加。

Our View

我們的觀點

Mulling over CNGR Advanced MaterialLtd's attempt at converting EBIT to free cash flow, we're certainly not enthusiastic. But on the bright side, its EBIT growth rate is a good sign, and makes us more optimistic. Once we consider all the factors above, together, it seems to us that CNGR Advanced MaterialLtd's debt is making it a bit risky. Some people like that sort of risk, but we're mindful of the potential pitfalls, so we'd probably prefer it carry less debt. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. Case in point: We've spotted 4 warning signs for CNGR Advanced MaterialLtd you should be aware of, and 1 of them is a bit unpleasant.

仔細考慮CNGR Advanced MaterialLTD試圖將息稅前利潤轉換爲自由現金流的嘗試,我們當然並不熱情。但好的一面是,其息稅前利潤增長率是一個好兆頭,也使我們更加樂觀。綜合考慮上述所有因素後,在我們看來,CNGR Advanced MaterialLTD的債務使其有點風險。有些人喜歡這種風險,但我們注意到了潛在的陷阱,因此我們可能更希望它承擔較少的債務。毫無疑問,我們從資產負債表中學到的關於債務的知識最多。但是,並非所有的投資風險都存在於資產負債表中,遠非如此。一個很好的例子:我們發現了你應該注意的4個CNGR Advanced MaterialLTD的警告信號,其中一個有點不愉快。

If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.

畢竟,如果你對一家資產負債表堅如磐石的快速成長型公司更感興趣,那麼請立即查看我們的淨現金增長股票清單。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St 的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法提供基於歷史數據和分析師預測的評論,我們的文章並非旨在提供財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不會考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。華爾街只是沒有持有上述任何股票的頭寸。

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