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We Think Hunan Gold (SZSE:002155) Can Manage Its Debt With Ease

We Think Hunan Gold (SZSE:002155) Can Manage Its Debt With Ease

我們認爲湖南黃金(深交所代碼:002155)能夠輕鬆管理其債務
Simply Wall St ·  2024/12/13 01:29

Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. We can see that Hunan Gold Corporation Limited (SZSE:002155) does use debt in its business. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

有人認爲波動性比債務更能幫助投資者評估風險,但禾倫·巴菲特曾著名地說過:'波動性與風險相去甚遠。' 當我們考慮一家公司有多大的風險時,我們總是喜歡關注它的債務使用情況,因爲債務過重可能導致毀滅。我們可以看到,湖南黃金公司(SZSE:002155)確實在其業務中使用了債務。但這種債務對股東來說是不是一個問題呢?

When Is Debt A Problem?

何時債務成爲問題?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

當企業無法輕易履行債務和其他負債時,這些負債就變得風險極大,無論是通過自由現金流還是以有吸引力的價格籌集資金。在最糟糕的情況下,如果公司無法支付其債權人,則可能會破產。雖然這種情況並不常見,但我們經常看到負債累累的公司因債權人迫使他們以低價籌集資金而永久稀釋股東權益。當然,債務的好處在於,它通常代表低成本的資本,特別是當它能夠替代一個能夠以高回報率再投資的公司的稀釋時。考慮公司債務水平的第一步是將其現金和債務結合在一起考慮。

How Much Debt Does Hunan Gold Carry?

湖南黃金有多少債務?

As you can see below, Hunan Gold had CN¥30.1m of debt at September 2024, down from CN¥76.9m a year prior. But on the other hand it also has CN¥805.2m in cash, leading to a CN¥775.2m net cash position.

正如您在下面看到的,湖南黃金在2024年9月的債務爲3010萬CN¥,比一年前的7690萬CN¥有所減少。但另一方面,它還有80520萬CN¥的現金,這導致其淨現金狀況爲77520萬CN¥。

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SZSE:002155 Debt to Equity History December 13th 2024
SZSE:002155 債務與股本歷史 2024年12月13日

How Strong Is Hunan Gold's Balance Sheet?

湖南黃金的資產負債表有多強?

According to the last reported balance sheet, Hunan Gold had liabilities of CN¥1.06b due within 12 months, and liabilities of CN¥228.3m due beyond 12 months. On the other hand, it had cash of CN¥805.2m and CN¥660.5m worth of receivables due within a year. So it actually has CN¥182.3m more liquid assets than total liabilities.

根據最新報告的資產負債表,湖南黃金有短期負債10.6億人民幣,長期負債22830萬人民幣。另一方面,它擁有80520萬人民幣的現金和66050萬人民幣的應收款(一年內到期)。因此,它實際上比總負債多出18230萬人民幣的流動資產。

This state of affairs indicates that Hunan Gold's balance sheet looks quite solid, as its total liabilities are just about equal to its liquid assets. So it's very unlikely that the CN¥22.7b company is short on cash, but still worth keeping an eye on the balance sheet. Succinctly put, Hunan Gold boasts net cash, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load!

這種狀態表明,湖南黃金的資產負債表看起來相當穩健,因爲其總負債大致等於流動資產。因此,這家227億人民幣的公司不太可能缺乏現金,但仍值得關注其資產負債表。簡單來說,湖南黃金擁有淨現金,所以可以公平地說,它沒有重債負擔!

On top of that, Hunan Gold grew its EBIT by 84% over the last twelve months, and that growth will make it easier to handle its debt. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Hunan Gold can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

此外,湖南黃金在過去十二個月中EBIT增長了84%,這一增長將使其更容易處理債務。毫無疑問,我們從資產負債表中了解債務最多。但最終,企業的未來盈利能力將決定湖南黃金是否能夠隨着時間增強其資產負債表。因此,如果你想看看專業人士的看法,你可能會覺得這份分析師盈利預測的免費報告很有趣。

Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. While Hunan Gold has net cash on its balance sheet, it's still worth taking a look at its ability to convert earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, to help us understand how quickly it is building (or eroding) that cash balance. Over the last three years, Hunan Gold recorded free cash flow worth a fulsome 81% of its EBIT, which is stronger than we'd usually expect. That puts it in a very strong position to pay down debt.

最後,企業需要自由現金流來償還債務;會計利潤是不夠的。雖然湖南黃金的資產負債表上有淨現金,但仍然值得關注其將息稅前利潤(EBIT)轉化爲自由現金流的能力,以幫助我們了解它的現金餘額增長(或減少)得多快。在過去三年中,湖南黃金的自由現金流佔其EBIT的81%,這比我們通常期望的要強。這使它在償還債務方面處於非常強的位置。

Summing Up

總結

While it is always sensible to investigate a company's debt, in this case Hunan Gold has CN¥775.2m in net cash and a decent-looking balance sheet. The cherry on top was that in converted 81% of that EBIT to free cash flow, bringing in CN¥437m. So we don't think Hunan Gold's use of debt is risky. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. We've identified 1 warning sign with Hunan Gold , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.

雖然調查一家公司的債務總是明智的,但在這種情況下,湖南黃金的淨現金爲77520萬人民幣,資產負債表看起來也不錯。最重要的是,它將81%的EBIT轉化爲自由現金流,帶來了43700萬人民幣。因此,我們認爲湖南黃金使用債務並不風險。分析債務水平時,資產負債表顯然是一個起點。但最終,每家公司都可能存在資產負債表以外的風險。我們已經識別出湖南黃金的一個預警信號,了解這些信號應該成爲您的投資過程的一部分。

If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.

如果您有興趣投資那些能夠在沒有債務負擔的情況下增長利潤的業務,請查看這個自由名單,其中列出了在資產負債表上有淨現金的成長型企業。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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