Qinghai Huzhu TianYouDe Highland Barley Spirit (SZSE:002646) Has More To Do To Multiply In Value Going Forward
Qinghai Huzhu TianYouDe Highland Barley Spirit (SZSE:002646) Has More To Do To Multiply In Value Going Forward
What trends should we look for it we want to identify stocks that can multiply in value over the long term? Typically, we'll want to notice a trend of growing return on capital employed (ROCE) and alongside that, an expanding base of capital employed. If you see this, it typically means it's a company with a great business model and plenty of profitable reinvestment opportunities. Having said that, from a first glance at Qinghai Huzhu TianYouDe Highland Barley Spirit (SZSE:002646) we aren't jumping out of our chairs at how returns are trending, but let's have a deeper look.
如果我們想要識別可以長期增值的股票,我們應該關注哪些趨勢?通常,我們會希望注意到資本使用回報率(ROCE)增長的趨勢,同時還有一個擴大的資本使用基礎。如果你看到這個,通常意味着這是一個擁有優秀業務模式和大量盈利再投資機會的公司。不過,從對天佑德酒(SZSE:002646)的初步觀察來看,我們對其回報趨勢並不感到驚豔,但我們來深度分析一下。
What Is Return On Capital Employed (ROCE)?
什麼是資本回報率(ROCE)?
If you haven't worked with ROCE before, it measures the 'return' (pre-tax profit) a company generates from capital employed in its business. To calculate this metric for Qinghai Huzhu TianYouDe Highland Barley Spirit, this is the formula:
如果你之前沒有使用過ROCE,它衡量的是一家公司從其業務中投入的資本所產生的"回報"(稅前利潤)。要爲天佑德酒計算這個指標,公式如下:
Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)
資本利用率 = 利息和稅前利潤(EBIT) ÷ (總資產 - 流動負債)
0.03 = CN¥85m ÷ (CN¥3.3b - CN¥452m) (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2024).
0.03 = CN¥8500萬 ÷ (CN¥33億 - CN¥452m)(基於截至2024年9月的過去十二個月的數據)。
Thus, Qinghai Huzhu TianYouDe Highland Barley Spirit has an ROCE of 3.0%. In absolute terms, that's a low return and it also under-performs the Beverage industry average of 18%.
因此,天佑德酒的ROCE爲3.0%。在絕對值上,這一回報很低,並且表現遜色於飲料行業的平均水平18%。
In the above chart we have measured Qinghai Huzhu TianYouDe Highland Barley Spirit's prior ROCE against its prior performance, but the future is arguably more important. If you'd like, you can check out the forecasts from the analysts covering Qinghai Huzhu TianYouDe Highland Barley Spirit for free.
在上面的圖表中,我們測量了天佑德酒以前的資本回報率(ROCE)與其以前的表現,但未來的表現顯然更加重要。如果您願意,可以查看覆蓋天佑德酒的分析師的預測,完全免費。
How Are Returns Trending?
回報率的趨勢如何?
There hasn't been much to report for Qinghai Huzhu TianYouDe Highland Barley Spirit's returns and its level of capital employed because both metrics have been steady for the past five years. This tells us the company isn't reinvesting in itself, so it's plausible that it's past the growth phase. So don't be surprised if Qinghai Huzhu TianYouDe Highland Barley Spirit doesn't end up being a multi-bagger in a few years time. That being the case, it makes sense that Qinghai Huzhu TianYouDe Highland Barley Spirit has been paying out 133% of its earnings to its shareholders. If the company is in fact lacking growth opportunities, that's one of the viable alternatives for the money.
關於天佑德酒的回報和其資本使用水平,幾乎沒有什麼可報告的,因爲這兩個指標在過去五年中一直保持穩定。這告訴我們公司並沒有在自我再投資,因此它可能已經過了增長階段。因此,如果天佑德酒在幾年後沒有成爲一個高額回報的股票,不用感到驚訝。既然如此,天佑德酒將其133%的收益分配給股東是有道理的。如果公司確實缺乏增長機會,這就是一項可行的資金替代方案。
Our Take On Qinghai Huzhu TianYouDe Highland Barley Spirit's ROCE
我們對天佑德酒的ROCE的看法
In summary, Qinghai Huzhu TianYouDe Highland Barley Spirit isn't compounding its earnings but is generating stable returns on the same amount of capital employed. And investors may be recognizing these trends since the stock has only returned a total of 18% to shareholders over the last five years. So if you're looking for a multi-bagger, the underlying trends indicate you may have better chances elsewhere.
總之,天佑德酒並沒有在增長其收益,而是在同樣的資本使用上產生了穩定的回報。而且,投資者可能已經認識到這些趨勢,因爲在過去五年中,這隻股票只給股東帶來了18%的總回報。因此,如果您在尋找高額回報的股票,基本趨勢表明您可能在其他地方會有更好的機會。
One more thing: We've identified 2 warning signs with Qinghai Huzhu TianYouDe Highland Barley Spirit (at least 1 which can't be ignored) , and understanding them would certainly be useful.
還有一件事:我們發現天佑德酒有2個警告信號(至少有1個不能被忽視),了解它們肯定會有幫助。
For those who like to invest in solid companies, check out this free list of companies with solid balance sheets and high returns on equity.
對於喜歡投資於穩健公司的投資者,可以查看這個免費的穩健資產負債表和高股本回報率公司的列表。
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
對本文有反饋?對內容有疑慮?請直接與我們聯繫。或者,發送電子郵件至 editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com。
這篇來自Simply Wall St的文章是一般性的。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,採用無偏見的方法,我們的文章並不旨在提供財務建議。它不構成對任何股票的買入或賣出建議,也未考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們旨在爲您提供以基本數據驅動的長期分析。請注意,我們的分析可能未考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St在提到的任何股票中均沒有持倉。