Changsha Tongcheng HoldingsLtd's (SZSE:000419) 18% CAGR Outpaced the Company's Earnings Growth Over the Same Three-year Period
Changsha Tongcheng HoldingsLtd's (SZSE:000419) 18% CAGR Outpaced the Company's Earnings Growth Over the Same Three-year Period
By buying an index fund, you can roughly match the market return with ease. But if you buy good businesses at attractive prices, your portfolio returns could exceed the average market return. Just take a look at Changsha Tongcheng Holdings Co.Ltd (SZSE:000419), which is up 52%, over three years, soundly beating the market decline of 17% (not including dividends). However, more recent returns haven't been as impressive as that, with the stock returning just 9.9% in the last year, including dividends.
The past week has proven to be lucrative for Changsha Tongcheng HoldingsLtd investors, so let's see if fundamentals drove the company's three-year performance.
In his essay The Superinvestors of Graham-and-Doddsville Warren Buffett described how share prices do not always rationally reflect the value of a business. One way to examine how market sentiment has changed over time is to look at the interaction between a company's share price and its earnings per share (EPS).
Changsha Tongcheng HoldingsLtd was able to grow its EPS at 4.2% per year over three years, sending the share price higher. In comparison, the 15% per year gain in the share price outpaces the EPS growth. This indicates that the market is feeling more optimistic on the stock, after the last few years of progress. That's not necessarily surprising considering the three-year track record of earnings growth.
You can see how EPS has changed over time in the image below (click on the chart to see the exact values).
This free interactive report on Changsha Tongcheng HoldingsLtd's earnings, revenue and cash flow is a great place to start, if you want to investigate the stock further.
What About Dividends?
When looking at investment returns, it is important to consider the difference between total shareholder return (TSR) and share price return. The TSR is a return calculation that accounts for the value of cash dividends (assuming that any dividend received was reinvested) and the calculated value of any discounted capital raisings and spin-offs. Arguably, the TSR gives a more comprehensive picture of the return generated by a stock. In the case of Changsha Tongcheng HoldingsLtd, it has a TSR of 65% for the last 3 years. That exceeds its share price return that we previously mentioned. This is largely a result of its dividend payments!
A Different Perspective
Changsha Tongcheng HoldingsLtd shareholders gained a total return of 9.9% during the year. But that was short of the market average. It's probably a good sign that the company has an even better long term track record, having provided shareholders with an annual TSR of 10% over five years. Maybe the share price is just taking a breather while the business executes on its growth strategy. It's always interesting to track share price performance over the longer term. But to understand Changsha Tongcheng HoldingsLtd better, we need to consider many other factors. To that end, you should learn about the 3 warning signs we've spotted with Changsha Tongcheng HoldingsLtd (including 1 which is significant) .
We will like Changsha Tongcheng HoldingsLtd better if we see some big insider buys. While we wait, check out this free list of undervalued stocks (mostly small caps) with considerable, recent, insider buying.
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Chinese exchanges.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.